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APHRODITE降水数据驱动的融雪径流模拟 被引量:11
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作者 李兰海 尚明 +2 位作者 张敏生 ahmad sajjad 黄粤 《水科学进展》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2014年第1期53-59,共7页
针对流域内气象观测站点稀少和融雪径流过程的特点,利用APHRODITE降水数据进行插值,应用日有效活动温度改进度日数;依据季节性冻土受有效活动积温影响的特点,建立有效活动积温与径流系数的关系,提高模型中融雪速率和径流系数的计算精度... 针对流域内气象观测站点稀少和融雪径流过程的特点,利用APHRODITE降水数据进行插值,应用日有效活动温度改进度日数;依据季节性冻土受有效活动积温影响的特点,建立有效活动积温与径流系数的关系,提高模型中融雪速率和径流系数的计算精度。结合气象、水文资料和MODIS遥感积雪产品,应用改进的融雪径流模型(SRM)对开都河流域2000年与2006年融雪期的径流进行了率定和验证模拟。改进模型在率定期和验证期的模拟结果远远优于用日平均温度作为度日数的结果。结果表明,用APHRODITE降水数据及改进的度日数和径流系数作为SRM模型参数输入,能够较好模拟开都河流域融雪径流过程,大大提高模型模拟精度。 展开更多
关键词 融雪径流模型 MODIS数据 降水量 融雪径流 有效活动温度
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Using Path Analysis to Identify the Influence of Climatic Factors on Spring Peak Flow Dominated by Snowmelt in an Alpine Watershed 被引量:16
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作者 ZHANG Fei-Yun LI Lan-Hai +1 位作者 ahmad sajjad LI Xue-Mei 《Journal of Mountain Science》 SCIE CSCD 2014年第4期990-1000,共11页
Spring snowmelt peak flow (SSPF) can cause serious damage. Precipitation as rainfall directly contributes to the SSPF and influences the characteristics of the SSPF, while temperature indirectly impacts the SSPF by ... Spring snowmelt peak flow (SSPF) can cause serious damage. Precipitation as rainfall directly contributes to the SSPF and influences the characteristics of the SSPF, while temperature indirectly impacts the SSPF by shaping snowmelt rate and determining the soil frozen state which partitions snowmelt water into surface runoff and soil infiltration water in spring. It is necessary to identify the important and significant paths of climatic factors influencing the SSPF and provide estimates of the magnitude and significance of hypothesized causal connections between climatic factors and the SSPF. This study used path analysis with a selection of five factors - the antecedent precipitation index (API), spring precipitation (SP), winter precipitation as snowfall (WS), 〈0℃ temperature accumulation in winter ([ATNI), and average 〉0℃temperature accumulation in spring (AT) - to analyze their influences on the SSPF in the Kaidu River in Xinjiang, China. The results show that {ATN}, AT and WS have a significant correlation with the SSPF, while API and SP do not show a significant correlation. AT and WS directly influence the SSPF, while as the influence of[ATN] on SSPF is indirect through WS and AT. The indirect influence of [ATN[ on SSPF through WS accounts for 69% of the total influence of [ATN] on SSPF. Compared to the multiple linear regression method, path analysis provides additional valuable information, including influencing paths from independent variables to the dependent variable as well as direct and indirect impacts of external variables on the internal variable. This information can help improve the description of snow melt and spring runoff in hydrologic models as well as the planning and management of water resources. 展开更多
关键词 SNOWMELT Peak flow Path analysis Alpine watershed
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A dynamic model for exploring water-resource management scenarios in an inland arid area: Shanshan County, Northwestern China 被引量:2
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作者 CHEN Chao ahmad sajjad +1 位作者 KALRA Ajay XU Zhi-xia 《Journal of Mountain Science》 SCIE CSCD 2017年第6期1039-1057,共19页
Water scarcity is a challenge in many arid and semi-arid regions; this may lead to a series of environmental problems and could be stressed even further by the effects from climate change. This study focused on the wa... Water scarcity is a challenge in many arid and semi-arid regions; this may lead to a series of environmental problems and could be stressed even further by the effects from climate change. This study focused on the water resource management in Shanshan County, an inland arid region located in northwestern China with a long history of groundwater overexploitation. A model of the supply and demand system in the study area from 