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人为气溶胶排放导致最近80年东亚夏季风在过去四个世纪以来空前减弱 被引量:9
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作者 刘禹 蔡文炬 +21 位作者 孙长峰 宋慧明 Kim MCobb 李建平 Steven WLeavitt 吴立新 蔡秋芳 刘若时 Benjamin Ng Paolo Cherubini Ulf Büntgen 宋怡 王国建 雷莺 晏利斌 李强 马永永 方丛羲 孙军艳 李旭祥 Deliang Chen Hans WLinderholm 《地球环境学报》 CSCD 2019年第6期527-542,共16页
亚洲夏季风(Asian Summer Monsoon,ASM)对亚洲数十亿人口的生存、亚洲生态系统和生物多样性的分布、以及农业生产(粮食安全)和工业活动影响严重。因此了解ASM过去时空变化及其动力学过程对陆地生态系统、水资源、森林和景观研究至关重... 亚洲夏季风(Asian Summer Monsoon,ASM)对亚洲数十亿人口的生存、亚洲生态系统和生物多样性的分布、以及农业生产(粮食安全)和工业活动影响严重。因此了解ASM过去时空变化及其动力学过程对陆地生态系统、水资源、森林和景观研究至关重要。近几十年,器测记录显示以降水量为代表的ASM强度一直在减弱,但这一减弱趋势的起始时间和动力学过程尚不清楚。为此,第一次集成了ASM西部-中部边缘带10个对降水敏感的树木年轮宽度年表,重建了公元1566年以来反映ASM强度变化的降水序列。重建结果不仅捕捉到了ASM过去4个世纪以来强弱变化历史,也反映出历史上蝗灾与弱季风的关联。特别是发现了最近80年具有过去448年中前所未有的、最为强烈的、显著且持续时间最长的ASM强度减弱趋势。这一减弱趋势与在温室效应影响下ASM本该增强的预期大相庭径。耦合气候模型实验表明,北半球人为硫酸盐气溶胶排放的逐渐增加,对ASM减弱起了决定性作用。 展开更多
关键词 东亚夏季风 树木年轮 降水重建 人为气溶胶 ASM减弱趋势
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Tree-ring-based drought variability in northern China over the past three centuries 被引量:4
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作者 ZENG Xueli LIU Yu +5 位作者 SONG Huiming LI Qiang CAI Qiufang fang congxi SUN Changfeng REN Meng 《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 SCIE CSCD 2022年第2期214-224,共11页
Droughts are the most frequent natural disaster in regions at the margins of the East Asian summer monsoon(EASM),which pose threats to agriculture,the economy,and human lives.However,the limitations of only approximat... Droughts are the most frequent natural disaster in regions at the margins of the East Asian summer monsoon(EASM),which pose threats to agriculture,the economy,and human lives.However,the limitations of only approximately 60 years of meteorological observations hamper our understanding of the characteristics and mechanisms of local hydroclimate.Trees growing in the marginal region of the EASM are usually sensitive to moisture variations and have played important roles in past hydroclimatic reconstructions.Here,a 303-year tree-ring-width chronology of Pinus tabulaeformis from Mt.Lama,which is located in the junction of the Liaoning Province and Inner Mongolia,China,was used to reconstruct the May-August Palmer drought severity index(PDSI)in the marginal region of the EASM.The transfer function explains 48.0%(or 47.2%after adjusting for the loss of the degrees of freedom)of the variance over the calibration period from 1946 to 2012.A spatial correlation analysis demonstrates that our PDSI reconstruction can represent the drought variability on the northernmost margin of the EASM.The winter Asian polar vortex area index showed a delayed impact on the summer EASM precipitation in the following year. 展开更多
关键词 tree-ring width Mt.Lama PDSI East Asian summer monsoon Asian polar vortex area index
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