Global teleconnections associated with tropical convective activities were investigated, based on monthly data of 29 Northern Hemisphere winters： December, January, February, and March （DJFM）. First, EOF analyses w...Global teleconnections associated with tropical convective activities were investigated, based on monthly data of 29 Northern Hemisphere winters： December, January, February, and March （DJFM）. First, EOF analyses were performed on the outgoing longwave radiation （OLR） data to characterize the convective ac tivity variability in the tropical Indian Ocean and the western Pacific. The first EOF mode of the convective activity was highly correlated with the ENSO. The second EOF mode had an east–west dipole structure, and the third EOF mode had three convective activity centers. Two distinct teleconnection patterns were identified that were associated, respectively, with the second and third EOF modes. A global primitive equation model was used to investigate the physical mechanism that causes the global circulation anoma lies. The model responses to anomalous tropical thermal forcings that mimic the EOF patterns matched the general features of the observed circulation anomalies well, and they were mainly controlled by linear processes. The importance of convective activities in the tropical Indian Ocean and western Pacific to the extended and longrange forecasting capability in the extratropics is discussed.展开更多
基金partly supported by the Canadian Foundation for Climate and Atmospheric Sciences (CFCAS)the Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada (NSERC)support from the National Key Technology R&D Program of China (Grant No 2009BAC51B01)
文摘Global teleconnections associated with tropical convective activities were investigated, based on monthly data of 29 Northern Hemisphere winters： December, January, February, and March （DJFM）. First, EOF analyses were performed on the outgoing longwave radiation （OLR） data to characterize the convective ac tivity variability in the tropical Indian Ocean and the western Pacific. The first EOF mode of the convective activity was highly correlated with the ENSO. The second EOF mode had an east–west dipole structure, and the third EOF mode had three convective activity centers. Two distinct teleconnection patterns were identified that were associated, respectively, with the second and third EOF modes. A global primitive equation model was used to investigate the physical mechanism that causes the global circulation anoma lies. The model responses to anomalous tropical thermal forcings that mimic the EOF patterns matched the general features of the observed circulation anomalies well, and they were mainly controlled by linear processes. The importance of convective activities in the tropical Indian Ocean and western Pacific to the extended and longrange forecasting capability in the extratropics is discussed.
