This paper presents an attempt at assimilating clear-sky FY-4A Advanced Geosynchronous Radiation Imager(AGRI)radiances from two water vapor channels for the prediction of three landfalling typhoon events over the West...This paper presents an attempt at assimilating clear-sky FY-4A Advanced Geosynchronous Radiation Imager(AGRI)radiances from two water vapor channels for the prediction of three landfalling typhoon events over the West Pacific Ocean using the 3DVar data assimilation(DA)method along with the WRF model.A channel-sensitive cloud detection scheme based on the particle filter(PF)algorithm is developed and examined against a cloud detection scheme using the multivariate and minimum residual(MMR)algorithm and another traditional cloud mask–dependent cloud detection scheme.Results show that both channel-sensitive cloud detection schemes are effective,while the PF scheme is able to reserve more pixels than the MMR scheme for the same channel.In general,the added value of AGRI radiances is confirmed when comparing with the control experiment without AGRI radiances.Moreover,it is found that the analysis fields of the PF experiment are mostly improved in terms of better depicting the typhoon,including the temperature,moisture,and dynamical conditions.The typhoon track forecast skill is improved with AGRI radiance DA,which could be explained by better simulating the upper trough.The impact of assimilating AGRI radiances on typhoon intensity forecasts is small.On the other hand,improved rainfall forecasts from AGRI DA experiments are found along with reduced errors for both the thermodynamic and moisture fields,albeit the improvements are limited.展开更多
Aerosol optical depth(AOD) is the most basic parameter that describes the optical properties of atmospheric aerosols,and it can be used to indicate aerosol content. In this study, we assimilated AOD data from the Feng...Aerosol optical depth(AOD) is the most basic parameter that describes the optical properties of atmospheric aerosols,and it can be used to indicate aerosol content. In this study, we assimilated AOD data from the Fengyun-3 A(FY-3 A) and MODIS meteorological satellite using the Gridpoint Statistical Interpolation three-dimensional variational data assimilation system. Experiments were conducted for a dust storm over East Asia in April 2011. Each 0600 UTC analysis initialized a24-h Weather Research and Forecasting with Chemistry model forecast. The results generally showed that the assimilation of satellite AOD observational data can significantly improve model aerosol mass prediction skills. The AOD distribution of the analysis field was closer to the observations of the satellite after assimilation of satellite AOD data. In addition, the analysis resulting from the experiment assimilating both FY-3 A/MERSI(Medium-resolution Spectral Imager) AOD data and MODIS AOD data had closer agreement with the ground-based values than the individual assimilation of the two datasets for the dust storm over East Asia. These results suggest that the Chinese FY-3 A satellite aerosol products can be effectively applied to numerical models and dust weather analysis.展开更多
Although radar observations capture storm structures with high spatiotemporal resolutions, they are limited within the storm region after the precipitation formed. Geostationary satellites data cover the gaps in the r...Although radar observations capture storm structures with high spatiotemporal resolutions, they are limited within the storm region after the precipitation formed. Geostationary satellites data cover the gaps in the radar network prior to the formation of the precipitation for the storms and their environment. The study explores the effects of assimilating the water vapor channel radiances from Himawari-8 data with Weather Research and Forecasting model data assimilation system(WRFDA) for a severe storm case over north China. A fast cloud detection scheme for Advanced Himawari imager(AHI)radiance is enhanced in the framework of the WRFDA system initially in this study. The bias corrections, the cloud detection for the clear-sky AHI radiance, and the observation error modeling for cloudy radiance are conducted before the data assimilation. All AHI radiance observations are fully applied without any quality control for all-sky AHI radiance data assimilation. Results show that the simulated all-sky AHI radiance fits the observations better by using the cloud dependent observation error model, further improving the cloud heights. The all-sky AHI radiance assimilation adjusts all types of hydrometeor variables, especially cloud water and precipitation snow. It is proven that assimilating all-sky AHI data improves hydrometeor specifications when verified against the radar reflectivity. Consequently, the assimilation of AHI observations under the all-sky condition has an overall improved impact on both the precipitation locations and intensity compared to the experiment with only conventional and AHI clear-sky radiance data.展开更多