2006 to2030, including effects from global climate change,was developed using a system dynamics(SD)modeling tool. This SD model was used to 1) explore the best water-resource management options by testing system responses under various scenarios and2) identify the principal factors affecting the responses, aiming for a balance of the groundwater system and sustainable socio-economic development.Three causes were identified as primarily responsible for water issues in Shanshan: low water-use efficiency low water reuse, and increase in industrial waterdemand. To address these causes, a combined scenario was designed and simulated, which was able to keep the water deficiency under 5% by 2030. The model provided some insights into the dynamic interrelations that generate system behavior and the key factors in the system that govern water demand and supply. The model as well as the study results may be useful in water resources management in Shanshan and may be applied, with appropriate modifications, to other regions facing similar water management challenges. 展开更多
关键词 System dynamics Water resources management Northwestern China Water scarcity
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Effects of lipids on the activity and structural dynamics of gamma secretase: A study using coarse-grained molecular dynamics simulations
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作者 ahmad sajjad Jinfei Mei +1 位作者 Chuanbo Wang Hongqi Ai 《ChemPhysMater》 2024年第3期303-313,共11页
Gamma secretase(GS)is an intramembranous enzyme that acts on the amyloid precursor protein and Notch inside lipid membranes.The enzyme is responsible for amyloid-β propagation,one of the well-known causes of Alzheime... Gamma secretase(GS)is an intramembranous enzyme that acts on the amyloid precursor protein and Notch inside lipid membranes.The enzyme is responsible for amyloid-β propagation,one of the well-known causes of Alzheimer’s disease.However,the effects of lipids on GS activity and structural dynamics are unknown.Therefore,in this study,we performed coarse-grained molecular dynamics simulations to probe the effects of five individual lipids on GS.These lipids included 1-palmitoyl-2-oleoyl-sn-glycero-3-phosphoethanolamine(POPE),1-palmitoyl2-oleoyl-sn-glycero-3-phosphocholine(POPC),1,2-dipalmitoyl-sn-phosphatidylcholine(DOPC),2-dimyristoyl-snglycero-3-phosphocholine(DMPC),and 1,2-dilauroyl-sn-glycero-3-phosphocholine(DLPC).These lipids are structurally characterized by different heads(i.e.,NH_(3)[PE]for POPE vs.NC_(3)[PC]for POPC),number of double bonds(one for POPC vs.two for DOPC),and alkyl tail chain lengths(16:1/18:1 for DOPC vs.14:0/14:0 for DMPC vs.12:0/12:0 for DLPC).This indicates distinct microenvironments and adjustable structural elements for catalytic function when GS is embedded.Our results revealed that the presence of more unsaturated bonds in DOPC than in POPC resulted in greater GS stability.Moreover,lipids with short alkyl tail chains or with PC heads instead of PE heads had improved mobility of the sixth transmembrane helix of GS,which is responsible for the considerable active site flexibility and presenilin 1 subunit plasticity.The length of the DMPC alkyl tail chain was between that of DOPC and DLPC because the up-down and cross-correlation motions of GS in DMPC was the lowest among the three lipids,and GS mobility in DMPC was the lowest among all five lipids.This may be because the alkyl tail chain length(i.e.,3.8 nm thickness of the DMPC bilayer)was suitable for GS embedding,thereby restraining more GS motions than that of the long(DOPC)or short lipids(DLPC).Collectively,these results indicated that GS activity can be modulated through changes in conformational fluctuations,structural perturbations,molecular motion,and cross-correlation motion when embedded in different lipids.Exploration of such fundamental information can reveal the possible mechanisms by which GS is affected by individual lipid species. 展开更多
关键词 Five lipids Gamma secretase Presenilin Nicastrin Effect of lipid on GS
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