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新安江流域abcd水量平衡模型及参数敏感性分析 被引量:7
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作者 吴光东 许继军 +1 位作者 hoshin gupta 张潇 《长江科学院院报》 CSCD 北大核心 2019年第7期23-27,40,共6页
abcd 水量平衡模型在国外得到了广泛应用,但在国内应用基本处于空白状态。为了探究该模型在我国中小流域应用的适应性及有效性,在介绍 abcd 模型的原理及结构的基础上,将其应用于新安江流域的径流预报模拟。在国内首次对 abcd 模型的4... abcd 水量平衡模型在国外得到了广泛应用,但在国内应用基本处于空白状态。为了探究该模型在我国中小流域应用的适应性及有效性,在介绍 abcd 模型的原理及结构的基础上,将其应用于新安江流域的径流预报模拟。在国内首次对 abcd 模型的4个参数进行敏感性分析,采用单变量法和多变量法分别探讨模型的性能指标对参数变化的响应程度。结果表明:校验阶段汛期与非汛期Nash确定性系数(Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency, NSE)分别为 0.929 和 0.863 ,表明拟合程度较高;参数敏感性分析对于提高 abcd 模型参数率定的效率和精度具有显著意义;单变量法与多变量法结果相近,NSE对参数 c 最为敏感。通过对比径流模拟值与实测值,得出该模型模拟精度高、具有较高的适应性,能够广泛应用于我国中小流域。 展开更多
关键词 abcd水量平衡模型 径流模拟 敏感性分析 评价指标 多变量法 新安江流域
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Modeling the Effect of Irrigation Practices in Flash Floods: A Case Study for the US Southwest
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作者 Cesar Canon-Barriga Juan Valdes hoshin gupta 《Journal of Water Resource and Protection》 2012年第7期415-422,共8页
Conventional streamflow forecasting does not generally take into account the effects of irrigation practice on the magnitude of floods and flash floods. In this paper, we report the results of a study in which we mode... Conventional streamflow forecasting does not generally take into account the effects of irrigation practice on the magnitude of floods and flash floods. In this paper, we report the results of a study in which we modeled the impacts of an irrigated area in the US Southwest on streamflow. A calibrated version of the Variable Infiltration Capacity model (VIC), coupled with a routing algorithm, was used to investigate two strategies for irrigating alfalfa in the Beaver Creek watershed (Arizona, USA), for the period January to March of 2010, at a resolution of 1.8 km and hourly time step. By incorporating the effects of irrigation in artificially maintaining soil moisture, model performance is improved without requiring changes in the resolution or quality of input data. Peak flows in the watershed were found to increase by 10 to 500 times, depending on the irrigation scenario, as a function of the strategy and the intensity of rainfall. The study suggests that both flood control and irrigation efficiency could be enhanced by applying improved irrigation techniques. 展开更多
关键词 IRRIGATION Practices Flash FLOOD Events Reference CROP EVAPOTRANSPIRATION Soil SATURATION Streamflow Forecasts
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