The impact of assimilating radiance data from the advanced satellite sensor GMI(GPM microwave imager)for typhoon analyses and forecasts was investigated using both a three-dimensional variational(3DVAR)and a hybrid en...The impact of assimilating radiance data from the advanced satellite sensor GMI(GPM microwave imager)for typhoon analyses and forecasts was investigated using both a three-dimensional variational(3DVAR)and a hybrid ensemble-3DVAR method.The interface of assimilating the radiance for the sensor GMI was established in the Weather Research and Forecasting(WRF)model.The GMI radiance data are assimilated for Typhoon Matmo(2014),Typhoon Chan-hom(2015),Typhoon Meranti(2016),and Typhoon Mangkhut(2018)in the Pacific before their landing.The results show that after assimilating the GMI radiance data under clear sky condition with the 3DVAR method,the wind,temperature,and humidity fields are effectively adjusted,leading to improved forecast skills of the typhoon track with GMI radiance assimilation.The hybrid DA method is able to further adjust the location of the typhoon systematically.The improvement of the track forecast is even more obvious for later forecast periods.In addition,water vapor and hydrometeors are enhanced to some extent,especially with the hybrid method.展开更多
Molecular reconstruction is a rapid and reliable way to provide molecular detail of petroleum fractions,which is required in the kinetic modeling of petroleum conversation processes at the molecular level.In the typic...Molecular reconstruction is a rapid and reliable way to provide molecular detail of petroleum fractions,which is required in the kinetic modeling of petroleum conversation processes at the molecular level.In the typical stochastic reconstruction method,the estimation of properties of pseudo molecules that are generated by Monte Carlo sampling depends on the building of predefined molecular libraries,which is expensive and inaccessible for certain petroleum fractions.In this paper,a novel stochastic reconstruction strategy is proposed,which is based on a stratified library of structural descriptors.Properties of pseudo molecules generated in the novel strategy can be directly estimated by group contribution method in the condition of lacking predefined molecular libraries.In this strategy,the molecular building diagram comprises two steps.First,the ring structure is configured by determining the number of rings.Different from the length of chain adopted in the traditional stochastic reconstruction method,in the second step,number of structural descriptors(SDs)for binding site and chain were determined sequentially for the configuration of binding site and saturated acyclic hydrocarbon chain.These structural descriptors for binding site and chain were selected from group contribution methods.To count the number of partial overlapping sections between structural descriptors for chain,two supplementary structural descriptors were created.All possible saturated structures of hydrocarbon chains can be represented by structural descriptors at the scale of property estimation.This strategy separates the building of a predefined molecule library from the stochastic reconstruction process.The exact structures of pseudo molecules represented by structural descriptors in this work can be determined with sufficient chemical knowledge.Fifty naphtha samples are tested independently to demonstrate the performance of the proposed strategy and the results show that the estimated properties were close enough to the experimental values.This strategy will benefit the molecular management of petrochemical industries and therefore improve economic and environmental efficiencies.展开更多
基金primarily supported by the Chinese National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No. G42192553)Open Fund of Fujian Key Laboratory ofSevere Weather and Key Laboratory of Straits Severe Weather(Grant No. 2023KFKT03)+6 种基金the Open Project Fund of China Meteorological Administration Basin Heavy Rainfall Key Laboratory(Grant No. 2023BHR-Y20)the Open Fund of the State Key Laboratory of Remote Sensing Science (Grant No. OFSLRSS202321)the Program of Shanghai Academic/Technology Research Leader(Grant No. 21XD1404500)the Shanghai Typhoon Research Foundation (Grant No. TFJJ202107)the Chinese National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. G41805016)the National Meteorological Center Foundation (Grant No. FY-APP-2021.0207)the High Performance Computing Center of Nanjing University of Information Science&Technology for their support of this work
