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地理学视角下中国农业功能研究进展与展望 被引量:2
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作者 谭雪兰 李印齐 +3 位作者 安悦 周舟 刘悦 朱晶晶 《热带地理》 CSCD 北大核心 2024年第1期56-67,共12页
伴随中国城镇化、工业化、市场化的快速推进及乡村振兴战略的深入实施,中国农业发展迈入转型升级的新时期。国内学者高度重视农业发展及农业产业为全社会所提供的服务,地理学者充分发挥学科优势,逐步融合多学科理论与方法针对农业功能... 伴随中国城镇化、工业化、市场化的快速推进及乡村振兴战略的深入实施,中国农业发展迈入转型升级的新时期。国内学者高度重视农业发展及农业产业为全社会所提供的服务,地理学者充分发挥学科优势,逐步融合多学科理论与方法针对农业功能的概念内涵、理论基础、分类体系、测度评价、时空过程、影响因素及优化路径等开展了诸多研究。文章通过梳理中国知网平台上近10年核心期刊中关于农业功能的学术论文,选取了151篇高质量文献进行研究,得到以下几点结果:1)地理学者聚焦于农业的生产功能、经济功能、及生态功能等方面研究,更加关注农业功能空间分布、地理特征及其与环境的关系;2)人地关系地域系统理论、农业多功能理论、农业区位理论和农业功能阶段论等是农业功能研究的基础,地理学者正不断完善和丰富农业功能相关理论;3)基于GIS和RS技术以及地理数学模型,地理学者进一步研究了农业功能的空间变化与地域特征;4)地理学者科学诊断了不同地理环境下各因子的作用方式、方向与强度,并针对地区地理环境与影响因子进行功能区划与优化;5)未来地理学视角下的农业功能研究需要进一步完善理论框架体系,推动多要素、多尺度、多目标的体系研究;聚焦农业功能转型,强化多学科、大数据、新技术手段的集成研究。 展开更多
关键词 地理学 农业功能 农业可持续发展 乡村振兴 中国
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Historical Changes and Multi-scenario Prediction of Land Use and Terrestrial Ecosystem Carbon Storage in China
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作者 AN Yue TAN Xuelan +2 位作者 REN Hui li yinqi ZHOU Zhou 《Chinese Geographical Science》 SCIE CSCD 2024年第3期487-503,共17页
Terrestrial carbon storage(CS)plays a crucial role in achieving carbon balance and mitigating global climate change.This study employs the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and Representative Concentration Pathways(SSPs-R... Terrestrial carbon storage(CS)plays a crucial role in achieving carbon balance and mitigating global climate change.This study employs the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and Representative Concentration Pathways(SSPs-RCPs)published by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change(IPCC)and incorporates the Policy Control Scenario(PCS)regulated by China’s land management policies.The Future Land Use Simulation(FLUS)model is employed to generate a 1 km resolution land use/cover change(LUCC)dataset for China in 2030 and 2060.Based on the carbon density dataset of China’s terrestrial ecosystems,the study analyses CS changes and their relationship with land use changes spanning from 1990 to 2060.The findings indicate that the quantitative changes in land use in China from 1990 to 2020 are characterised by a reduction in the area proportion of cropland and grassland,along with an increase in the impervious surface and forest area.This changing trend is projected to continue under the PCS from 2020 to 2060.Under the SSPs-RCPs scenario,the proportion of cropland and impervious surface predominantly increases,while the proportions of forest and grassland continuously decrease.Carbon loss in China’s carbon storage from 1990 to 2020 amounted to 0.53×10^(12)kg,primarily due to the reduced area of cropland and grassland.In the SSPs-RCPs scenario,more significant carbon loss occurs,reaching a peak of8.07×10^(12)kg in the SSP4-RCP3.4 scenario.Carbon loss is mainly concentrated in the southeastern coastal area and the Beijing-TianjinHebei(BTH)region of China,with urbanisation and deforestation identified as the primary drivers.In the future,it is advisable to enhance the protection of forests and grassland while stabilising cropland areas and improving the intensity of urban land.These research findings offer valuable data support for China’s land management policy,land space optimisation,and the achievement of dual-carbon targets. 展开更多
