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南水北调西线工程水源区和受水区降水变化及丰枯遭遇特征分析 被引量:1
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作者 王荣 杜孝忠 +5 位作者 巢清尘 赵珊珊 叶殿秀 李修仓 李莹 张梦然 《气候变化研究进展》 CSCD 北大核心 2024年第5期571-580,共10页
基于规划中的南水北调西线工程区域内274个国家气象站1961—2022年逐日降水资料,分析了西线工程水源区和受水区年和四季降水量的时空分布特征,以及两区降水的丰枯遭遇特征。结果表明:近62年来,南水北调西线工程水源区年降水量总体呈增... 基于规划中的南水北调西线工程区域内274个国家气象站1961—2022年逐日降水资料,分析了西线工程水源区和受水区年和四季降水量的时空分布特征,以及两区降水的丰枯遭遇特征。结果表明:近62年来,南水北调西线工程水源区年降水量总体呈增多趋势,而受水区年降水量没有明显变化趋势;夏、冬季水源区和受水区降水量均增多,春、秋季水源区降水量增多而受水区降水量减少;年和春、夏、秋季水源区枯水频率均低于受水区枯水频率,并且水源区枯水频率呈减少趋势,而丰水频率呈增加趋势;水源区和受水区年和四季降水丰枯异步频率普遍在60%以上,远大于丰枯同步频率,有利调水的5种丰枯遭遇在年和春、夏、秋季发生频率均超过50%。总体而言,南水北调西线工程水源区和受水区的降水具有较强的丰枯补偿性,且1971年以来有利调水发生频次呈增加趋势,理论上存在保证供水的可能性。但水源区出现连续枯水年的频次较多。因此,在南水北调西线工程规划设计和运行调度时需充分考虑水源区和受水区降水的变化。 展开更多
关键词 降水 丰枯遭遇 南水北调西线 水源区 受水区
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Spatio-temporal changes of exposure and vulnerability to floods in China 被引量:1
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作者 WANG Yan-Jun GAO Chao +3 位作者 ZHAI Jian-Qing li xiu-cang SU Bu-da HARTMANN Heike 《Advances in Climate Change Research》 SCIE 2014年第4期197-205,共9页
A socio-economic data set on China's historical flood losses for the period 1984--2012 was compiled to analyze the exposed population, economy, and crop area as well as the vulnerabilities of the population and econo... A socio-economic data set on China's historical flood losses for the period 1984--2012 was compiled to analyze the exposed population, economy, and crop area as well as the vulnerabilities of the population and economy to floods. The results revealed that the exposed population was approximately 126 persons km-2 per year when taking China as a whole; in terms of the economy, potential losses due to floods were estimated to be approximately 1.49 million C/W4 km 2 and the crop area exposed to floods covered 153 million hm2 per year. China's total exposure to floods significantly increased over the analysis period. The areas that showed the higher exposure were mainly located along the east coast. The population's vulnerability to floods showed a significantly increasing trend, however, the economic vulnerability showed a decreasing trend. The populations and economies that were most vulnerable to floods were in Hunan, Anhui, Chongqing, Jiangxi, and Hubei provinces. The municipalities of Shanghai, Beijing, and Tianjin showed the lowest vulnerabilities to floods. 展开更多
关键词 EXPOSURE VULNERABILITY Flood disaster Spatio-temporal changes China
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全球升温1.5℃和2.0℃情景下中国实际蒸散发时空变化特征 被引量:13
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作者 苏布达 周建 +5 位作者 王艳君 陶辉 高超 刘俸霞 李修仓 姜彤 《中国农业气象》 CSCD 北大核心 2018年第5期293-303,共11页
蒸散发是水文循环的关键过程,研究升温背景下的蒸散发对水资源综合管理有着重要意义。基于17个全球气候模式1961-2100年逐月蒸散发输出,分析了全球升温1.5℃和2.0℃情景下,中国实际蒸散发时空变化特征。结果表明:(1)全球升温1.5℃,年实... 蒸散发是水文循环的关键过程,研究升温背景下的蒸散发对水资源综合管理有着重要意义。基于17个全球气候模式1961-2100年逐月蒸散发输出,分析了全球升温1.5℃和2.0℃情景下,中国实际蒸散发时空变化特征。结果表明:(1)全球升温1.5℃,年实际蒸散发呈现由东南沿海向西北内陆递减态势。与基准期1986-2005年相比,中国年实际蒸散发约增加4.4%,其中,西北诸河流域增长率最大,达7.7%。季节尺度上,冬季实际蒸散发增长速率最快,约5.2%。(2)全球升温2.0℃,中国实际蒸散发比1986-2005年上升7.8%,南方流域增长速率比北方流域小,珠江流域仅增长3.9%,实际蒸散发增长最为迅猛的辽河流域和西北诸河流域中部增长率达10%。春冬两季中国蒸散发增加最明显,达8.3%。(3)与全球升温1.5℃情景相比,全球平均气温额外增加0.5℃可能导致中国实际蒸散发增加3.4%。其中,西南诸河西北部、西北诸河西南部及辽河流域增加明显,而西北诸河东北部和西北部等地微弱减少。春季蒸散发增长速率最大,秋季最小。随着全球变暖,中国实际蒸散发呈现上升趋势,可能加剧区域干旱事件,对农业生产带来不利影响。 展开更多
关键词 蒸散发 升温1.5℃ 升温2.0℃ 十大流域 气候变化
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Climate services for addressing climate change: Indication of a climate livable city in China 被引量:1
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作者 WANG Yu-Jie CHEN Yu +6 位作者 Chris HEWITT DING Wei-Hua SONG lian-Chun AI Wan-Xiu HAN Zhen-Yu li xiu-cang HUANG Zi-li 《Advances in Climate Change Research》 SCIE CSCD 2021年第5期744-751,共8页
China, like many countries, is under great pressure to reduce climate change and adapt to current situations while simultaneously undertaking economic development and transformation. This study takes advantage of clim... China, like many countries, is under great pressure to reduce climate change and adapt to current situations while simultaneously undertaking economic development and transformation. This study takes advantage of climate opportunities and provides a new concept and mode of urban climate services in order to address climate change. Eighteen indicators based on climate and climate-related variables were used to provide an assessment, in the form of an index, of how livable a city is depending on prevailing climatic conditions. The resulting index can also be used to investigate how recent and future changes in the climatic conditions could affect livability. All Chinese cities and regions share the common goals of promoting low-carbon development, improving resilience against climate change, and integrating economic growth with climate actions. Climate services have been developed in China to provide decision-makers this measure of livability. Such a move facilitates sustainable development alongside economic growth by aiding government efforts in climate adaptation and low-carbon development. Our approach represents multidisciplinary and demand-driven research on adaptation to and the impacts of regional climate change, thereby transforming climate science into a climate service and ensuring that climate information can be provided in a scientific, practical, and customized way for policy-makers. The outputs can be used locally to take concrete climate actions and integrate climate services into decision-making processes. 展开更多
关键词 Climate services Addressing climate change Climate livable city China
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