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Modeling vulnerability of protected areas to invasion by Chromolaena odorata under current and future climates 被引量:2
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作者 A.Belarmain Fandohan Ayub M.O.Oduor +4 位作者 A.Idelphonse Sode Liang Wu Aida Cuni-Sanchez Emeline Assede gerard n.gouwakinnou 《Ecosystem Health and Sustainability》 SCIE 2015年第6期28-39,共12页
Invasive plant species and climate change are among the biggest threats to the ecological integrity of many ecosystems,including those of protected areas.Effective management of invasive plants requires information re... Invasive plant species and climate change are among the biggest threats to the ecological integrity of many ecosystems,including those of protected areas.Effective management of invasive plants requires information regarding their spatialdistributions Using maximum entropy,wemodeled habitat suitability for an invasive plant species Chromolaena odorata under current and future climatic conditions(HadGEM2-ESand MIROC5)in protected areas of four West African countries(Benin,Cote d'voire,Ghana,and Togo).Under current climatic conditions,approximately 73%of total land area within the protected areas was suitable for colonization by C.odorata.Under future climate projections,the total area of suitable habitats for this invasive plant was projected to decrease by 7-9%(HadGEM2-ES)and 12-14%(MIROC5).Country-specific patterns suggest that major protected areas in Cote d'Ivoire and Ghana will be more vulnerable to invasion by C.odorata than those in Benin and Togo under both current and future dimatic scenarios.To maintain normal ecosystem functioning and provisioning of ecosystem services within the protected areas studied here,locations that have been identified as most vulnerable to invasion by C.odorata should be accorded proportionately higher priority when formulating appropriate management strategies. 展开更多
关键词 Chromolaena odorata climate change HadGEM2-ES maximum entropy MIROC5 representative concentration pathways risk assessment Siam weed West Africa
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