关键词 land use change Future Land Use Simulation(FLUS)model carbon storage carbon density dataset land use scenario China
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高等学校《地球科学导论》课程教学改革与探索 被引量:1
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作者 章凤奇 石许华 +7 位作者 杨小平 曹龙 励音骐 张丰 刘艳 程晓敢 陈汉林 杨树锋 《高校地质学报》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2022年第3期342-346,共5页
在新技术、新方法不断涌现和学科融合发展的背景下,地球科学类课程教学在如何适应未来地球系统科学发展和人才培养需要方面,正面临前所未有的挑战和机遇。论文以浙江大学《地球科学导论》课程为例,对教学内容拓展、课程思政融入和课程... 在新技术、新方法不断涌现和学科融合发展的背景下,地球科学类课程教学在如何适应未来地球系统科学发展和人才培养需要方面,正面临前所未有的挑战和机遇。论文以浙江大学《地球科学导论》课程为例,对教学内容拓展、课程思政融入和课程教学现代化面临的挑战和应对策略做了介绍,并对未来学科发展和课程教学改革方向进行了思考和展望。分析指出,课程教学改革要以立德树人、铸魂育人为根本,夯实地球科学基础,拥抱新技术新方法,并面向地球系统科学的未来。 展开更多
关键词 《地球科学导论》课程改革 学科交叉 课程思政 地学大数据与人工智能 地球系统科学 人才培养
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塔里木地块西北缘震旦系发现二叠纪基性岩床侵入事件 被引量:5
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作者 吴鸿翔 黄伟康 +4 位作者 励音骐 林秀斌 陈汉林 程晓敢 章凤奇 《地质学报》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2020年第6期1869-1882,共14页
准确识别侵入岩和火山岩并厘定其形成时代是野外地质调查的一项基础工作,它们对认识区域岩浆事件序列和建立沉积地层年代格架具有重要的作用。塔里木地块西北缘阿克苏地区以出露连续的新元古界和丰富多样的新元古代岩浆岩而成为备受前... 准确识别侵入岩和火山岩并厘定其形成时代是野外地质调查的一项基础工作,它们对认识区域岩浆事件序列和建立沉积地层年代格架具有重要的作用。塔里木地块西北缘阿克苏地区以出露连续的新元古界和丰富多样的新元古代岩浆岩而成为备受前寒武纪地质研究工作者关注的地区。本文通过遥感影像的识别、野外剖面地质调查和岩石学研究,发现塔里木西北缘阿克苏市西南部的震旦系中发育的基性岩具有典型的岩浆侵入特征,包括局部截切地层、包裹围岩块和内部结晶粗、边缘结晶细等特点。结合锆石U-Pb年代学研究,发现该地区震旦系发育的基性岩浆岩并不全是震旦纪玄武岩,有相当一部分是早二叠世(ca.290Ma)侵入的辉绿岩岩床,其侵位年龄与塔里木二叠纪大规模溢流玄武岩的喷发时代接近,很可能是塔里木大火成岩省的重要组成部分。这期显著的岩浆热事件可能对该地区前寒武纪岩石重磁化产生重要影响,同时也启示今后开展塔里木北缘震旦纪岩浆作用研究时需要特别引起重视并加以仔细鉴别。 展开更多
关键词 塔里木地块 震旦系 基性岩床 二叠纪 塔里木大火成岩省
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洞庭湖地区耕地功能时空演变特征及影响因素研究 被引量:16
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作者 安悦 谭雪兰 +3 位作者 李印齐 周舟 余航菱 任辉 《地理科学》 CSSCI CSCD 北大核心 2022年第7期1272-1282,共11页
耕地功能时空演变规律及影响因素研究是凸显耕地价值与作用、推动地区协调发展的重要科学依据。综合运用熵值法、地理探测器模型等方法,以湖南省洞庭湖地区24个县市区为研究区域,对该地区耕地功能的时空演变、空间分异及其影响因素进行... 耕地功能时空演变规律及影响因素研究是凸显耕地价值与作用、推动地区协调发展的重要科学依据。综合运用熵值法、地理探测器模型等方法,以湖南省洞庭湖地区24个县市区为研究区域,对该地区耕地功能的时空演变、空间分异及其影响因素进行研究。结果表明:①1998—2018年洞庭湖地区耕地经济生产功能整体呈增强趋势,主要集中于洞庭湖地区中部、西南部等农业基础较好的区域;社会保障功能整体增强明显,仅有临澧县、津市市和鼎城区3个地区功能强度有所减弱;生态维护功能空间格局变化较小,整体呈中间高两边低的态势。②自然地理条件是早期影响地区耕地功能的主要因素,随时间推移其影响能力逐渐弱化;社会经济发展到一定阶段,社会经济因素对耕地功能空间分异的影响能力逐渐增强,并凸显出决定性作用;耕地利用水平的不断提升,对耕地功能空间分异影响能力逐渐增强;不同因子之间的交互作用能够明显增强对洞庭湖地区耕地功能空间分异的解释力,共同推动地区耕地功能多元化发展。 展开更多
关键词 耕地功能 功能多元化发展 地理探测器 洞庭湖地区
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基于需求侧响应的家庭电热水器优化调度 被引量:12
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作者 郝文斌 李银奇 +2 位作者 张毓格 王继东 孔祥玉 《电力系统保护与控制》 EI CSCD 北大核心 2019年第2期95-100,共6页
