In this paper,we propose an approach for diagnostics and prognostics of damaged aircraft structures,by combing high-performance fatigue mechanics with filtering theories.Fast&accurate deterministic analyses of fat...In this paper,we propose an approach for diagnostics and prognostics of damaged aircraft structures,by combing high-performance fatigue mechanics with filtering theories.Fast&accurate deterministic analyses of fatigue crack propagations are carried out,by using the Finite Element Alternating Method(FEAM)for computing SIFs,and by using the newly developed Moving Least Squares(MLS)law for computing fatigue crack growth rates.Such algorithms for simulating fatigue crack propagations are embedded in the computer program Safe-Flaw,which is called upon as a subroutine within the probabilistic framework of filter theories.Both the extended Kalman as well as particle filters are applied in this study,to obtain the statistically optimal and semi-optimal estimates of crack lengths,from a series of noisy measurements of crack-lengths over time.For the specific problem,a simple modification to the particle filter,which can drastically reduce the computational burden,is also proposed.Based on the results of such diagnostic analyses,the prognostics of aerospace structures are thereafter achieved,to estimate the probabilistic distribution of the remaining useful life.By using a simple example of a single-crack near a fastener hole,we demonstrate the concept and effectiveness of the proposed framework.This paper thus forms the scientific foundation for the recently proposed concepts of VRAMS(Virtual Risk-Informed Agile Maneuver Sustainment)and Digital Twins of aerospace vehicles.展开更多
Exposure to heat stress causes diminished work performance and leads to economic loss.In the last two decades,China has experienced both rapid economic development and environmental warming;however,the spatiotemporal ...Exposure to heat stress causes diminished work performance and leads to economic loss.In the last two decades,China has experienced both rapid economic development and environmental warming;however,the spatiotemporal variations of association between environmental heat and labor loss have been rarely investigated behind this double impact.Here,we evaluated the variation in China's heat-induced labor productivity loss and related economic cost from 2001 to 2019 and investigated the effect of economic development and regional warming.We found that decline in labor productivity because of heat stress increased significantly(p<0.05 for heavy-intensity work),and the corresponding economic loss also exhibited a drastic increase by 6-to 9-fold.The relative economic loss showed a slight but nonsignificant increase with an average value of 0.54%of the annual total earnings.At the sub-regional and sectoral level,adverse effects were more prominent in the southeast region,and the secondary industry sectors,such as construction and manufacturing,contributed to larger proportions of economic losses.The transformation of industrial structure made economic sectors more vulnerable to heat exposure,and increasingly preventive effects of air-conditioning use were noted on economic damage due to heat-induced productivity decline(36.0%relative economic benefits in 2019 compared to 9.7%in 2001).Our findings could provide a deep insight into heat burden on occupational health and heat adaptation strategies regionally under climate change,especially in developing areas with higher temperature and humidity environment.展开更多
The strong nonlinear interactions between underwater explosion and water surface were numerically investigated using a phase transition model based on a four-equation system,which can deal with the complex deformable ...The strong nonlinear interactions between underwater explosion and water surface were numerically investigated using a phase transition model based on a four-equation system,which can deal with the complex deformable interface among different phases,including water,air,explosion bubble,and cavitation.The numerical method is verified by comparing the numerical results with experimental results,and good agreements are found.This study considers an ideal sine wave for simulating the shape of water surface.Two examples of different detonation depths of charge are investigated.In each example,the first case is the basic simulation without surface wave,and the other three cases are the simulations with sine waves of different wavelengths.Unique characteristics of the interactions,such as shock wave propagation,explosion bubble expansion,and the generation,development,and collapse of cavitation,are observed in the numerical simulations.By capturing the detailed density and pressure contours during the interaction process,we can better understand the underlying mechanisms of the explosion bubble,cavitation,and surface waves.These numerical results demonstrate that geometric nonlinearity impacts cavitation evolution and the explosion bubble movement mechanism.Additionally,the secondary cavitation phenomenon has been found in the cases without surface wave,and its fundamental physical mechanism is presented in detail.The present results can expand the existing database of multiphase flow in the underwater explosion and provide an insight into the strong nonlinear interaction between the underwater explosion and water surface.展开更多
