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以美国交通为例分析高速铁路二氧化碳减排潜力(译文) 被引量:2
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作者 涂海 Andrew Kosinski +1 位作者 Lee Schipper elizabeth deakin 《科技视界》 2012年第9期6-12,97,共8页
美国已着手对一项新项目进行投资,即城际高速铁路系统,联邦基金投入80亿美元的头期款。高速铁路项目旨在提供就业机会,支援经济发展,为经济竞争力奠定基础,支持互联宜居社区,提高能源效率,改善环境质量。在本论文中,我们研究了高速铁路... 美国已着手对一项新项目进行投资,即城际高速铁路系统,联邦基金投入80亿美元的头期款。高速铁路项目旨在提供就业机会,支援经济发展,为经济竞争力奠定基础,支持互联宜居社区,提高能源效率,改善环境质量。在本论文中,我们研究了高速铁路预期能源和环境效益的一个具体方面:对比持续依赖汽车和航空模式的城际旅行,分析二氧化碳减排潜力。通过预测2050年的美国旅行,以及从欧洲(基于美国的预测)获得的向高铁转变的经验,我们为美国高速铁路提出方案,解释旅行中交通工具,燃料,二氧化碳排放的改变,并基于对未来旅行条件和水平的两种预测,对2050年有竞争的汽车和航空模式需求水平做出解释。一种方案假设趋势会扩展,另一种方案假设为绿色革命,其为相当低水平的旅行及排放量。我们可以得出结论,即在任何一种方案下,与无高速铁路的原方案对比,高速铁路将在交通方面少量(约1%)减少二氧化碳排放。二氧化碳排放量只能少量降低的主要原因是在由高速铁路连接的主要地铁区域和转向高速铁路的范围内旅行所占的份额很少。 展开更多
关键词 高速铁路 旅客运输 汽车 航空
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Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and generational heterogeneity on ecommerce shopping styles-A case study of Sacramento,California
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作者 Qianhua Luo Teddy Forscher +2 位作者 Susan Shaheen elizabeth deakin Joan L.Walker 《Communications in Transportation Research》 2023年第1期53-61,共9页
The COVID pandemic has accelerated the growth of ecommerce and reshaped shopping patterns,which in turn impacts trip-making and vehicle miles traveled.The objectives of this study are to define shopping styles and qua... The COVID pandemic has accelerated the growth of ecommerce and reshaped shopping patterns,which in turn impacts trip-making and vehicle miles traveled.The objectives of this study are to define shopping styles and quantify their prevalence in the population,investigate the impact of the pandemic on shopping style transition,understand the generational heterogeneity and other factors that influence shopping styles,and comment on the potential impact of the pandemic on long-term shopping behavior.Two months after the initial shutdown(May/June 2021),we collected ecommerce behavioral data from 313 Sacramento Region households using an online survey.A K-means clustering analysis of shopping behavior across eight commodity types identified five shopping styles,including ecommerce independent,ecommerce dependent,and three mixed modes in-between.We found that the share of ecommerce independent style shifted from 55%pre-pandemic to 27%during the pandemic.Overall,30%kept the same style as pre-pandemic,54%became more ecommerce dependent,and 16%became less ecommerce dependent,with the latter group more likely to view shopping an excuse to get out.Heterogeneity was found across generations.Pre-pandemic,Millennials and Gen Z were the most ecommerce dependent,but during the pandemic they made relatively small shifts toward increased ecommerce dependency.Baby Boomers and the Silent Generation were bimodal,either sticking to in-person shopping or shifting to ecommercedependency during the pandemic.Post-pandemic intentions varied across styles,with households who primarily adopt non-food ecommerce intending to reverse back to in-person shopping,while the highly ecommerce dependent intend to limit future in-store activities. 展开更多
关键词 ECOMMERCE COVID pandemic Shopping patterns Generational heterogeneity
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