Outcomes of nonresected main-duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms of the pancreas

AIM:To compare characteristics and outcomes of resected and nonresected main-duct and mixed intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms of the pancreas(IPMN).METHODS:Over a 14-year period,50 patients who did not undergo surgery for resectable main-duct or mixed IPMN,for reasons of precluding comorbidities,age and/or refusal,were compared with 74 patients who underwent resection to assess differences in rates of survival,recurrence/occurrence of malignancy,and prognostic factors.All study participants had dilatation of the main pancreatic duct by ≥ 5 mm,with or without dilatation of the branch ducts.Some of the nonsurgical patients showed evidence of mucus upon perendoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography or endoscopic ultrasound and/or after fine needle aspiration.For the surgical patients,pathologic analysis of resected specimens confirmed a diagnosis of IPMN with involvement of the main pancreatic duct or of both branch ducts as well as the main pancreatic duct.Clinical and biologic follow-ups were conducted for all patients at least annually,through hospitalization or consultation every six months during the first year of follow-up,together with abdominal imaging analysis(magnetic resonance cholangiopancreatography or computed tomography) and,if necessary,endoscopic ultrasound with or without fine needle aspiration.RESULTS:The overall five-year survival rate of patients who underwent resection was significantly greater than that for the nonsurgical patients(74% vs 58%; P =0.019).The parameters of age(< 70 years) and absence of a nodule were associated with better survival(P < 0.05); however,the parameters of main pancreatic duct diameter > 10 mm,branch ductdiameter > 30 mm,or presence of extra pancreatic cancers did not significantly influence the prognosis.In the nonsurgical patients,pancreatic malignancy occurred in 36% of cases within a mean time of 33 mo(median:29 mo; range:8-141 mo).Comparison of the nonsurgical patients who experienced disease progression with those who did not progress showed no significant differences in age,sex,symptoms,subtype of IPMN,or follow-up period; only the size of the main pancreatic duct was significantly different between these two sub-groups,with the nonsurgical patients who experienced progression showing a greater diameter at the time of diagnosis(> 10 mm).CONCLUSION:Patients unfit for surgery have a 36% greater risk of developing pancreatic malignancy of the main-duct or mixed IPMN within a median of 2.5 years.