电热水器是家庭中极为重要的负荷,对实时电价机制下家庭电热水器的优化调度问题进行分析是非常有意义的。首先,将电热水器热力学模型归纳为一阶显式方程,并以此为基础,利用线性整数规划对电热水器的优化调度问题进行求解。然后,对不同... 电热水器是家庭中极为重要的负荷,对实时电价机制下家庭电热水器的优化调度问题进行分析是非常有意义的。首先,将电热水器热力学模型归纳为一阶显式方程,并以此为基础,利用线性整数规划对电热水器的优化调度问题进行求解。然后,对不同程度的舒适区间无选择性调整方案的经济性进行了讨论。最后,探讨了基于多维度信息的综合权重排序法在有选择性舒适区间调整方案中的应用,并对两者进行了比较。仿真结果表明,调整舒适区间上下限能够明显降低调度计划的用电费用。而且,基于多维度信息的综合权重排序法能够有效选择舒适区间调整节点,在很短的调整时长内获得较好的经济效益。 展开更多
关键词 家庭电热水器调度 线性整数规划 舒适区间调整 综合权重排序法
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考虑二阶效应的空间刚架结构布局优化 被引量:1
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作者 李银启 程文明 刘华森 《西南交通大学学报》 EI CSCD 北大核心 2019年第5期971-979,共9页
针对三维空间刚架布局优化问题,以七自由度节点梁柱单元二阶弹性理论推导考虑构件几何非线性和截面翘曲变形的非线性刚度矩阵,通过整合梁柱单元非线性刚度矩阵对刚架结构进行整体的二阶弹性分析,建立满足刚架结构强度、刚度和稳定性要... 针对三维空间刚架布局优化问题,以七自由度节点梁柱单元二阶弹性理论推导考虑构件几何非线性和截面翘曲变形的非线性刚度矩阵,通过整合梁柱单元非线性刚度矩阵对刚架结构进行整体的二阶弹性分析,建立满足刚架结构强度、刚度和稳定性要求的布局优化数值模型;并针对复杂刚架结构布局优化数值求解问题,改进遗传搜索算法(GA),提出可靠拓扑和引导型遗传算法双向控制方法(KLGA).该方法一方面将拓扑变量从布局设计变量中分离,以构件重要度评定结构可靠拓扑变量组合,再与设计变量整合;另一方面将结构特有的引导信息加入算法中,为GA提供全局最优解的指引路径.通过两种典型的刚架算例表明二阶效应模型和KLGA算法的可行性和有效性,例如算例2中基于二阶效应模型的KLGA得到的最优结构质量比GA减轻了24.5%,波动幅度从9.61%提升到1.39%,算法更加稳定. 展开更多
关键词 空间刚架结构 二阶效应 布局优化 可靠拓扑 引导型遗传算法
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国内垃圾焚烧发电汽轮机技术发展现状 被引量:2
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作者 蔡小燕 李胤祺 杨红霞 《热力透平》 2021年第2期79-82,92,共5页
垃圾焚烧发电技术的推广应用既能缓解环境压力,又能带来经济效益。汽轮机作为电厂的关键设备之一,对保证整个电厂的能源转换效率起着关键作用。从汽轮机主蒸汽参数、功率等级、热力循环系统3方面介绍了垃圾发电汽轮机的最新技术发展方... 垃圾焚烧发电技术的推广应用既能缓解环境压力,又能带来经济效益。汽轮机作为电厂的关键设备之一,对保证整个电厂的能源转换效率起着关键作用。从汽轮机主蒸汽参数、功率等级、热力循环系统3方面介绍了垃圾发电汽轮机的最新技术发展方向。同时介绍了3款典型的非再热垃圾发电汽轮机产品,旨在推动国内垃焚烧圾发电行业的进一步发展。 展开更多
关键词 垃圾焚烧发电 主蒸汽参数 功率 热力循环 汽轮机产品
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The Character and Petrogenetic Model of the Permian Tarim Large Igneous Province
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作者 CHEN Hanlin YANG Shufeng +2 位作者 li Zilong YU Xing li yinqi 《Acta Geologica Sinica(English Edition)》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2020年第S01期7-7,共1页
Tarim Large Igneous Province(TLIP)is the second Late Paleozoic LIPs in China after the recognition of the Emeishan LIP.The residual distribution range of TLIP is up to 250000 km2,and the largest residual thickness is ... Tarim Large Igneous Province(TLIP)is the second Late Paleozoic LIPs in China after the recognition of the Emeishan LIP.The residual distribution range of TLIP is up to 250000 km2,and the largest residual thickness is 780 m.The eruption of basalt happened during 290–288 Ma and belongs to LIPs magmatic event with fast eruption of magma.The lithological units of the TLIP include basalt,diabase,layered intrusive rock,breccia pipe mica-olivine pyroxenite,olivine pyroxenite,gabbro,ultramafic dyke,quartz syenite,quartz syenite porphyry and bimodal dyke.The basalt and diabase of TLIP exhibit OIB-like trace element patterns and enrichment of LILE and HFSE,and mainly belong to high TiO2 series.There is an obvious difference in isotope among the basalt from Keping and the basalt and dibase from the northern Tarim