A Port Ship Flow Prediction Model Based on the Automatic Identification System and Gated Recurrent Units

Water transportation today has become increasingly busy because of economic globalization.In order to solve the problem of inaccurate port traffic flow prediction,this paper proposes an algorithm based on gated recurrent units(GRUs)and Markov residual correction to pass a fixed cross-section.To analyze the traffic flow of ships,the statistical method of ship traffic flow based on the automatic identification system(AIS)is introduced.And a model is put forward for predicting the ship flow.According to the basic principle of cyclic neural networks,the law of ship traffic flow in the channel is explored in the time series.Experiments have been performed using a large number of AIS data in the waters near Xiazhimen in Zhoushan,Ningbo,and the results show that the accuracy of the GRU-Markov algorithm is higher than that of other algorithms,proving the practicability and effectiveness of this method in ship flow prediction.

Numerical investigation and its application on the falling motion of freefall lifeboat

In order to improve the simulation accuracy for free-fall lifeboat in ship life-saving training system,this paper analyzes and models the motion of boat’s launching from the skid.The whole launching is divided into four phases,namely:sliding down,rotation,free fall and water entry.According to the theory of momentum and strip theory,hydrodynamic forces of the boat at water entry are calculated under the effect of waves.The method of interpolation is used for calculating the half width and added mass of cross-sections at water entry.The model is used for numerical investigation about the boat launching from skid under different conditions and applied to ship life-saving simulation training system.The following conclusions are finally obtained:(1)When the initial inclination angle is 30◦,the horizontal distance between the point of water entry of the boat and the lower end of the slide is about 7.2 m.The horizontal distance will be smaller,when the initial inclination angle increases.There is no obvious law between forward distance and waves.(2)When the initial inclination angle is 45◦,the setback may occur after the boat entering the wave.When the initial angle is 60◦,the setback occurs after the boat entering the water.(3)When the center of gravity is 1.5 m in front of the midship of the boat,the boat will turn over.