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秦巴山区地质灾害危险性评价研究——以汉中市为例
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作者 杜建括 李双 +1 位作者 王淑新 邢海虹 《陕西理工大学学报(自然科学版)》 2024年第2期86-94,共9页
我国秦巴地区地质灾害多发,为了探索该区域地质灾害危险性分布特征,以汉中市为研究区,根据区内生态地质环境特点,选取海拔、坡度、岩土类型、距断层距离、距河流距离、距道路距离、年降水量、归一化植被指数、土地利用类型等9项因子构... 我国秦巴地区地质灾害多发,为了探索该区域地质灾害危险性分布特征,以汉中市为研究区,根据区内生态地质环境特点,选取海拔、坡度、岩土类型、距断层距离、距河流距离、距道路距离、年降水量、归一化植被指数、土地利用类型等9项因子构建地质灾害危险性评价指标体系。利用层次分析法和主成分分析法求得各评价指标的组合权重,在ArcGIS空间分析软件中将评价因子信息量值乘以指标的组合权重,再进行叠加分级处理,得到了研究区地质灾害危险性分区评价结果。结果表明:(1)根据信息量值和叠加分析得出断裂构造是研究区地质灾害发生的主控因子,且在临近河流、道路的区域极易发生地质灾害。(2)汉中市地质灾害极高、高危险区占全区面积的39.34%,主要横贯研究区中部;中危险区在境内分布相对零散,呈“大分散小集中”的特点,其中在汉中盆地地带较为集中;低、极低危险区占总面积的35.26%,主要位于研究区的北部和南部。 展开更多
关键词 地质灾害 危险性评价 信息量模型 层次分析法 主成分分析法 汉中市
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陕西省水资源利用与经济增长动态关系的VAR模型分析 被引量:18
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作者 李双 李哲 +2 位作者 杜建括 王淑新 邢海虹 《生态经济》 北大核心 2020年第10期146-154,共9页
运用VAR模型,通过ADF检验、脉冲响应函数和方差分解,对2000—2016年陕西省水资源与经济增长的动态关系进行分析。结果表明:(1)陕西省及其三大地区的总GDP、农业产值、工业产值与其相应的用水量之间存在长期均衡关系;(2)由脉冲响应轨迹... 运用VAR模型,通过ADF检验、脉冲响应函数和方差分解,对2000—2016年陕西省水资源与经济增长的动态关系进行分析。结果表明:(1)陕西省及其三大地区的总GDP、农业产值、工业产值与其相应的用水量之间存在长期均衡关系;(2)由脉冲响应轨迹分析可知,陕西省及各地区经济参数与其用水量参数彼此间的影响总体表现为短期较强烈,长期彼此间的影响越来越弱,但三大地区经济增长与水资源利用关系的具体表现形式又有一定差异;(3)由方差分解分析可知,因资源、环境与经济发展状况的不同,陕西省及各地区经济参数与其用水量参数彼此间的贡献度存在明显的区域差异。 展开更多
关键词 水资源利用 经济增长 VAR模型 脉冲响应函数 方差分解
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基于灰靶模型和GIS的陕南暴雨洪涝灾害风险区划 被引量:10
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作者 李双 杜建括 +1 位作者 张志伟 邢海虹 《人民长江》 北大核心 2021年第7期17-21,共5页
基于陕南地区28县区统计数据,应用熵权和灰靶评价模型方法,构建陕南地区暴雨洪涝灾害风险评价模型,结合GIS空间分析技术对陕南地区暴雨洪涝灾害风险进行了区划。结果表明:①陕南地区致灾因子风险性整体较高,10个县区为中等或以上风险等... 基于陕南地区28县区统计数据,应用熵权和灰靶评价模型方法,构建陕南地区暴雨洪涝灾害风险评价模型,结合GIS空间分析技术对陕南地区暴雨洪涝灾害风险进行了区划。结果表明:①陕南地区致灾因子风险性整体较高,10个县区为中等或以上风险等级,尤其是以中低山地形为主的柞水县、镇巴县和镇坪县风险最高;②承灾体暴露性以轻风险为主,规模以上工业产值高的城固县、人口密度大的汉台区风险较高;③孕灾环境高脆弱性区分布在汉滨区,其余县区脆弱性危险等级处于中等以下水平;④本区防灾减灾能力整体偏弱,经济发展较好的汉台区、汉滨区其防灾减灾能力等级为强和较强。综合风险区划结果显示,陕南地区暴雨洪涝风险等级较高,28个县区中处于中等及以上风险等级的县区有9个。 展开更多
关键词 暴雨洪涝灾害 风险区划 灰靶模型 GIS 陕南地区
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近十年陕西省农村生活水平的比较分析与思考——基于两次农业普查的数据
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作者 李双 杜建括 邢海虹 《陕西理工大学学报(社会科学版)》 2020年第1期66-71,共6页
基于陕西省第二次与第三次农业普查的数据,从农村农业经营人员受教育程度、生活耐用品消费情况、信息化水平和基本医疗社会服务等4个方面筛选多项指标,对陕西省农村生活水平做了横向与纵向比较分析,得出以下结论:(1)与2006年相比,截止2... 基于陕西省第二次与第三次农业普查的数据,从农村农业经营人员受教育程度、生活耐用品消费情况、信息化水平和基本医疗社会服务等4个方面筛选多项指标,对陕西省农村生活水平做了横向与纵向比较分析,得出以下结论:(1)与2006年相比,截止2016年底各项指标均有不同程度的提升,表明近十年陕西省农村居民生活水平有较明显改善。(2)多数指标与全国平均水平较一致,但省际尺度上存在差异。陕西省农村居民总体受教育程度较低,信息化水平不高,由于经济发展水平相对较低,以家庭养老为主。(3)省内横向比较来看,关中地区农村居民总体生活水平较陕北、陕南高,但三大地区之间在农业经营人员受教育程度、农村信息化水平方面并无显著差异;陕北、陕南与关中农村居民在耐用品消费方面存在显著性差异。据此,提出几点建议:积极开展农村教育和技能培训工作,提升农民的学历和职业技能。完善农村医疗卫生服务体系,提高农村的医疗水平。加强对农村信息化建设的扶持力度,大力推进农村信息化水平。 展开更多
关键词 陕西省 农业普查 生活水平 比较
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A Responsible Tourism System at Glacier Tourism Sites:Reducing the Impacts of Tourism Activities on Glaciers 被引量:1
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作者 WANG Shuxin TAN Chunping +3 位作者 du jiankuo TANG Zi LIU Chenyan WANG Yarong 《Journal of Resources and Ecology》 CSCD 2022年第4期697-707,共11页