Basin.The basalt from Keping with negative Nd and high REE value derives from enriched mantle,and the diabase and basalt from the northern Tarim Basin with positive Nd and low REE value are related to depleted mantle.The crust uplifting in the Early Permian and the development of picrite and large scale dyke and formation of large scale V-Ti-magnetite deposit in Wajilitag area support the view that the TLIP is related to mantle plume.The TLIP has a temporal-spatial relationship with Permian basicultrabasic igneous rock,which is distributed widely in Central Asia,and they represent a tectono-magmatic event with very important geodynamic setting.This study also systematically demonstrates the two-stage melting model for the TLIP based on our previous research work and predecessor achievements,and highlights the two types of magmatic rocks within the TLIP.The two-stage melting model suggests that the formation of the TLIP is mantle plume related.The early hot mantle plume caused the low-degree partial melting of the lithosphere mantle,while in the later stage,the plume partially melted due to adiabatic uplift and decompression.Therefore,this model carries signatures of both the"Parana"and"Deccan"models in terms of mantle plume activity.During the early stage,the mantle plume provided the heat required for partial melting of sub-continental lithosphere mantle(SCLM),similar to the"Parana Model",while later the plume acted as the main avenue for melting,as in the"Deccan Model".Basalts that erupted in the first stage have higher 87Sr/86Sr,lower 143Nd/144Nd ratios,and are enriched in large ion lithophile elements and high field strength elements,indicating a possible origin from the enriched continental lithosphere mantle,similar to the Parana type geochemical features.The basic-ultrabasic intrusive rocks in the second stage exhibit lower 87Sr/86Sr,higher 143Nd/144Nd ratios relative to the basalts,consistent with the involvement of a more depleted asthenospheric material,such as a mantle plume,similar to the Deccan type geochemical features.The first stage basalts can be further subdivided into two categories.Developing this petrogenetic model for the TLIP aids in comprehensively understanding its magmatism and deep geological and geodynamic processes.Furthermore,this work enriches the theories describing the origin of large igneous province and mantle plume activity. 展开更多
关键词 magmatic sequence two type of basic magmatite two-stage melting model TLIP
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Simulation of urban expansion using geographical similarity transition rules and neighbourhood sizes
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作者 li yinqi AN Yue +2 位作者 ZHOU Zhou REN Hui TAN Xuelan 《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 SCIE CSCD 2024年第7期1394-1414,共21页
