Short-Term Wind Power Prediction Using Fuzzy Clustering and Support Vector Regression

A sustainable production of electricity is essential for low carbon green growth in South Korea. The generation of wind power as renewable energy has been rapidly growing around the world. Undoubtedly, wind energy is unlimited in potential. However due to its own intermittency and volatility, there are difficulties in the effective harvesting of wind energy and the integration of wind power into the current electric power grid. To cope with this, many works have been done for wind speed and power forecasting. In this paper, an SVR （support vector regression） using FCM （Fuzzy C-Means） is proposed for wind speed forecasting. This paper describes the design of an FCM based SVR to increase the prediction accuracy. Proposed model was compared with ordinary SVR model using balanced and unbalanced test data. Also, multi-step ahead forecasting result was compared. Kernel parameters in SVR are adaptively determined in order to improve forecasting accuracy. An illustrative example is given by using real-world wind farm dataset. According to the experimental results, it is shown that the proposed method provides better forecasts of wind power.

Development of Fault Management Dispatcher Training Simulator for TDAS in Korea

A fault management dispatcher training simulator for large-scale Distribution Automation System (TDAS) is developed to train operators in distribution control center. This simulator is composed of independent simulation server and operator consoles and can be used for network analysis, network operation, fault management and evaluation. TDAS DB is duplicated online to the simulation server keeping the data security. The system can model distribution network penetrated with distributed generations (DG) using the real data from the TDAS DB. Network fault scenarios are automatically generated by calculating fault current and generating fault indicators. Also, manual entry of cry wolf alarm is available. Moreover, operation solution for scenario of fault isolation and service restoration is generated automatically so that trainee can check their operation result. Operator actions during training session are saved and can be played back as well as displayed on one-line diagram pictures.

Short Term Wind Power Prediction Using Wavelet Transform and ARIMA

A sustainable production of electricity is essential for low carbon green growth in South Korea. Although wind energy is unlimited in potential, both intermittency and volatility should be tackled for smart grid integration in future. To cope with this, many works have been done for wind speed and power forecasting. It is shown that statistical techniques are useful for short-term forecasting of wind power. This paper presents a statistical wind speed forecasting. The wavelet decomposition is employed as a de-noising technique. An illustration will be given by real-world dataset. According to the result, the MAD （mean absolute deviation） is improved as much as 10%.

CIM Model Extension for Intelligent DAS of Smart Power Grid in Korea

The CIM （common information model） is an abstract information model that can be used to model an electrical network and various equipments used on the network. By using a common model, utilities and vendors can reduce their integration costs, which should allow more resources to be applied toward increased functionality for managing and optimizing the electrical system. As a part of smart grid, the SPG （smart power grid） was built on Jeju Island. The SPG consists of IDAS （intelligent distribution automation system）, substation automation system, intelligent transmission system, and active telemetrics system. To integrate these systems which have different operating systems and platforms CIM standard was used. But IDAS has many functions and advanced algorithms not defined in CIM. In this paper, the authors introduce how to develop and extend the CIM model for managing the IDAS.