文摘This paper presents an attempt at assimilating clear-sky FY-4A Advanced Geosynchronous Radiation Imager(AGRI)radiances from two water vapor channels for the prediction of three landfalling typhoon events over the West Pacific Ocean using the 3DVar data assimilation(DA)method along with the WRF model.A channel-sensitive cloud detection scheme based on the particle filter(PF)algorithm is developed and examined against a cloud detection scheme using the multivariate and minimum residual(MMR)algorithm and another traditional cloud mask–dependent cloud detection scheme.Results show that both channel-sensitive cloud detection schemes are effective,while the PF scheme is able to reserve more pixels than the MMR scheme for the same channel.In general,the added value of AGRI radiances is confirmed when comparing with the control experiment without AGRI radiances.Moreover,it is found that the analysis fields of the PF experiment are mostly improved in terms of better depicting the typhoon,including the temperature,moisture,and dynamical conditions.The typhoon track forecast skill is improved with AGRI radiance DA,which could be explained by better simulating the upper trough.The impact of assimilating AGRI radiances on typhoon intensity forecasts is small.On the other hand,improved rainfall forecasts from AGRI DA experiments are found along with reduced errors for both the thermodynamic and moisture fields,albeit the improvements are limited.
基金supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China (Grant Nos.2017YFC1502100 and 2016YFA0602302)the Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province (Grant Nos.BK20160954 and BK20170940)+3 种基金the Beijige Funding from Jiangsu Research Institute of Meteorological Science (Grant Nos.BJG201510 and BJG201604)the Startup Foundation for Introducing Talent of NUIST (Grant Nos.2016r27,2016r043 and 2017r058)a project for data application of Fengyun3 meteorological satellite [FY-3(02)UDS-1.1.2]the Priority Academic Program Development of Jiangsu Higher Education Institutions
文摘Aerosol optical depth(AOD) is the most basic parameter that describes the optical properties of atmospheric aerosols,and it can be used to indicate aerosol content. In this study, we assimilated AOD data from the Fengyun-3 A(FY-3 A) and MODIS meteorological satellite using the Gridpoint Statistical Interpolation three-dimensional variational data assimilation system. Experiments were conducted for a dust storm over East Asia in April 2011. Each 0600 UTC analysis initialized a24-h Weather Research and Forecasting with Chemistry model forecast. The results generally showed that the assimilation of satellite AOD observational data can significantly improve model aerosol mass prediction skills. The AOD distribution of the analysis field was closer to the observations of the satellite after assimilation of satellite AOD data. In addition, the analysis resulting from the experiment assimilating both FY-3 A/MERSI(Medium-resolution Spectral Imager) AOD data and MODIS AOD data had closer agreement with the ground-based values than the individual assimilation of the two datasets for the dust storm over East Asia. These results suggest that the Chinese FY-3 A satellite aerosol products can be effectively applied to numerical models and dust weather analysis.
基金supported by the Chinese National Natural Science Foundation of China (G41805016, G41805070)the Chinese National Key R&D Program of China (2018YFC1506404, 2018YFC1506603)+1 种基金the research project of Heavy Rain and Drought-Flood Disasters in Plateau and Basin Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province in China (SZKT201901, SZKT20 1904)the research project of the Institute of Atmospheric Environment, China Meteorological Administration, Shenyang in China (2020SYIAE02, 2020SYIAE07)。
文摘Although radar observations capture storm structures with high spatiotemporal resolutions, they are limited within the storm region after the precipitation formed. Geostationary satellites data cover the gaps in the radar network prior to the formation of the precipitation for the storms and their environment. The study explores the effects of assimilating the water vapor channel radiances from Himawari-8 data with Weather Research and Forecasting model data assimilation system(WRFDA) for a severe storm case over north China. A fast cloud detection scheme for Advanced Himawari imager(AHI)radiance is enhanced in the framework of the WRFDA system initially in this study. The bias corrections, the cloud detection for the clear-sky AHI radiance, and the observation error modeling for cloudy radiance are conducted before the data assimilation. All AHI radiance observations are fully applied without any quality control for all-sky AHI radiance data assimilation. Results show that the simulated all-sky AHI radiance fits the observations better by using the cloud dependent observation error model, further improving the cloud heights. The all-sky AHI radiance assimilation adjusts all types of hydrometeor variables, especially cloud water and precipitation snow. It is proven that assimilating all-sky AHI data improves hydrometeor specifications when verified against the radar reflectivity. Consequently, the assimilation of AHI observations under the all-sky condition has an overall improved impact on both the precipitation locations and intensity compared to the experiment with only conventional and AHI clear-sky radiance data.
