In this paper, the monthly rainfall statistical data of Nanning City, Capital of </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, China, from 2006 to 2018, were col<...In this paper, the monthly rainfall statistical data of Nanning City, Capital of </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, China, from 2006 to 2018, were col</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">lected. On the basis of qualitative analysis of the rainfall seasonal changing law, the non-linear seasonal rainfall forecast model on Nanning City with the method of Trend Comparison Ratio (TCR) was established by the statistical analysis </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">software Office Excel 2013. The model was used to predict the rainfall in</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> spring, summer, autumn and winter in Nanning in 2019. The results were: 286.41 mm, 695.79 mm, 292.20 mm and 118.11</span></span><span style="font-family:""> </span><span style="font-family:""><span style="font-family:Verdana;">mm, respectively. It was also found that the predicted results were consistent with the seasonal distribution cha</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">racteristics, annual distribution characteristics and the trend of historica</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">l </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">rainfall time series fluctuation, through the qualitative analysis of figures.</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> Compared with the actual measured rainfall data of Nanning City in 2019 in the China Statistical Yearbook (2020), the predicted values are </span></span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">basically </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">consistent with the measured values.展开更多
文摘In this paper, the monthly rainfall statistical data of Nanning City, Capital of </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, China, from 2006 to 2018, were col</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">lected. On the basis of qualitative analysis of the rainfall seasonal changing law, the non-linear seasonal rainfall forecast model on Nanning City with the method of Trend Comparison Ratio (TCR) was established by the statistical analysis </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">software Office Excel 2013. The model was used to predict the rainfall in</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> spring, summer, autumn and winter in Nanning in 2019. The results were: 286.41 mm, 695.79 mm, 292.20 mm and 118.11</span></span><span style="font-family:""> </span><span style="font-family:""><span style="font-family:Verdana;">mm, respectively. It was also found that the predicted results were consistent with the seasonal distribution cha</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">racteristics, annual distribution characteristics and the trend of historica</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">l </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">rainfall time series fluctuation, through the qualitative analysis of figures.</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> Compared with the actual measured rainfall data of Nanning City in 2019 in the China Statistical Yearbook (2020), the predicted values are </span></span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">basically </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">consistent with the measured values.
