The results of cross-correlation analysis between electrons fluxes (with energies of ＞ 0.6 MeV,＞ 2.0MeV and ＞ 4.0MeV), geomagnetic indices and solar wind parameters are shown in the paper. It is determined that the...The results of cross-correlation analysis between electrons fluxes (with energies of ＞ 0.6 MeV,＞ 2.0MeV and ＞ 4.0MeV), geomagnetic indices and solar wind parameters are shown in the paper. It is determined that the electron fluxes are controlled not only by the geomagnetic indices, but also by the solar wind parameters, and the solar wind velocity demonstrates the best relation with the electron fluxes.Numerical value of the relation efficiency of external parameters with the highly energetic electrons fluxes shows a periodicity. It is presented here the preliminary results of daily averaged electrons fluxes forecast for a day ahead on the basis of the model of neuron networks.展开更多
基金Supported by the China-Russia Joint Research Center on Space Weather,Chinese Academy of Sciences
文摘The results of cross-correlation analysis between electrons fluxes (with energies of ＞ 0.6 MeV,＞ 2.0MeV and ＞ 4.0MeV), geomagnetic indices and solar wind parameters are shown in the paper. It is determined that the electron fluxes are controlled not only by the geomagnetic indices, but also by the solar wind parameters, and the solar wind velocity demonstrates the best relation with the electron fluxes.Numerical value of the relation efficiency of external parameters with the highly energetic electrons fluxes shows a periodicity. It is presented here the preliminary results of daily averaged electrons fluxes forecast for a day ahead on the basis of the model of neuron networks.
