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面向碳达峰碳中和目标的省域碳减排仿真与对策研究——以河北省为例
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作者 朱婧 刘金娜 +1 位作者 房学宁 窦睿音 《生态经济》 北大核心 2024年第7期20-26,共7页
在国家2030年碳达峰和2060年碳中和目标背景下,探讨省域尺度实现碳减排目标的可能情景。选择碳排放总量和强度、能源结构、产业结构都具备高碳排放典型特征的河北全域作为研究区,基于系统动力学思想研究河北碳达峰及碳中和目标情景,阐... 在国家2030年碳达峰和2060年碳中和目标背景下,探讨省域尺度实现碳减排目标的可能情景。选择碳排放总量和强度、能源结构、产业结构都具备高碳排放典型特征的河北全域作为研究区,基于系统动力学思想研究河北碳达峰及碳中和目标情景,阐明经济社会发展和能源、碳排放系统间的作用影响。结果表明:(1)通过增加第三产业占比、控制高耗能行业产量、优化产业结构等多项措施,河北可以同步实现2030年碳达峰目标。(2)碳达峰目标实现后,继续坚持扩大碳汇规模,在实现非化石能源占一次能源消费比重约40%、火力发电占比约53%的条件下,可以同步实现2060年碳中和目标。(3)推进能源供给低碳绿色改革是保障河北碳达峰及碳中和目标实现的重要因素,其中提高非化石能源占比和火力发电低碳化是政策关键。 展开更多
关键词 碳减排 情景分析 能源政策 省域
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Effects of Different Land-Use Types on Soil Erosion Under Natural Rainfall in the Loess Plateau, China 被引量:12
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作者 FENG Qiang ZHAO Wenwu +5 位作者 WANG Jun ZHANG Xiao ZHAO Mingyue ZHONG Lina LIU Yuanxin fang xuening 《Pedosphere》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2016年第2期243-256,共14页
The Loess Plateau, which is located in the arid and semi-arid areas of China, experiences significant soil erosion due to intense human activities and soil erodibility. It is necessary to explore and identify the land... The Loess Plateau, which is located in the arid and semi-arid areas of China, experiences significant soil erosion due to intense human activities and soil erodibility. It is necessary to explore and identify the land-use types or land-use patterns that can control soil erosion and achieve certain agricultural production capabilities. This study established runoff plots with two slope gradients (5° and 15°) in north of Yan'an, one area of the Loess Plateau, with 3 single land-use types (cultivated land, CL; switchgrass, SG; and abandoned land, AL) and 2 composite land-use types (CL-SG and CL-AL). From 2006 to 2012, we continuously monitored the rainfall characteristics, runoff depth, soil loss, vegetation coverage, and soil physical properties. The results indicated a general trend in the number of runoff and soil loss events for the 5 land-use types: CL = CL-SG 〉 CL-AL 〉 SG〉 AL. The general trend for runoff depth, soil loss, their magnitudes of variation, and the slopes of rainfall-runoff regression equation was CL 〉 CL-SG 〉 CL-AL 〉 SG 〉 AL, whereas the rainfall threshold for runoff generation exhibited the opposite trend. Results of nonparametric test regarding runoff depth/EI3o and soil loss/EI3o, where EI3o is the product of rainfall kinetic energy and the maximum rainfall intensity over 30 min, and the runoff depth-soil loss relationship regression indicated that the effect of CL-AL was similar to that of SG; SG was similar to AL; and CL-AL, SG, and AL were superior to CL with regard to soil and water conservation. Runoff depth and soil loss significantly increased as the slope gradient increased. Runoff depth and soil loss were significantly correlated with the soil particle size composition and bulk density, respectively. The strongest significant correlations were found between runoff depth and vegetation coverage as well as between soil loss and vegetation coverage, which showed that vegetation coverage was the primary factor controlling soil erosion. Therefore, the composite land-use type CL-AL and the artificial grassland (SG) are appropriate options because both soil conservation and a certain degree of agricultural production are necessary in the study area. 展开更多
关键词 runoff depth soil conservation soil loss vegetation coverage vegetation pattern
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