Post-buckling Reliability and Sensitivity Analysis of Composite Stiffened Plates Based on Adaptive Kriging Method

Based on the active learning Kriging(ALK)model and the Hashin failure criterion,this paper proposes a new reliability evaluationmodel for composite stiffened panels,and conducts a reliability analysis on the ultimate bearing capacity.In addition,this paper studies the importance ranking of input variables.By comparing the calculation results of the reliability model proposed in this paper with those of the Monte Carlo method,the accuracy and efficiency of the ALK model are verified by case studies.Finally,the effects of longitudinal elastic modulus and fiber-direction tensile strength on post-buckling failure probability are discussed,which provides significant reference and guidance for the optimization and design of composite stiffened plates.

考虑屈曲的复合材料加筋壁板铺层顺序优化

提出了一种考虑屈曲的复合材料加筋壁板铺层顺序优化方法。基于复合材料加筋壁板屈曲载荷求解的能量法,系统推导了轴压载荷作用下复合材料加筋壁板蒙皮、筋条局部屈曲载荷的显示表达式,考虑了加筋壁板各板元之间的弹性支持作用及筋条下缘条的影响,引入工程法求解了加筋壁板整体屈曲载荷。基于国产自主结构分析软件HAJIF中的复合材料铺层工程数据库,以铺层参数为中间变量,利用本文提出的复合材料加筋壁板屈曲载荷求解方法,构建了考虑屈曲的复合材料加筋壁板铺层顺序优化设计流程并完成程序实现,将最小二乘法用于最优铺层顺序与工程铺层数据库的匹配。相比于传统有限元计算方法,本文提出的复合材料加筋壁板屈曲载荷求解方法具备较好的求解精度及求解效率。复合材料加筋壁板优化算例表明,采用本文提出的加筋壁板屈曲载荷分析及其优化方法,在结构重量不变的前提下,屈曲载荷提高约17%,且铺层顺序优化结果可直接从铺层工程数据库中提取并用于工程实际。