The anthropogenic heat release from tourism activities has a cumulative effect on glacial retreat when coupled with climate change.Mitigating the impacts of glacial tourism activities on glaciers and promoting the sus... The anthropogenic heat release from tourism activities has a cumulative effect on glacial retreat when coupled with climate change.Mitigating the impacts of glacial tourism activities on glaciers and promoting the sustainable development of glacial tourism have become urgent issues.Taking Yulong and Hailuogou glacier tourism destinations as examples,we collected survey questionnaires related to glacial tourists(n=1113)and tourism companies(n=329)by systematic field surveys during 2016–2017,and we obtained data on energy consumption from catering,accommodation,transportation,sightseeing,shopping,entertainment,and waste disposal.This study builds a responsible tourism system and discusses the strategies and measures used to engage stakeholders(mainly tourism companies,tourists,local governments,tourism associations,and the central government)in responsible tourism in order to reduce the impacts of tourism activities on glaciers.These strategies mainly include:improving the energy efficiency of the supply of tourism products and services,promoting the consumption of low-energy tourism products and services,strengthening the supervision and management of low-energy consumption tourism development,creating an environment for energy savings and consumption reduction,and establishing a long-term operational mechanism for responsible tourism management.A rewsponsible tourism system allows stakeholders to properly address this dilemma,internalize sustainable development goals to find their intrinsic self-discipline,and work together to fulfill the public responsibility of realizing the sustainable development of glacial tourism. 展开更多
关键词 glacier tourism STAKEHOLDERS responsible tourism system sustainable development
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Altitude dependency of trends of daily climate extremes in southwestern China, 1961-2008 被引量:36
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作者 Li Zongxing He Yuanqing +6 位作者 Theakstone, Wilfred H. Wang Xufeng Zhang Wei Cao Weihong du jiankuo Xin Huijuan Chang Li 《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 SCIE CSCD 2012年第3期416-430,共15页
A total of 12 indices of temperature extremes and 11 indices of precipitation extremes at 111 stations in southwestern China at altitudes of 285-4700 m were examined for the period 1961-2008. Significant correlations ... A total of 12 indices of temperature extremes and 11 indices of precipitation extremes at 111 stations in southwestern China at altitudes of 285-4700 m were examined for the period 1961-2008. Significant correlations of temperature extremes and elevation included the trends of diurnal temperature range, frost days, ice days, cold night frequency and cold day frequency. Regional trends of growing season length, warm night frequency, coldest night and warmest night displayed a statistically significant positive correlation with altitude. These characteristics indicated the obvious warming with altitude. For precipitation extreme indices, only the trends of consecutive dry days, consecutive wet days, wet day precipitation and the number of heavy precipitation days had significant correlations with increasing altitude owing to the complex influence of atmospheric circulation. It also indicated the increased precipitation mainly at higher altitude areas, whereas the increase of extreme precipitation events mainly at lowers altitude. In addition, the clearly local influences are also crucial on climate extremes. The analysis revealed an enhanced sensitivity of climate extremes to elevation in southwestern China in the context of recent warming. 展开更多
