The focal mechanisms of 62 moderate-small earthquakes since 1980 in the"Huoshan seismic window"region are calculated with the method developed recently by Snoke,combining the use of the first motion of P,SV ...The focal mechanisms of 62 moderate-small earthquakes since 1980 in the"Huoshan seismic window"region are calculated with the method developed recently by Snoke,combining the use of the first motion of P,SV and SH waves with their amplitude ratios.Based on these abundant focal mechanisms,the mean tectonic stress field in the"Huoshan seismic window"region is inverted with the average stress tensor method,and the result shows that the"Huoshan seismic window"region is horizontally compressed in the near EW direction and horizontally dilated in the near NS direction,which is in accord with statistical results of focal mechanism parameters.We estimate the difference(also referred to as consistency parameterθ)between the force axis direction of the focal mechanism solution and the mean stress tensor,then further analyze the variation characteristics ofθversus time,and the relationship with moderately strong earthquakes in the east China region.The result indicates thatθin the"Huoshan seismic window"region is in good correspondence with moderately strong earthquakes in the East China region.Whenθis lower than the mean value,corresponding moderately strong earthquakes may occur in the East China region.展开更多
Seismic gap method is one of the effective earthquake prediction methods using seismicity patterns. However, this method has some limitations and uncertainty when using it singly in predicting earthquakes. This paper ...Seismic gap method is one of the effective earthquake prediction methods using seismicity patterns. However, this method has some limitations and uncertainty when using it singly in predicting earthquakes. This paper puts forward the prediction method using the dynamic seismicity pattern with dynamic implications. This method considers the formation and evolution of the seismic gap on the basis of plate movement and structural characteristics. Through analysis of 26 cases of earthquakes of MS≥5.0 occurring in East China and South China, this paper obtains the relationship between the main shock with seismic gap and active fault's location, as well as the relationship between the seismic gap and location and strike of active faults. Meanwhile, this paper provides a dynamic explanation of the differences in the formation and evolution patterns of the seismic gap between the two regions, thus providing the physical basis for and reducing the uncertainty of predicting earthquakes using the seismic gap method.展开更多
In this article, we have inverted local broadband waveform data to determine the focal mechanism of the 2011 MS4.8 Anqing earthquake. Our results show that the best double couple solution of the MS4.8 event is 16°...In this article, we have inverted local broadband waveform data to determine the focal mechanism of the 2011 MS4.8 Anqing earthquake. Our results show that the best double couple solution of the MS4.8 event is 16°, 74° and 120° for strike, dip and rake angles of one nodal plane respectively, and 131°, 33°, 30° for the other nodal plane. The estimated focal depth is about 3km. Both strikes of the two nodal planes differ significantly to the strike of Susong-Zongyang fault, along which seismic activity has been at a low level since the Late Quaternary. This implies that this earthquake may not have occurred on the Susong-Zongyang fault, and we infer that a buried fault with strike of NNE may be the seismogenic structure of this event.展开更多
基金funded by the Youth Program of Earthquake Scientific Research Fund of Anhui Province(20120704)Contract Subject of Earthquake Administration of Anhui Province(201210)
文摘The focal mechanisms of 62 moderate-small earthquakes since 1980 in the"Huoshan seismic window"region are calculated with the method developed recently by Snoke,combining the use of the first motion of P,SV and SH waves with their amplitude ratios.Based on these abundant focal mechanisms,the mean tectonic stress field in the"Huoshan seismic window"region is inverted with the average stress tensor method,and the result shows that the"Huoshan seismic window"region is horizontally compressed in the near EW direction and horizontally dilated in the near NS direction,which is in accord with statistical results of focal mechanism parameters.We estimate the difference(also referred to as consistency parameterθ)between the force axis direction of the focal mechanism solution and the mean stress tensor,then further analyze the variation characteristics ofθversus time,and the relationship with moderately strong earthquakes in the east China region.The result indicates thatθin the"Huoshan seismic window"region is in good correspondence with moderately strong earthquakes in the East China region.Whenθis lower than the mean value,corresponding moderately strong earthquakes may occur in the East China region.
基金supported by the National Science and Technology Program of China Earthquake Administration (No. 2006BAC01B02-01-05)Anhui Provincial Science and Technique Foundation (No. 08010302204)Joint Earthquake Science Fundation (A08077)
文摘Seismic gap method is one of the effective earthquake prediction methods using seismicity patterns. However, this method has some limitations and uncertainty when using it singly in predicting earthquakes. This paper puts forward the prediction method using the dynamic seismicity pattern with dynamic implications. This method considers the formation and evolution of the seismic gap on the basis of plate movement and structural characteristics. Through analysis of 26 cases of earthquakes of MS≥5.0 occurring in East China and South China, this paper obtains the relationship between the main shock with seismic gap and active fault's location, as well as the relationship between the seismic gap and location and strike of active faults. Meanwhile, this paper provides a dynamic explanation of the differences in the formation and evolution patterns of the seismic gap between the two regions, thus providing the physical basis for and reducing the uncertainty of predicting earthquakes using the seismic gap method.
基金supported by the China Earthquake Administration as a work Assignment for Seismic Situation Tracing for Earthquake Forecast and Prediction (2011020104)
文摘In this article, we have inverted local broadband waveform data to determine the focal mechanism of the 2011 MS4.8 Anqing earthquake. Our results show that the best double couple solution of the MS4.8 event is 16°, 74° and 120° for strike, dip and rake angles of one nodal plane respectively, and 131°, 33°, 30° for the other nodal plane. The estimated focal depth is about 3km. Both strikes of the two nodal planes differ significantly to the strike of Susong-Zongyang fault, along which seismic activity has been at a low level since the Late Quaternary. This implies that this earthquake may not have occurred on the Susong-Zongyang fault, and we infer that a buried fault with strike of NNE may be the seismogenic structure of this event.
