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Prediction of the Logistics Demand Based on an Innovative Mixed Model: an Empirical Case from Nanping City,China 被引量:2
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作者 WANG Bo WEI Leqin +3 位作者 CHEN Jinxiong TSAI Sangbing chang lichung BIAN Fang 《Journal of Donghua University(English Edition)》 EI CAS 2019年第5期498-506,共9页
The research intends to make scientific prediction of the logistics demand of Nanping City based on mathematical model calculation so as to provide reasonable strategic guidance for the sustainable and healthy develop... The research intends to make scientific prediction of the logistics demand of Nanping City based on mathematical model calculation so as to provide reasonable strategic guidance for the sustainable and healthy development of urban logistics industry.It constructs a comprehensive index system composed of freight volume and other eight relevant economic indices to form the foundation for the model construction.Combining forecasting models of principal component regression and GM(1,1)together,it makes mathematical calculation to predict the logistics demand of Nanping City from the years 2018 to 2022.The research makes systematical analyses of the indices influencing the precise prediction of logistics demand from a new perspective,which offers an innovative and practical option for urban logistics prediction.In line with the prediction,it offers some suggestions for the improvement of demand prediction and some strategies for the better development of the logistics industry in Nanping City. 展开更多
关键词 REGIONAL LOGISTICS DEMAND PREDICTION principal component regression GM(1 1)prediction
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Evaluation and Optimization of the Logistics Service of Agricultural Products:an Empirical Analysis Based on Analytic Hierarchy Process
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作者 WANG Bo WEI Leqin +3 位作者 CHEN Jinxiong TSAI Sangbing chang lichung BIAN Fang 《Journal of Donghua University(English Edition)》 EI CAS 2019年第6期599-614,共16页
This research,from the theories of management science,supply chain management and logistics engineering,on the basis of extensive investigations,and using the method of analytic hierarchy process(AHP),evaluates the pr... This research,from the theories of management science,supply chain management and logistics engineering,on the basis of extensive investigations,and using the method of analytic hierarchy process(AHP),evaluates the present situation of logistics service of agricultural products.Taking Nanping City(Nanping)as a case,it explores the obstacles existing in current logistics service system and the factors limiting the development of agricultural product logistics service.Combining with the theory of modern logistics system,it reveals the problems in the logistics system and the causes,and then constructs the strategy of optimization for agricultural product logistics service in Nanping.The conclusion of the study can be references for the government to make scientific strategies for the development of the agricultural product logistics service and help logistics enterprises improve their service level. 展开更多
关键词 AGRICULTURAL product LOGISTICS service ANALYTIC HIERARCHY process(AHP) evaluation optimization supply chain
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