As a consequence of recent global warming and its social impact, regional climate change is attracting an increasing amount of attention from scientists. A May-July temperature proxy extending back to 1836 was develop...As a consequence of recent global warming and its social impact, regional climate change is attracting an increasing amount of attention from scientists. A May-July temperature proxy extending back to 1836 was developed from tree-ring width of Chinese pine (Pinus tabulaeformis Carr.) found in the middle Lüliang Mountains, northern China. Correlations with climatic data from six nearby meteorological stations range from -0.58 to -0.65, indicating a strong response of tree-ring index to May-July mean temperatures, which were subsequently reconstructed. The reconstruction captures 45% (F=38.474, P<0.001) of the regional variance in the instrumental data over the calibration period 1955-2003. Reconstructed warm and cold periods were verified by additional temperature reconstructions based on tree-ring data from northern China. In addition, the reconstruction was significantly corre-lated with May-July mean temperatures from 13 other meteorological stations in northern China, suggesting that our reconstruction is also representative of north-central China. The warming trend during the second half of the 20th century is seen in the reconstruction, but only the 1994-2002 mean temperature seems unprecedented over the whole reconstructed period.展开更多
Based on the relationships between the regional tree-ring chronology(RC) of moisture-sensitive Pinus sylvestris var.mongolica and the monthly mean maximum temperature,annual precipitation and annual runoff,a reconstru...Based on the relationships between the regional tree-ring chronology(RC) of moisture-sensitive Pinus sylvestris var.mongolica and the monthly mean maximum temperature,annual precipitation and annual runoff,a reconstruction of the runoff of the Yimin River was performed for the period 1868-2002.The model was stable and could explain 52.2% of the variance for the calibration period of 1956-2002.During the past 135 years,21 extremely dry years and 19 extremely wet years occurred.These years represented 15.6% and 14.1% of the total study period,respectively.Six severe drought events lasting two years or more occurred in 1950-1951,1986-1987,1905-1909,1926-1928,1968-1969 and 1919-1920.Four wetter events occurred during 1954-1959,1932-1934,1939-1940 and 1990-1991.Comparisons with other tree-ring-based streamflow reconstructions or chronologies for surrounding areas supplied a high degree of confidence in our reconstruction.Power spectrum and wavelet analyses suggested that the reconstructed annual runoff variation in the Hulun Buir region and surrounding area could be associated with large-scale atmospheric-oceanic variability,such as the Pacific Decadal Oscillation(PDO) and El Ni o-Southern Oscillation(ENSO),and sunspot activity.展开更多
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (40701196, 40890051, 40525004 and 40599423)the West Light Foundation of the Chinese Academy of Sciences,the Special Foundation of President of the Chinese Academy of Sciences
文摘As a consequence of recent global warming and its social impact, regional climate change is attracting an increasing amount of attention from scientists. A May-July temperature proxy extending back to 1836 was developed from tree-ring width of Chinese pine (Pinus tabulaeformis Carr.) found in the middle Lüliang Mountains, northern China. Correlations with climatic data from six nearby meteorological stations range from -0.58 to -0.65, indicating a strong response of tree-ring index to May-July mean temperatures, which were subsequently reconstructed. The reconstruction captures 45% (F=38.474, P<0.001) of the regional variance in the instrumental data over the calibration period 1955-2003. Reconstructed warm and cold periods were verified by additional temperature reconstructions based on tree-ring data from northern China. In addition, the reconstruction was significantly corre-lated with May-July mean temperatures from 13 other meteorological stations in northern China, suggesting that our reconstruction is also representative of north-central China. The warming trend during the second half of the 20th century is seen in the reconstruction, but only the 1994-2002 mean temperature seems unprecedented over the whole reconstructed period.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(40890051 and 41171170)the Chinese Academy of Sciences (KZCX2-YW-Q1-01 and KZZD-EW-04)+2 种基金the One-hundred Talents Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciencesthe State Key Laboratory of Loess and Quaternary Geology Foundation(SKLLQG1102)Baoji University of Arts and Sciences(ZK11063)
文摘Based on the relationships between the regional tree-ring chronology(RC) of moisture-sensitive Pinus sylvestris var.mongolica and the monthly mean maximum temperature,annual precipitation and annual runoff,a reconstruction of the runoff of the Yimin River was performed for the period 1868-2002.The model was stable and could explain 52.2% of the variance for the calibration period of 1956-2002.During the past 135 years,21 extremely dry years and 19 extremely wet years occurred.These years represented 15.6% and 14.1% of the total study period,respectively.Six severe drought events lasting two years or more occurred in 1950-1951,1986-1987,1905-1909,1926-1928,1968-1969 and 1919-1920.Four wetter events occurred during 1954-1959,1932-1934,1939-1940 and 1990-1991.Comparisons with other tree-ring-based streamflow reconstructions or chronologies for surrounding areas supplied a high degree of confidence in our reconstruction.Power spectrum and wavelet analyses suggested that the reconstructed annual runoff variation in the Hulun Buir region and surrounding area could be associated with large-scale atmospheric-oceanic variability,such as the Pacific Decadal Oscillation(PDO) and El Ni o-Southern Oscillation(ENSO),and sunspot activity.