基金the Chinese National Natural Science Foundation of China(G41805016)the Chinese National Key R&D Program of China(2018YFC1506404)+3 种基金the Chinese National Natural Science Founda-tion of China(G41805070)the Chinese National Key R&D Program of China(2018YFC1506603)the research project of Heavy Rain and Drought-Flood Disasters in Plateau and Basin Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province in China(SZKT201901,SZKT201904)the research project of the Institute of Atmospheric Environment,China Meteorological Administration,Shenyang in China(2020SYIAE07,2020SYIAE02)。
文摘The impact of assimilating radiance data from the advanced satellite sensor GMI(GPM microwave imager)for typhoon analyses and forecasts was investigated using both a three-dimensional variational(3DVAR)and a hybrid ensemble-3DVAR method.The interface of assimilating the radiance for the sensor GMI was established in the Weather Research and Forecasting(WRF)model.The GMI radiance data are assimilated for Typhoon Matmo(2014),Typhoon Chan-hom(2015),Typhoon Meranti(2016),and Typhoon Mangkhut(2018)in the Pacific before their landing.The results show that after assimilating the GMI radiance data under clear sky condition with the 3DVAR method,the wind,temperature,and humidity fields are effectively adjusted,leading to improved forecast skills of the typhoon track with GMI radiance assimilation.The hybrid DA method is able to further adjust the location of the typhoon systematically.The improvement of the track forecast is even more obvious for later forecast periods.In addition,water vapor and hydrometeors are enhanced to some extent,especially with the hybrid method.
基金the support of International(Regional)Cooperation and Exchange Project(61720106008)National Natural Science Fund for Distinguished Young Scholars(61925305)National Natural Science Foundation of China(61873093)。
文摘Molecular reconstruction is a rapid and reliable way to provide molecular detail of petroleum fractions,which is required in the kinetic modeling of petroleum conversation processes at the molecular level.In the typical stochastic reconstruction method,the estimation of properties of pseudo molecules that are generated by Monte Carlo sampling depends on the building of predefined molecular libraries,which is expensive and inaccessible for certain petroleum fractions.In this paper,a novel stochastic reconstruction strategy is proposed,which is based on a stratified library of structural descriptors.Properties of pseudo molecules generated in the novel strategy can be directly estimated by group contribution method in the condition of lacking predefined molecular libraries.In this strategy,the molecular building diagram comprises two steps.First,the ring structure is configured by determining the number of rings.Different from the length of chain adopted in the traditional stochastic reconstruction method,in the second step,number of structural descriptors(SDs)for binding site and chain were determined sequentially for the configuration of binding site and saturated acyclic hydrocarbon chain.These structural descriptors for binding site and chain were selected from group contribution methods.To count the number of partial overlapping sections between structural descriptors for chain,two supplementary structural descriptors were created.All possible saturated structures of hydrocarbon chains can be represented by structural descriptors at the scale of property estimation.This strategy separates the building of a predefined molecule library from the stochastic reconstruction process.The exact structures of pseudo molecules represented by structural descriptors in this work can be determined with sufficient chemical knowledge.Fifty naphtha samples are tested independently to demonstrate the performance of the proposed strategy and the results show that the estimated properties were close enough to the experimental values.This strategy will benefit the molecular management of petrochemical industries and therefore improve economic and environmental efficiencies.