Most existing cellular automata(CA)models impose strict requirements on the number and spatial distribution of samples.This makes it a challenge to capture spatial heterogeneity in urban dynamics and meet the modeling... Most existing cellular automata(CA)models impose strict requirements on the number and spatial distribution of samples.This makes it a challenge to capture spatial heterogeneity in urban dynamics and meet the modeling needs of large and complex geographic areas.This paper presents a CA model based on geographically optimal similarity(GOS)transition rules and similarly sized neighborhoods(SSN).By comparing the similarity in geographical configuration between samples and predicted points,the model enables a comprehensive characterization of the driving mechanism behind urban expansion and its self-organizing scope.This helps to mitigate the impact of sample selection and assumptions about spatial stationarity on simulation results.The performance of GOS-SSN-CA simulation was tested by taking the urban expansion in the Changsha-Zhuzhou-Xiangtan urban agglomeration in China as an example.The results show that GOS can derive more accurate and reliable urban transition rules with fewer samples,thereby significantly reducing spatial prediction errors compared with logistic regression.Moreover,SSN selects different neighborhood sizes to represent the difference between the local self-organizing range and surrounding cells,thus further improving the simulation accuracy and restricting urban expansion morphology.Overall,GOS-SSN-CA effectively characterizes the geographical similarity of urban expansion,improves simulation accuracy while constraining the urban expansion form,and enhances the practical application value of CA. 展开更多
关键词 urban growth cellular automata geographic similarity model optimization spatial nonstationarity
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中国乡村贫困多尺度研究理论框架及对乡村振兴的启示 被引量:7
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作者 安悦 谭雪兰 +3 位作者 蒋凌霄 李印齐 周舟 余航菱 《经济地理》 CSSCI CSCD 北大核心 2022年第4期150-158,201,共10页
文章针对乡村贫困的概念内涵、测度体系、影响因素及乡村振兴发展路径,从县域—村域—农户三个尺度进行分析,旨在为“后脱贫时代”乡村贫困相关理论研究与实证研究提供思路与参考。研究结果表明:(1)乡村贫困是一个复杂、综合的概念,具... 文章针对乡村贫困的概念内涵、测度体系、影响因素及乡村振兴发展路径,从县域—村域—农户三个尺度进行分析,旨在为“后脱贫时代”乡村贫困相关理论研究与实证研究提供思路与参考。研究结果表明:(1)乡村贫困是一个复杂、综合的概念,具有多维性与多尺度性,可以从外部扰动、内部结构、构成维度、层级尺度与贫困主体等方面作进一步阐述。(2)测度体系作为乡村贫困研究的工具与基础,可分为尺度确定与测度流程两个部分,在具体实例研究过程中,可以针对不同空间尺度进行多种类型数据与方法融合的组合式研究。(3)在不同的空间尺度下,乡村贫困的影响因素存在差异,各因素的作用机制与表现形式随空间尺度与贫困主体发生转变,可以通过地理资本与生计资本两个方面反映各因素对县域、村域、农户的作用大小、方向与程度。(4)在分析乡村贫困的概念内涵、测度体系与影响因素的基础上,从多尺度乡村贫困视角探讨脱贫地区乡村振兴路径,具体包括重视乡村发展,加大乡村振兴的推动力;立足村域特色,挖掘乡村振兴的内生力;保障个体发展,激发乡村振兴的源动力。 展开更多
关键词 乡村贫困 多尺度视角 贫困测度 村域尺度 乡村振兴
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Early Permian Tarim Large Igneous Province in northwest China 被引量:13
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作者 YANG ShuFeng CHEN Hanlin +4 位作者 li ZiLong li yinqi YU Xing li DongXu MENG liFeng 《Science China Earth Sciences》 SCIE EI CAS 2013年第12期2015-2026,共12页
