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Strong direct and indirect influences of climate change on water yield confirmed by the Budyko framework
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作者 Hui Yang Hao Xu +2 位作者 chris huntingford Philippe Ciais Shilong Piao 《Geography and Sustainability》 2021年第4期281-287,共7页
Research findings concerning the main processes influencing water resources differ substantially,and so the topic remains controversial.Recent studies indicate that the changes in water yield,expressed through the n-p... Research findings concerning the main processes influencing water resources differ substantially,and so the topic remains controversial.Recent studies indicate that the changes in water yield,expressed through the n-parameter of Budyko framework,are associated with vegetation coverage changes.Here,we use runoffmeasurements and outputs from 13 dynamic global vegetation models,to investigate the underlying drivers of the n-parameter changes.Unlike previous studies,we instead find that climate change is the primary driver of adjustments on water resources.Changing climatic characteristics,particularly the intensity and seasonality of rainfall,modulates the runoffgeneration process.Indirect effects of climate change occur through altering vegetation properties,which in turn also impact river flow.We also find that in the arid and sparse vegetation regions,water yield is more sensitive to changes in n-parameter.Thus,the Budyko framework provides a reliable parameter-sparse representation of runoffchanges,and reveals that terrestrial water cycle is changing substantially under climate change.This climate forcing requires on-going investigation to generate more refined and reliable projections of future water availability. 展开更多
关键词 Water cycle Climate change Atmospheric CO_(2) Land cover change RUNOFF
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