文摘In this paper,we propose an approach for diagnostics and prognostics of damaged aircraft structures,by combing high-performance fatigue mechanics with filtering theories.Fast&accurate deterministic analyses of fatigue crack propagations are carried out,by using the Finite Element Alternating Method(FEAM)for computing SIFs,and by using the newly developed Moving Least Squares(MLS)law for computing fatigue crack growth rates.Such algorithms for simulating fatigue crack propagations are embedded in the computer program Safe-Flaw,which is called upon as a subroutine within the probabilistic framework of filter theories.Both the extended Kalman as well as particle filters are applied in this study,to obtain the statistically optimal and semi-optimal estimates of crack lengths,from a series of noisy measurements of crack-lengths over time.For the specific problem,a simple modification to the particle filter,which can drastically reduce the computational burden,is also proposed.Based on the results of such diagnostic analyses,the prognostics of aerospace structures are thereafter achieved,to estimate the probabilistic distribution of the remaining useful life.By using a simple example of a single-crack near a fastener hole,we demonstrate the concept and effectiveness of the proposed framework.This paper thus forms the scientific foundation for the recently proposed concepts of VRAMS(Virtual Risk-Informed Agile Maneuver Sustainment)and Digital Twins of aerospace vehicles.
基金This study was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(71974092)the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities,China(0207-14380179,0207-14380174,and 0207-14380055)the Frontiers Science Center for Critical Earth Material Cycling,Nanjing University,China。
文摘Exposure to heat stress causes diminished work performance and leads to economic loss.In the last two decades,China has experienced both rapid economic development and environmental warming;however,the spatiotemporal variations of association between environmental heat and labor loss have been rarely investigated behind this double impact.Here,we evaluated the variation in China's heat-induced labor productivity loss and related economic cost from 2001 to 2019 and investigated the effect of economic development and regional warming.We found that decline in labor productivity because of heat stress increased significantly(p<0.05 for heavy-intensity work),and the corresponding economic loss also exhibited a drastic increase by 6-to 9-fold.The relative economic loss showed a slight but nonsignificant increase with an average value of 0.54%of the annual total earnings.At the sub-regional and sectoral level,adverse effects were more prominent in the southeast region,and the secondary industry sectors,such as construction and manufacturing,contributed to larger proportions of economic losses.The transformation of industrial structure made economic sectors more vulnerable to heat exposure,and increasingly preventive effects of air-conditioning use were noted on economic damage due to heat-induced productivity decline(36.0%relative economic benefits in 2019 compared to 9.7%in 2001).Our findings could provide a deep insight into heat burden on occupational health and heat adaptation strategies regionally under climate change,especially in developing areas with higher temperature and humidity environment.
文摘The strong nonlinear interactions between underwater explosion and water surface were numerically investigated using a phase transition model based on a four-equation system,which can deal with the complex deformable interface among different phases,including water,air,explosion bubble,and cavitation.The numerical method is verified by comparing the numerical results with experimental results,and good agreements are found.This study considers an ideal sine wave for simulating the shape of water surface.Two examples of different detonation depths of charge are investigated.In each example,the first case is the basic simulation without surface wave,and the other three cases are the simulations with sine waves of different wavelengths.Unique characteristics of the interactions,such as shock wave propagation,explosion bubble expansion,and the generation,development,and collapse of cavitation,are observed in the numerical simulations.By capturing the detailed density and pressure contours during the interaction process,we can better understand the underlying mechanisms of the explosion bubble,cavitation,and surface waves.These numerical results demonstrate that geometric nonlinearity impacts cavitation evolution and the explosion bubble movement mechanism.Additionally,the secondary cavitation phenomenon has been found in the cases without surface wave,and its fundamental physical mechanism is presented in detail.The present results can expand the existing database of multiphase flow in the underwater explosion and provide an insight into the strong nonlinear interaction between the underwater explosion and water surface.