Tarim Large Igneous Province (TLIP) is the second Late Paleozoic LIPs in China after the recognition of Emeishan LIP, and is a hot research topic in geosciences. On the basis of the analysis of research history abou... Tarim Large Igneous Province (TLIP) is the second Late Paleozoic LIPs in China after the recognition of Emeishan LIP, and is a hot research topic in geosciences. On the basis of the analysis of research history about TLIP, this paper summarizes the re- search result during last twenty years and suggests the key research area in the future. The residual distribution range of TLIP is up to 250000 km2, and the largest residual thickness is 780 m. The eruption of basalt happened during 290-288 Ma and be- longs to LIPs magmatic event with fast eruption of magma. The lithological units of the TLIP include basalt, diabase, layered intrusive rock, breccia pipe mica-olivine pyroxenite, olivine pyroxenite, gabbro, ultramafic dyke, quartz syenite, quartz syenite porphyry and bimodal dyke. The basalt and diabase of TLIP exhibit OIB-like trace element patterns and enrichment of LILE and HFSE, and mainly belong to high TiO2 series. There is an obvious difference in isotope among the basalt from Keping and the basalt and dibase from the northern Tarim Basin. The basalt from Keping with negative eNa and high REE value derives from enriched mantle, and the diabase and basalt from the northern Tarim Basin with positive ENa and low REE value axe re- lated to depleted mantle. The crust uplifting in the Early Permian and the development of picrite and large scale dyke and for- mation of large scale V-Ti-Magnetite deposit in Wajilitag area support the view that the TLIP is related to mantle plume. The TLIP has a temporal-spatial relationship with Permian basic to ultra-basic igneous rock, which is distributed widely in Central Asia, and they represent a tectono-magmatic event with very important geodynamic setting. This paper also suggests that the deep geological process, the relation with mantle plume, mineralization, the relation with environmental change and biological evolution, and the geodynamics of the TLIP will be the key research topics in the future. 展开更多
关键词 Tarim Basin Early Permian Large Igneous Provinces temporal-spatial characteristic evolution of magma mantleplume
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Petrogenetic model of the Permian Tarim Large Igneous Province 被引量:6
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作者 YU Xing YANG ShuFeng +2 位作者 CHEN Hanlin li ZiLong li yinqi 《Science China Earth Sciences》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2017年第10期1805-1816,共12页
Over the last two decades great strides have been made in characterizing the spatial distribution, time sequence,geochemical characteristics, mantle sources, and magma evolution processes for various igneous rocks in ... Over the last two decades great strides have been made in characterizing the spatial distribution, time sequence,geochemical characteristics, mantle sources, and magma evolution processes for various igneous rocks in the Early Permian Tarim Large Igneous Province(TLIP). This