In the travel process of urban residents,travelers will take a series of activities such as imitation and exclusion by observing other people’s travel modes,which affects their following trips.This process can be see...In the travel process of urban residents,travelers will take a series of activities such as imitation and exclusion by observing other people’s travel modes,which affects their following trips.This process can be seen as a repeated game between members of the travelers.Based on the analysis of this game and its evolution trend,a multi-dimensional game model of low-carbon travel for residents is established.The two dimensional game strategies include whether to accept the low-carbon concept and whether to choose low-carbon travel.Combined with evolutionary game theory,the low-carbon travel choices of residents in different cities are simulated,and the evolutionary stability strategies are obtained.Finally,the influences of the main parameters of the model on the evolution process and stability strategies are discussed.The results show that travelers would develop towards two trends.Cities with more developed public traffic system have a higher proportion of receiving low-carbon concept and choosing low-carbon travel.Cities with underdeveloped public transport system could increase this proportion by some measures such as encouraging residents to choose slow transport and increasing the propaganda of low-carbon travel,but the positive effects of the measures like propaganda have a limited impact on the proportion.展开更多
为了解决车联网环境下道路交通事故链(Chains of Road Traffic Incident,CRTI)阻断系统的阻断效率问题,综合考虑阻断代价的经济性、阻断过程的稳定性和阻断技术的可靠性,并以阻断技术可靠性、阻断过程稳定性和阻断代价经济性作为阻断策...为了解决车联网环境下道路交通事故链(Chains of Road Traffic Incident,CRTI)阻断系统的阻断效率问题,综合考虑阻断代价的经济性、阻断过程的稳定性和阻断技术的可靠性,并以阻断技术可靠性、阻断过程稳定性和阻断代价经济性作为阻断策略分析指标,率先提出了1种车联网环境下动态的、实时的CRTI阻断效率评价算法。危险源是导致事故发生的根本原因,危险度由危险源决定,且危险度的大小能够反映出事故发生的可能性和严重程度,因此以危险源和危险度为评价指标,将危险源分成两大类,并建立"人-车-路-环境"危险度模型以及综合评价函数模型。通过实时筛选、获取车辆周围的危险源,判断是否需要阻断,寻找最优的阻断策略及阻断节点,并计算阻断事故链前后的危险源和危险度,将获取的阻断前后危险源和危险度代入评价函数模型,获取评价函数取值范围,最后通过分析阻断前后危险度对比以及代价函数的取值,实现对阻断效率的综合评价。结果表明:阻断系统能够将行车危险度基本降到3以下,保证了行车安全,总体使行车危险度降低40%左右,保证车辆处于安全状态,并且阻断CRTI成功率达到了90%以上,表明阻断系统能够阻断CRTI的产生;通过评价函数的综合评价,代价值基本在0~1之间,表明阻断系统的阻断效率较高,可较好地实现对CRTI阻断效率的定性、定量综合评价。展开更多
基金Project(BK20160512)supported by the Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province,ChinaProject(16YJCZH027)supported by the Humanity and Social Science Youth Foundation of Ministry of Education of ChinaProject(15GLC004)supported by the Social Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province,China
文摘In the travel process of urban residents,travelers will take a series of activities such as imitation and exclusion by observing other people’s travel modes,which affects their following trips.This process can be seen as a repeated game between members of the travelers.Based on the analysis of this game and its evolution trend,a multi-dimensional game model of low-carbon travel for residents is established.The two dimensional game strategies include whether to accept the low-carbon concept and whether to choose low-carbon travel.Combined with evolutionary game theory,the low-carbon travel choices of residents in different cities are simulated,and the evolutionary stability strategies are obtained.Finally,the influences of the main parameters of the model on the evolution process and stability strategies are discussed.The results show that travelers would develop towards two trends.Cities with more developed public traffic system have a higher proportion of receiving low-carbon concept and choosing low-carbon travel.Cities with underdeveloped public transport system could increase this proportion by some measures such as encouraging residents to choose slow transport and increasing the propaganda of low-carbon travel,but the positive effects of the measures like propaganda have a limited impact on the proportion.
文摘为了解决车联网环境下道路交通事故链(Chains of Road Traffic Incident,CRTI)阻断系统的阻断效率问题,综合考虑阻断代价的经济性、阻断过程的稳定性和阻断技术的可靠性,并以阻断技术可靠性、阻断过程稳定性和阻断代价经济性作为阻断策略分析指标,率先提出了1种车联网环境下动态的、实时的CRTI阻断效率评价算法。危险源是导致事故发生的根本原因,危险度由危险源决定,且危险度的大小能够反映出事故发生的可能性和严重程度,因此以危险源和危险度为评价指标,将危险源分成两大类,并建立"人-车-路-环境"危险度模型以及综合评价函数模型。通过实时筛选、获取车辆周围的危险源,判断是否需要阻断,寻找最优的阻断策略及阻断节点,并计算阻断事故链前后的危险源和危险度,将获取的阻断前后危险源和危险度代入评价函数模型,获取评价函数取值范围,最后通过分析阻断前后危险度对比以及代价函数的取值,实现对阻断效率的综合评价。结果表明:阻断系统能够将行车危险度基本降到3以下,保证了行车安全,总体使行车危险度降低40%左右,保证车辆处于安全状态,并且阻断CRTI成功率达到了90%以上,表明阻断系统能够阻断CRTI的产生;通过评价函数的综合评价,代价值基本在0~1之间,表明阻断系统的阻断效率较高,可较好地实现对CRTI阻断效率的定性、定量综合评价。