基于美国大气研究中心的CCSM3(Community Climate System Model version 3)模式,对淡水扰动试验中不同大西洋经圈翻转环流(Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation,AMOC)平均强度下,中国气候的年代际响应特征进行研究。结果表明:...基于美国大气研究中心的CCSM3(Community Climate System Model version 3)模式,对淡水扰动试验中不同大西洋经圈翻转环流(Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation,AMOC)平均强度下,中国气候的年代际响应特征进行研究。结果表明:在年代际尺度上,中国区域地表气温和降水强度变化与AMOC强度变化的关系紧密,然而,不同平均强度下,中国气候的年代际响应特征不同。高平均强度下,中国区域地表气温升高,中国北部降水增多、南部降水减少;低平均强度下,则反之。不同平均强度下,中国区域年平均地表气温和降水EOF第一特征向量的空间分布存在显著差异:高平均强度下,地表气温呈现中国全区域一致的分布型,降水呈现自北向南的“-+-”型的雨带分布;低平均强度下,地表气温呈现中国区域南北反相的偶极子分布型,降水呈现自北向南的“-+”型的雨带分布。与低平均强度相比,在高平均强度下,EOF第一模态的时间系数的年代际变化尺度均更长。展开更多
Based on transient simulation of the last deglaciation(significant global warming period)using a fully coupled model and sensitivity experiment,we show explicitly how the thermohaline circulation(THC)affects the clima...Based on transient simulation of the last deglaciation(significant global warming period)using a fully coupled model and sensitivity experiment,we show explicitly how the thermohaline circulation(THC)affects the climate of China,especially during periods of abrupt climate change.The simulated evolution of the Chinese climate was consistent with the paleoclimate record during the last deglaciation.For example,the whole Chinese region warmed significantly during the BФlling-AllerФd warming event(BA).When the magnitude of the THC was reduced in the sensitivity experiment during BA,warming of the Chinese region was greatly affected.Our work shows that in addition to orbital forcing and greenhouse gases,the THC is an important factor influencing climate change in China at the century scale.展开更多
Atlantic thermohaline circulation(THC) is a key component of the Earth Climate System and identification of its changes during the 20th Century is critical to the understanding of its variation characteristics and the...Atlantic thermohaline circulation(THC) is a key component of the Earth Climate System and identification of its changes during the 20th Century is critical to the understanding of its variation characteristics and the corresponding climatic impacts.Previous researches have been inconclusive,with the results varying depending on the approach used to measure THC.The results for the two established approaches for measurement of the phenomenon(direct observation and indirect reconstruction) are contradictive(weakening and non-weakening),and their credibility needs improving.Based on the tight relationship between THC anomaly and "see-saw" intensities of Sea Surface Temperature(SST) and Surface Air Temperature(SAT),we first diagnose their quantitative relationship in the model experiments,which is corresponding to its two possible scenarios,and then reconstruct the changes of THC during the 20th Century respectively with multiple observed datasets of SST and SAT.Model results show that THC anomaly and SST/SAT "see-saw" intensities are well correlated in timescales longer than 10/40 years under scenarios of weakening/non-weakening respectively.Two kinds of reconstructions here are consistent with each other,and we propose that THC has undergone a 2-cycle oscillation with inter-decadal scale since the Industrial Revolution with a magnitude of about 1 Sv.The transformation times of decadal trend are around the mid-1910s,the 1940s,and the mid-1970s.This research further validates the main results of previous reconstructions,and points out that THC does not have a long-term weakening during the 20th Century.展开更多
文摘基于美国大气研究中心的CCSM3(Community Climate System Model version 3)模式,对淡水扰动试验中不同大西洋经圈翻转环流(Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation,AMOC)平均强度下,中国气候的年代际响应特征进行研究。结果表明:在年代际尺度上,中国区域地表气温和降水强度变化与AMOC强度变化的关系紧密,然而,不同平均强度下,中国气候的年代际响应特征不同。高平均强度下,中国区域地表气温升高,中国北部降水增多、南部降水减少;低平均强度下,则反之。不同平均强度下,中国区域年平均地表气温和降水EOF第一特征向量的空间分布存在显著差异:高平均强度下,地表气温呈现中国全区域一致的分布型,降水呈现自北向南的“-+-”型的雨带分布;低平均强度下,地表气温呈现中国区域南北反相的偶极子分布型,降水呈现自北向南的“-+”型的雨带分布。与低平均强度相比,在高平均强度下,EOF第一模态的时间系数的年代际变化尺度均更长。
基金Special publicsector research of CMA,China(GYHY200906016)Innovation Plan for Graduate Students in the Universities of Jiangsu Province,China(CX07B_043z),NUIST(Y602)
文摘Based on transient simulation of the last deglaciation(significant global warming period)using a fully coupled model and sensitivity experiment,we show explicitly how the thermohaline circulation(THC)affects the climate of China,especially during periods of abrupt climate change.The simulated evolution of the Chinese climate was consistent with the paleoclimate record during the last deglaciation.For example,the whole Chinese region warmed significantly during the BФlling-AllerФd warming event(BA).When the magnitude of the THC was reduced in the sensitivity experiment during BA,warming of the Chinese region was greatly affected.Our work shows that in addition to orbital forcing and greenhouse gases,the THC is an important factor influencing climate change in China at the century scale.
基金supported by National Basic Research Program of China(Grant No. 2012CB955200)National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.41130105,40776017)+2 种基金Open Project of KLME,NUIST(Grant No. LLME0507)Special Public Sector Research of CMA,China(Grant No. GYHY200906016)a project funded by the Priority Academic Program Development of Jiangsu Higher Education Institutions(PAPD)
文摘Atlantic thermohaline circulation(THC) is a key component of the Earth Climate System and identification of its changes during the 20th Century is critical to the understanding of its variation characteristics and the corresponding climatic impacts.Previous researches have been inconclusive,with the results varying depending on the approach used to measure THC.The results for the two established approaches for measurement of the phenomenon(direct observation and indirect reconstruction) are contradictive(weakening and non-weakening),and their credibility needs improving.Based on the tight relationship between THC anomaly and "see-saw" intensities of Sea Surface Temperature(SST) and Surface Air Temperature(SAT),we first diagnose their quantitative relationship in the model experiments,which is corresponding to its two possible scenarios,and then reconstruct the changes of THC during the 20th Century respectively with multiple observed datasets of SST and SAT.Model results show that THC anomaly and SST/SAT "see-saw" intensities are well correlated in timescales longer than 10/40 years under scenarios of weakening/non-weakening respectively.Two kinds of reconstructions here are consistent with each other,and we propose that THC has undergone a 2-cycle oscillation with inter-decadal scale since the Industrial Revolution with a magnitude of about 1 Sv.The transformation times of decadal trend are around the mid-1910s,the 1940s,and the mid-1970s.This research further validates the main results of previous reconstructions,and points out that THC does not have a long-term weakening during the 20th Century.