work has laid a solid foundation for revealing the evolutionary processes and genetic models of large igneous provinces(LIPs). This study systematically demonstrates the two-stage melting model for the TLIP based on our previous research work and predecessor achievements, and highlights the two types of magmatic rocks within the TLIP.The two-stage melting model suggests that the formation of the TLIP is mantle plume related. The early hot mantle plume caused the low-degree partial melting of the lithosphere mantle, while in the later stage, the plume partially melted due to adiabatic uplift and decompression. Therefore, this model carries signatures of both the "Parana" and "Deccan" models in terms of mantle plume activity. During the early stage, the mantle plume provided the heat required for partial melting of sub-continental lithosphere mantle(SCLM), similar to the "Parana Model", while later the plume acted as the main avenue for melting, as in the "Deccan Model". Basalts that erupted in the first stage have higher 87Sr/86 Sr, lower 143Nd/144 Nd ratios, and are enriched in large ion lithophile elements and high field strength elements, indicating a possible origin from the enriched continental lithosphere mantle,similar to the Parana type geochemical features. The basic-ultrabasic intrusive rocks in the second stage exhibit lower 87Sr/86 Sr,higher 143Nd/144 Nd ratios relative to the basalts, consistent with the involvement of a more depleted asthenospheric material,such as a mantle plume, similar to the Deccan type geochemical features. The first stage basalts can be further subdivided into two categories, i.e., Group 1 and Group 2 basalts. Group 2 basalts have lower 87Sr/86 Sr and higher 143Nd/144 Nd ratios than Group 1 basalts, and lie between compositions of the Group 1 basalts and second stage magmatism. Group 2 basalts may be the intermediate component of the TLIP, and the whole TLIP is the result of plume and lithosphere interaction. Developing this petrogenetic model for the TLIP aids in comprehensively understanding its magmatism and deep geological and geodynamic processes. Furthermore, this work enriches the theories describing the origin of large igneous province and mantle plume activity. 展开更多
关键词 Large igneous province Early Permian Two types of basalts Petrogenetic model Tarim Basin
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低利率条件下城镇居民投资意愿对杠杆率影响研究及政策建议
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作者 李程 李茵琪 《金融发展评论》 2019年第9期66-78,共13页
利用根据《城镇储户问卷调查报告》整理的城镇居民的意愿进行分析,利用门限回归模型和ARCH模型就城镇居民投资意愿对杠杆率的影响展开研究。研究结果表明:城镇居民理财意愿近年来在投资意愿中一直居首位,居民的杠杆率具有ARCH效应。实... 利用根据《城镇储户问卷调查报告》整理的城镇居民的意愿进行分析,利用门限回归模型和ARCH模型就城镇居民投资意愿对杠杆率的影响展开研究。研究结果表明:城镇居民理财意愿近年来在投资意愿中一直居首位,居民的杠杆率具有ARCH效应。实际利率下降,使得城镇居民理财意愿上升,会导致购房意愿上升,进而导致居民杠杆率的上升。在购房意愿低的时候,理财意愿对杠杆率的推动作用更大。在低利率的条件下,理财意愿对购房意愿的促进作用更大,购房意愿对杠杆率的拉动影响相对更为明显;因此,低利率是杠杆率上升的一个催化剂。政策上应该加快利率并轨,引导城镇居民合理投资,稳定杠杆率。 展开更多
关键词 城镇居民投资意愿 低利率 杠杆率 理财意愿 购房意愿
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