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Estimation of Reproduction Numbers for the Period of the COVID-19 Epidemic Outbreak in the Central African Republic
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作者 Brice M. Yambiyo a. manirakiza Gaston M. N’Guérékata 《Applied Mathematics》 2021年第6期477-488,共12页
In this paper, we propose a susceptible-exposed-infection-asymptomatic-hospitalized-recovered (SEIAHR) model with parameters on retrospective social distancing and masking. We estimated the model parameters from infor... In this paper, we propose a susceptible-exposed-infection-asymptomatic-hospitalized-recovered (SEIAHR) model with parameters on retrospective social distancing and masking. We estimated the model parameters from information published on the World Health Organization (WHO) website. We found that the actual reproduction number <em>R<sub>t</sub></em><sub> </sub>varies over the period from 03 March to 07 June 2020 and moreover, effective control over contacts and the frequency of population movement would reduce the evolution of the epidemic (control <em>c</em> <span style="white-space:nowrap;">≥</span> 50%). And the contact check has an influence on the base reproduction number <em>R</em><sub>0</sub>. 展开更多
关键词 MODELING Mathematical Epidemiology Data Analysis
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The HIV’s Transmission from the Mother to the Child at the Community Hospital Center of Bangui (Central African Republic)
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作者 N. R. Ngbale C. E. Gaunefet +6 位作者 a. Koïrokpi G. D. Kossa-ko-Ouakoua S. Matoulou-Mbala-Wa-Ngogbe S. Ouapou a. manirakiza L. Kobangue a. Sepou 《Open Journal of Obstetrics and Gynecology》 2020年第6期802-808,共7页
<span style="font-family:Verdana;"><strong>Objective:</strong></span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span sty... <span style="font-family:Verdana;"><strong>Objective:</strong></span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> Assess the impact of B + option on mother-to-child HIV’s transmission at the community university hospital center after 4 years of use.</span></span></span></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span> </span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><b><span style="font-family:Verdana;">Patients and methods:</span></b></span></span></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> This was a retrospective and analytical study from January 1st 2015 to December 31st 2018 </span><i><span style="font-family:Verdana;">i.e.</span></i><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> 4 years. The population’s study was on HIV-positive mothers and their infants care</span></span></span></span></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span> </span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;">in the service.</span></span></span></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span> </span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><b><span style="font-family:Verdana;">Results:</span></b></span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> A total of 323 files of infants born from HIV-positive mothers were selected and having performed the PCR. 9 of them were HIV positive representing a rate of 2.79% mother-to-child HIV’s transmission.</span></span></span></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span> </span></span></span></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">This prevalence was 1.1% for women who started ART before and during pregnancy. The average age of newborns was 29 years. Mothers were literally rating in 24.15% during the period of starting antiretroviral therapy, 63% during pregnancy and 19% be</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">fore pregnancy. For the delivery’s way 295 delivered vaginally;they represented </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">91.33%. Cesarean delivery was 8.67%. Exclusive breastfeeding represented 87.31% of the diet. Mothers who started ARV therapy during the labor and after delivery were more likely to transmit HIV to their infants than mothers who started ART before and during pregnancy (p = 0.01). The other risk factors were represented by premature rupture of the membranes (p = 0.0001), hours of labor (p = 0.0001), use of suction cup (p = 0.0005), birth weight less than 2500</span></span></span></span></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span> </span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;">g (p = 0.00).</span></span></span></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span> </span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><b><span style="font-family:Verdana;">Conclusion:</span></b></span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> Mother-to-child HIV’s transmission still remains a public health problem at the Community University Hospital.</span></span></span></span></span></span> 展开更多
关键词 TRANSMISSION HIV Community Hospital
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