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树轮所记录的公元1842年以来内蒙古东部浑善达克沙地PDSI的变化 被引量:34
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作者 梁尔源 邵雪梅 +1 位作者 刘鸿雁 eckstein dieter 《科学通报》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2007年第14期1694-1699,共6页
利用浑善达克沙地东部新建立的4条油松和白扦年轮宽度序列,重建了过去163a来干旱变化的历史.结果表明,该区树轮序列具有明显的年际变化和较强的公共信号,且树轮序列之间的变化比较一致,是很好的区域气候代用资料.通过对4个树轮宽度标准... 利用浑善达克沙地东部新建立的4条油松和白扦年轮宽度序列,重建了过去163a来干旱变化的历史.结果表明,该区树轮序列具有明显的年际变化和较强的公共信号,且树轮序列之间的变化比较一致,是很好的区域气候代用资料.通过对4个树轮宽度标准年表的平均而建立了一个区域年表(RC),并用其进行分析与气候重建.树木的生长主要受2~3与6~7月份的低降雨量和5~7月份高温的限制.由于PDSI考虑了前期干旱的积累效应,因此RC与生长季及生长季之前的PDSI之间均存在显著的正相关关系;响应函数的分析揭示,RC仅与6,7月份(5月份也接近95%的置信水平)的PDSI之间存在显著的关系.5~7月份是浑善达克沙地树木生长的关键时期,因此我们采用RC重建了过去163a来5~7月份平均PDSI的变化,重建方程的方差解释量高达52%,且方程稳定.重建的5~7月份的平均PDSI序列与周边城市的平均旱涝指数的变化趋势比较一致,并捕捉到了20世纪60年代中期以来东亚夏季风的明显减弱过程.值得提出的是,近40a是过去163a来浑善达克沙地比较干旱的时期.与华北夏季降雨变化周期相同的是重建的5~7月份的平均PDSI序列也具有20a的显著变化周期. 展开更多
关键词 浑善达克沙地 树木年轮 PDSI重建 20 a变化周期
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Tree-ring based PDSI reconstruction since AD 1842 in the Ortindag Sand Land,east Inner Mongolia 被引量:38
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作者 LIANG ErYuan SHAO XueMei +1 位作者 LIU HongYan eckstein dieter 《Chinese Science Bulletin》 SCIE EI CAS 2007年第19期2715-2721,共7页
epartment of Wood Science, University of Hamburg, Hamburg D-21031, GermanyBased on three Chinese pine (Pinus tabulaeformis Carr.) and one Meyer spruce (Picea meyeri Rehd. et Wils.) ring-width chronologies, a 163-year ... epartment of Wood Science, University of Hamburg, Hamburg D-21031, GermanyBased on three Chinese pine (Pinus tabulaeformis Carr.) and one Meyer spruce (Picea meyeri Rehd. et Wils.) ring-width chronologies, a 163-year drought history was reconstructed in the eastern Ortindag Sand Land. All tree-ring chronologies show large inter-annual variations and strong common signals and fairly consistent variation between different chronologies, indicating that they are excellent proxy of regional climate. A regional chronology (RC) was established by averaging the four standard chronologies and further employed for the analysis and climatic reconstruction. The analysis revealed that tree growth is primarily limited by low precipitation in February-March and June-July and high temperature in May-July. In addition, RC has high correlations with the monthly Palmer drought severity index (PDSI) prior to and during the growing season because the PDSI considers the accumulation of the droughts. Response function analysis revealed that RC only exhibits significant correlations with the PDSI in June and July (close to the 95% significance level in May). Because May―July is a critical period for tree growth, the average May-July PDSI (PDSI5-7) was reconstructed back to 1842 using RC in the Ortindag Sand Land. The reconstruction can explain 52% of the PDSI variance and the equation was rather stable over time. It agrees well with the variation of the average dryness/wetness indices in North China,and captures the decline process of the East Asian summer monsoon since the mid-1960s. It is worth noting that the Ortindag Sand Land has experienced the most severe drought in the recent 40 years based on the 163-year drought reconstruction. Like summer precipitation in North China the reconstructed PDSI5-7 also displays a 20-year oscillation. 展开更多
关键词 干旱 沙地 环境 地质
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