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Mathematical Model of the Spread of the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Burkina Faso
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作者 aboudramane guiro Blaise Koné Stanislas Ouaro 《Applied Mathematics》 2020年第11期1204-1218,共15页
In this paper, we develop a mathematical model of the COVID-19 pandemic in Burkina Faso. We use real data from Burkina Faso National Health Commission against COVID-19 to predict the dynamic of the disease and also th... In this paper, we develop a mathematical model of the COVID-19 pandemic in Burkina Faso. We use real data from Burkina Faso National Health Commission against COVID-19 to predict the dynamic of the disease and also the cumulative number of reported cases. We use public policies in model in order to reduce the contact rate, this allows to show how the reduction of the daily report of infectious cases goes, so we would like to draw the attention of decision makers for a rapid treatment of reported cases. 展开更多
关键词 COVID-19 STATISTICS Data Exposed Person Reported and Unreported Cases Mathematical Model Public Policies Basic Reproduction Number Prediction
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Stability Analysis for a Discrete SIR Epidemic Model with Delay and General Nonlinear Incidence Function
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作者 aboudramane guiro Dramane Ouedraogo Harouna Ouedraogo 《Applied Mathematics》 2018年第9期1039-1054,共16页
In this paper, we construct a backward difference scheme for a class of SIR epidemic model with general incidence f . The step sizeτ used in our discretization is one. The dynamical properties are investigated (posit... In this paper, we construct a backward difference scheme for a class of SIR epidemic model with general incidence f . The step sizeτ used in our discretization is one. The dynamical properties are investigated (positivity and the boundedness of solution). By constructing the Lyapunov function, the general incidence function f must satisfy certain assumptions, under which, we establish the global stability of endemic equilibrium when R0 >1. The global stability of diseases-free equilibrium is also established when R0 ≤1. In addition we present numerical results of the continuous and discrete model of the different class according to the value of basic reproduction number R0. 展开更多
关键词 DISCRETE Model DELAY LYAPUNOV Functional NONLINEAR Incidence BACKWARD Difference Scheme Local STABILITY Global STABILITY
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