AIM To investigate the incidence and mortality rates of upper gastrointestinal cancer(UGIC) in Hebei Province, China, and to identify high-risk populations to improve UGIC prevention and control.METHODS Data for UGIC ...AIM To investigate the incidence and mortality rates of upper gastrointestinal cancer(UGIC) in Hebei Province, China, and to identify high-risk populations to improve UGIC prevention and control.METHODS Data for UGIC patients were collected from 21 population-based cancer registries covering 15.25% of the population in Hebei Province. Mortality data were extracted from three national retrospective death surveys(1973-1975, 1990-1992 and 2004-2005). The data were stratified by 5-year age groups, gender and area(high-risk/non-high-risk areas) for analysis. The age-period-cohort and grey system model were used.RESULTS The crude incidence rate of UGIC was 55.47/100000, and the adjusted rate(Segi's population) was 44.90/100000. Males in rural areas had the highest incidence rate(world age-standardized rate = 87.89/100000). The crude mortality rate of UGIC displayed a decreasing trend in Hebei Province from the 1970 s to 2013, and the adjusted rate decreased by 43.81% from the 1970s(58.07/100000) to 2013(32.63/100000). The mortality rate declined more significantly in the high-risk areas(57.26%) than in the non-high-risk areas(55.02%) from the 1970 s to 2013. The median age at diagnosis of UGIC was 65.06 years in 2013. There was a notable delay in the median age at death from the 1970s(66.15 years) to 2013(70.39 years), especially in the high-risk areas. In Cixian, the total trend of the cohort effect declined, and people aged 65-69 years were a population at relatively high risk for UGIC. We predicted that the crude mortality rates of UGIC in Cixian and Shexian would decrease to 98.80 and 133.99 per 100000 in 2018, respectively.CONCLUSION UGIC was the major cause of cancer death in Hebei Province, and males in rural areas were a high-risk population. We should strengthen early detection and treatment of UGIC in this population.展开更多
OBJECTIVE To investigate the role of family aggregation and genetic factors of esophageal cancer （EC）, including carcinoma of gastric cardia （CGC）, in Cixian county, and to calculate the segregation ratio and heri...OBJECTIVE To investigate the role of family aggregation and genetic factors of esophageal cancer （EC）, including carcinoma of gastric cardia （CGC）, in Cixian county, and to calculate the segregation ratio and heritability of first-degree relatives （FDR） in EC cases.METHODS A case control study was conducted, and each of 285 esophageal cancer cases and FDR＇s case history and family medical history of EC in 1415 controls was carried by home visits to compare the incidence of EC in the crowds. The family aggregation of EC was found by X2 test for goodness of fit test according to binomial distribution. Li-Mantel-Gart method was used to calculate the segregation ratio and Falconer method was employed to compute the heritability （h2）.RESULTS The incidence rate of the FDR in the index case of EC （12.80%） was higher than that in the controls （7.52%）. There were significant differences between the 2 groups （X2= 44.34, P = 0.000）. The distribution of EC in the family did not agree with the binomial distribution, which presented a conspicuous familial aggregation （X2= 288.19, P 〈 0.0001）. The heritability of EC was （29.67 ±4.32）%, and segregation ratio was 0.1814 （95%CI = 0.1574-0.2054）, which is lower than 0.25, and can be regarded as a disease of multi-factorial inheritance.CONCLUSION The occurrence of EC in the Cixian County is the outcome of the mutual effect of genetic and environmental factors. The family history of upper gastrointestinal cancers increases the risk of EC in late generations.展开更多
文摘AIM To investigate the incidence and mortality rates of upper gastrointestinal cancer(UGIC) in Hebei Province, China, and to identify high-risk populations to improve UGIC prevention and control.METHODS Data for UGIC patients were collected from 21 population-based cancer registries covering 15.25% of the population in Hebei Province. Mortality data were extracted from three national retrospective death surveys(1973-1975, 1990-1992 and 2004-2005). The data were stratified by 5-year age groups, gender and area(high-risk/non-high-risk areas) for analysis. The age-period-cohort and grey system model were used.RESULTS The crude incidence rate of UGIC was 55.47/100000, and the adjusted rate(Segi's population) was 44.90/100000. Males in rural areas had the highest incidence rate(world age-standardized rate = 87.89/100000). The crude mortality rate of UGIC displayed a decreasing trend in Hebei Province from the 1970 s to 2013, and the adjusted rate decreased by 43.81% from the 1970s(58.07/100000) to 2013(32.63/100000). The mortality rate declined more significantly in the high-risk areas(57.26%) than in the non-high-risk areas(55.02%) from the 1970 s to 2013. The median age at diagnosis of UGIC was 65.06 years in 2013. There was a notable delay in the median age at death from the 1970s(66.15 years) to 2013(70.39 years), especially in the high-risk areas. In Cixian, the total trend of the cohort effect declined, and people aged 65-69 years were a population at relatively high risk for UGIC. We predicted that the crude mortality rates of UGIC in Cixian and Shexian would decrease to 98.80 and 133.99 per 100000 in 2018, respectively.CONCLUSION UGIC was the major cause of cancer death in Hebei Province, and males in rural areas were a high-risk population. We should strengthen early detection and treatment of UGIC in this population.
文摘OBJECTIVE To investigate the role of family aggregation and genetic factors of esophageal cancer （EC）, including carcinoma of gastric cardia （CGC）, in Cixian county, and to calculate the segregation ratio and heritability of first-degree relatives （FDR） in EC cases.METHODS A case control study was conducted, and each of 285 esophageal cancer cases and FDR＇s case history and family medical history of EC in 1415 controls was carried by home visits to compare the incidence of EC in the crowds. The family aggregation of EC was found by X2 test for goodness of fit test according to binomial distribution. Li-Mantel-Gart method was used to calculate the segregation ratio and Falconer method was employed to compute the heritability （h2）.RESULTS The incidence rate of the FDR in the index case of EC （12.80%） was higher than that in the controls （7.52%）. There were significant differences between the 2 groups （X2= 44.34, P = 0.000）. The distribution of EC in the family did not agree with the binomial distribution, which presented a conspicuous familial aggregation （X2= 288.19, P 〈 0.0001）. The heritability of EC was （29.67 ±4.32）%, and segregation ratio was 0.1814 （95%CI = 0.1574-0.2054）, which is lower than 0.25, and can be regarded as a disease of multi-factorial inheritance.CONCLUSION The occurrence of EC in the Cixian County is the outcome of the mutual effect of genetic and environmental factors. The family history of upper gastrointestinal cancers increases the risk of EC in late generations.