关键词 southwestern China CLIMATE altitude dependency
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Glacial advances and ESR chronology of the Pochengzi Glaciation,Tianshan Mountains,China 被引量:9
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作者 ZHAO JingDong LIU ShiYin +2 位作者 WANG Jie SONG YouGui du jiankuo 《Science China Earth Sciences》 SCIE EI CAS 2010年第3期403-410,共8页
The Pochengzi Glaciation is a typical glaciation in Quaternary in the Tianshan Mountains. The glacial landforms comprise several integrated end moraines, like a fan spreading from the north to the south at the mouth o... The Pochengzi Glaciation is a typical glaciation in Quaternary in the Tianshan Mountains. The glacial landforms comprise several integrated end moraines, like a fan spreading from the north to the south at the mouth of the Muzhaerte River valley and on the piedmont on the southeastern slope of the Tumur Peak, the largest center of modern glaciation in the Tianshan Mountains. The landforms recorded a complex history of the ancient glacier change and contained considerable information of the glacial landscape evolution, and dating these landforms helps us understand the temporal and spatial shifts of the past cryosphere in this valley and reconstruct the paleoenvironment in this region. Electron spin resonance (ESR) dating of the glacial tills in the upper stratum from a well-exposed section, end moraines, and associated outwashes was carried out using Ge centers in quartz grains, which are sensitive to the sunlight and grinding. The results could be divided into three clusters, 13.6–25.3, 39.5–40.4 and 64.2–71.7 ka. Based on the principle of geomorphology and stratigraphy and the available paleoen- vironmental data from northwestern China, the end moraines were determined to deposit in the Last Glaciation. The landforms and the three clusters of ages demonstrate that at least three large glacial advances occurred during the Pochengzi Glaciation, which are corresponding to marine oxygen isotope stage 4 (MIS4), MIS3b and MIS2. The landforms also indicate that the gla- ciers were compound valley glacier in MIS2 and MIS3b and piedmont glacier in MIS4, and the ancient Muzhaerte glacier were 94, 95 and 99 km at their maximum extensions in these three glacial advances. 展开更多
关键词 ESR dating GLACIAL advance Pochengzi GLACIATION TIANSHAN Mountains
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干旱区雨养多枝柽柳茎干液流动态及其对环境因子的响应 被引量:13
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作者 李双 杜建括 肖洪浪 《干旱区资源与环境》 CSSCI CSCD 北大核心 2018年第12期170-175,共6页
为探究干旱区雨养柽柳茎流速率与气象要素的关系,对多枝柽柳茎干液流速率及环境因子进行了同步监测。结果表明:1)不同天气条件下,柽柳液流速率的日变化进程明显不同;气象因子对柽柳液流影响依次为太阳辐射>水汽压差>气温>相对... 为探究干旱区雨养柽柳茎流速率与气象要素的关系,对多枝柽柳茎干液流速率及环境因子进行了同步监测。结果表明:1)不同天气条件下,柽柳液流速率的日变化进程明显不同;气象因子对柽柳液流影响依次为太阳辐射>水汽压差>气温>相对湿度>风速,回归模型能较好地解释不同月份柽柳液流速率变化。2)柽柳上、下午液流速率与太阳辐射变化呈非对称性,拟合结果在P<0.01的显著水平上R2均达0.930以上。3)夜间,柽柳维持着较稳定的低速液流,其量占全天液流量的3.92%~13.53%,且约有50%用于植物夜间蒸腾。 展开更多
关键词 多枝柽柳 茎干液流 气象要素 夜间蒸腾
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