Analysis of risk factors for early stent thrombosis in the Chinese population:A multicenter restrospective study

BACKGROUND:The predictive scoring systems for early stent thrombosis(EST)remains blank in China.The study aims to evaluate the risk factors and conduct a prediction model of EST in the Chinese population.METHODS:EST was defined as thrombosis that occurs within the first 30 days after primary percutaneous coronary intervention(PCI).Patients from ten Chinese hospitals diagnosed as stent thrombosis(ST)from January 2010 to December 2016 were retrospectively included as the study group.A control group(1 case:2 controls)was created by including patients without ST,major adverse cardiovascular events,or cerebrovascular events during follow-up.The present study evaluated 426 patients with single-vessel lesions and ultimately included 40 patients with EST and 80 control patients,who were included to identify factors that predicted EST and to develop a prediction scoring system.The other 171 patients without integrated 1:2 pair were used for external validation.RESULTS:EST was independently associated with a low hemoglobin concentration(adjusted odds ratio[OR]0.946,95%confi dence interval[95%CI]0.901-0.993,P=0.026),a high pre-PCI Synergy between Percutaneous Coronary Intervention with Taxus and Cardiac Surgery(SYNTAX)score(OR 1.166,95%CI 1.049-1.297,P=0.004),and a DAPT(DAPT)duration of<30 days(OR 28.033,95%CI 5.302-272.834,P<0.001).The simple EST prediction score provided an area under the curve(AUC)of 0.854(95%CI 0.777-0.932,P<0.001)with 70.0%sensitivity and 90.0%specifi city,and 0.742(95%CI 0.649-0.835,P<0.001)with 54.5%sensitivity and 81.0%specifi city for external validation dataset.CONCLUSIONS:EST may be independently associated with DAPT discontinuation within 30 days,a low hemoglobin concentration,and a high SYNTAX score.The scoring system also has a good ability to predict the risk of EST and may be useful in the clinical setting.

Predictive value of SYNTAX score II for clinical outcomes in octogenarian undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention

Objective To evaluate the predictive value of SYNTAX Score II （SS-II） for percutaneous coronary intervention （PCI） in octogenarian （≥ 80 years old） undergoing PCI. Methods ＆ Results Data from three consecutive years of octogenarian undergoing PCI from Ruijin Hospital （Shanghai, China） was retrospectively collected （n = 308）. Follow up clinical data at one year including all cause mortality, cardiac mortality and main adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events （MACCE） were collected. Patients were stratified according to tertiles of SS-II for PCI： SS-II 〈 26 （n = 104）, SS-II： 27-31 （n = 102）, SS-II 〉 31 （n = 102）. After adjustment for confounding factors, SS-II for PCI was an independent risk factors for all cause mortality （odds ratio： 2.77, 95% CI： 1.13-8.06; P = 0.04）. Kaplan-Meier curves showed higher event rates for all cause mortality and cardiac mortality in higher tertile of SS-II for PCI （Log-Rank test P = 0.002 and P = 0.001, respectively）. SSdl for PCI predicted one year mortality in octogenarian population undergoing PCI. Conclusions In octogenarian, SS-II which incorporated clinical variables with angiographic anatomy variable was suitable in risk stratifying and predicting clinical outcomes at one year.

Screening for significant atherosclerotic renal artery stenosis with a regression model in patients undergoing transradial coronary angiography/intervention

Objective:Early detection of atherosclerotic renal artery stenosis (ARAS) is clinically important with respect to blood pressure control, prevention of renal insufficiency, and even improving survival. We investigated whether the presence of significant ARAS (luminal diameter narrowing ≥70%) could be predicted using a logistic regression model before coronary angiography/intervention. Methods:Initially, we developed a logistic regression model for detecting significant ARAS based upon clinical and angiographic features and biochemical measurements in a cohort of 1 813 patients undergoing transfemoral coronary and renal angiography. This model was then prospectively applied to an additional 495 patients who received transradial renal angiography to ascertain its predictive accuracy for the presence of significant ARAS. Results:Multivariate regression analysis revealed that older age (≥65 years), resistant hypertension, type 2 diabetes, creatinine clearance (Ccr) ≤60 ml/min, and multivessel coronary disease were independent predictors for significant ARAS. A logistic regression model for detecting ARAS by incorporating conventional risk factors and multivessel coronary disease was generated as:P/(1 P)=exp( 2.618+1.112[age≥65 years]+1.891[resistant hypertension]+0.453[type 2 diabetes]+0.587[Ccr≤60 ml/min]+2.254[multivessel coronary disease]). When this regression model was prospectively applied to the additional 495 patients undergoing transradial coronary and renal angiography, significant ARAS could be detected with a sensitivity of 81.2%, specificity of 88.9%, and positive and negative predictive accuracies of 53.8% and 96.7%, respectively. Conclusions:The logistic regression model generated in this study may be useful for screening for significant ARAS in patients undergoing transradial coronary angiography/intervention.