The acknowledgements should read as:Author acknowledges the Commission on Higher Education(CHED)support for paper presentation in international conference(Aug-6-13),and the National Research Council of the Philippines...The acknowledgements should read as:Author acknowledges the Commission on Higher Education(CHED)support for paper presentation in international conference(Aug-6-13),and the National Research Council of the Philippines(NRCP)Grant B-108.展开更多
Epidemics of infectious diseases have been known to recur in time.Diseases like influenza,despite intervention efforts through vaccination and targeted social distancing,continue to persist intermittently in the popul...Epidemics of infectious diseases have been known to recur in time.Diseases like influenza,despite intervention efforts through vaccination and targeted social distancing,continue to persist intermittently in the population.I have undertaken an analysis of a stochastic epidemic model with the hypothesis that intervention drives epidemic cycles.Intervention indeed is found to induce cycles of epidemic activity.Above a minimum intervention rate,however,activity dies out in finite time.The susceptibility structure of a community could be easily infused into the design of existing surveillance protocols.By tracking that structure,early detection of an impending outbreak is enhanced.展开更多
文摘The acknowledgements should read as:Author acknowledges the Commission on Higher Education(CHED)support for paper presentation in international conference(Aug-6-13),and the National Research Council of the Philippines(NRCP)Grant B-108.
基金support from the Ateneo Scholarly Work Grant SOSE 172012the National Research Council of the Philippines(NRCP)Grant B-108.
文摘Epidemics of infectious diseases have been known to recur in time.Diseases like influenza,despite intervention efforts through vaccination and targeted social distancing,continue to persist intermittently in the population.I have undertaken an analysis of a stochastic epidemic model with the hypothesis that intervention drives epidemic cycles.Intervention indeed is found to induce cycles of epidemic activity.Above a minimum intervention rate,however,activity dies out in finite time.The susceptibility structure of a community could be easily infused into the design of existing surveillance protocols.By tracking that structure,early detection of an impending outbreak is enhanced.
