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某市暴雨洪涝对细菌性痢疾发病影响的时间序列分析
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作者 李晓梅 薛晓嘉 +4 位作者 丁国永 李栋 侯海峰 刘起勇 姜宝法 《中国现代医学杂志》 CAS 2018年第25期41-46,共6页
目的定量评价广西省柳州市暴雨洪涝对细菌性痢疾发病的健康效应。方法运用时间序列分析,控制长期趋势、季节趋势、滞后效应和气象因素等混杂因素的基础上,采用季节性自回归移动平均模型(SARIMA)定量分析洪水历时与居民细菌痢疾发病的关... 目的定量评价广西省柳州市暴雨洪涝对细菌性痢疾发病的健康效应。方法运用时间序列分析,控制长期趋势、季节趋势、滞后效应和气象因素等混杂因素的基础上,采用季节性自回归移动平均模型(SARIMA)定量分析洪水历时与居民细菌痢疾发病的关系。结果研究发现发生洪水月份的细菌性痢疾发病率高于对照月份。SARIMA回归分析显示月洪水历时与细菌性痢疾月罹患率呈负相关,月洪水历时天数每增加1 d,其细菌性痢疾罹患率下降7.7%~8.0%。结论暴雨洪涝对细菌性痢疾的发病产生明显影响,特别是历时短的严重洪水相比历时长的一般洪水造成细菌性痢疾发病风险更高。 展开更多
关键词 暴雨洪涝 细菌性痢疾 时间序列 季节性自回归移动平均模型
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Jidong cognitive impairment cohort study: objectives, design, and baseline screening 被引量:1
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作者 Dai-Yu Song Xian-Wei Wang +9 位作者 Sa Wang Si-Qi Ge guo-yong ding Xue-Yu Chen Yan-Ru Chen Hua-Min Liu Xiao-Mei Xie Wei-Jia Xing Dong Li Yong Zhou 《Neural Regeneration Research》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2020年第6期1111-1119,共9页
The risk of dementia increases in patients with cognitive impairment.However,it is not clear what factors contribute to the onset of dementia in those with cognitive impairment.In this prospective cohort study,we will... The risk of dementia increases in patients with cognitive impairment.However,it is not clear what factors contribute to the onset of dementia in those with cognitive impairment.In this prospective cohort study,we will investigate the every-five-year incidence of cognitive impairment and prognostic factors for cognitive impairment.The Jidong cognitive impairment cohort was established from April 2012 to August 2015,during which we recruited 5854 healthy participants(55.1%male)older than 45 years(mean,57 years).Participants received a health examination in the Staff Hospital,Jidong Oilfield Branch,China National Petroleum Corporation.Baseline data and blood samples were collected.Cognitive impairment was evaluated using the Mini-Mental State Examination,and was defined as a Mini-Mental State Examination score of less than 24.Dementia was assessed using the criteria of Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders(Fourth edition),the International Working Group criteria,and the Mini-Mental State Examination score.The follow-up will continue until December 2024,during which a prognostic model will be constructed.The primary outcome is the presence/absence of dementia and the secondary outcome is quality of life.Baseline screening results showed the following:(1)Cognitive impairment was apparent in 320 participants(5.5%).These participants will be excluded from the Jidong cohort study,and the remaining participants will be followed up.(2)Of the 320 participants with cognitive impairment,there was a significantly higher prevalence of illiteracy than other education levels(35.9%,P<0.05).Age,arterial hypertension,alcohol consumption,and passive smoking differed significantly between the cognitive impairment and healthy groups(P<0.05).Multivariate logistic regression models showed that age(odds ratio[OR]=1.059,95%confidence interval[CI]:1.044-1.074)and arterial hypertension(OR=1.665,95%CI:1.143-2.427)were risk factors for mild cognitive impairment.With the increase of educational level(illiteracy,primary school,junior high school,high school,university,and above),cognitive impairment gradually decreased(OR<1,P<0.05).(3)This cohort study has initially screened for several risk factors for cognitive impairment at baseline,and subsequent prospective data will further describe,validate,and evaluate the effects of these risk factors on cognitive impairment and dementia.These results can provide clinical evidence for the early prevention of cognitive impairment and dementia.The study was approved by the Ethics Committee of Kailuan General Hospital of Tangshan City and the Medical Ethics Committee,Staff Hospital,Jidong Oilfield Branch,China National Petroleum Corporation on July 12,2013(approval No.2013 YILUNZI 1). 展开更多
关键词 assessment COGNITIVE IMPAIRMENT community DEMENTIA FOLLOW-UP Mini-Mental Status Examination Scale model new basis prevention PROGNOSTIC factors
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