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VIX指数对股票市场间联动性影响的实证研究 被引量:15
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作者 叶五一 曾海歌 缪柏其 《统计研究》 CSSCI 北大核心 2018年第6期68-76,共9页
金融危机的频繁发生,使国际金融市场之间的动态联动性成为一个重要的研究课题。以往学者大都直接研究金融市场间的相关性,而忽略了外生金融变量对金融市场间相关性的影响。本文将对上述问题进行研究,借鉴Hurn等(2016)STCC模型的思想,假... 金融危机的频繁发生,使国际金融市场之间的动态联动性成为一个重要的研究课题。以往学者大都直接研究金融市场间的相关性,而忽略了外生金融变量对金融市场间相关性的影响。本文将对上述问题进行研究,借鉴Hurn等(2016)STCC模型的思想,假定Copula参数受外生变量的影响,建立时变动态Copula模型——ST-VCopula模型,并基于该模型探究市场波动率(VIX指数)对股票市场之间相关性的影响,进而对几个国家的股票指数数据进行了实证分析。实证结果表明VIX指数对股票市场间联动性产生了显著的影响。VIX指数的获取简单便捷且更为直观,为市场间动态联动性的研究提供了另一种途径,可以为投资者在进行分散投资等金融活动时提供一定的指导和建议。 展开更多
关键词 ST-Vcopula VIX指数 波动率 市场间联动性
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Estimator of a change point in single index models 被引量:5
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作者 JIN BaiSuo DONG CuiLing +1 位作者 TAN ChangChun miao baiqi 《Science China Mathematics》 SCIE 2014年第8期1701-1712,共12页
This paper considers the problem of change point in single index models.In order to obtain asymptotically valid confidence intervals for the estimation of the change point,the convergence rate and asymptotic distribut... This paper considers the problem of change point in single index models.In order to obtain asymptotically valid confidence intervals for the estimation of the change point,the convergence rate and asymptotic distribution of the change point estimate is studied.Some simulation results are presented which show that the numerical performance of our estimator is satisfactory. 展开更多
关键词 single index model change point convergence rate asymptotic distribution
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SELECTING AN ADAPTIVE SEQUENCE FOR COMPUTING RECURSIVE M-ESTIMATORS IN MULTIVARIATE LINEAR REGRESSION MODELS 被引量:2
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作者 miao baiqi TONG Qian +1 位作者 WU Yuehua JIN Baisuo 《Journal of Systems Science & Complexity》 SCIE EI CSCD 2013年第4期583-594,共12页
In this paper, the authors consider an adaptive recursive algorithm by selecting an adaptive sequence for computing M-estimators in multivariate linear regression models. Its asymptotic property is investigated. The r... In this paper, the authors consider an adaptive recursive algorithm by selecting an adaptive sequence for computing M-estimators in multivariate linear regression models. Its asymptotic property is investigated. The recursive algorithm given by Miao and Wu (1996) is modified accordingly. Simu- lation studies of the Mgorithm is also provided. In addition, the Newton-Raphson iterative algorithm is considered for the purpose of comparison. 展开更多
关键词 Adaptive sequence M-ESTIMATION multivariate linear model recursive algorithm scatter parameters.
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Consistency of change point estimators for symmetrical stable distribution with parameters shift 被引量:1
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作者 SHI XiaoPing miao baiqi GE ChunLei 《Science China Mathematics》 SCIE 2008年第5期842-850,共9页
Assume that the characteristic index α of stable distribution satisfies 1 < α < 2, and that the distribution is symmetrical about its mean. We consider the change point estimators for stable distribution with ... Assume that the characteristic index α of stable distribution satisfies 1 < α < 2, and that the distribution is symmetrical about its mean. We consider the change point estimators for stable distribution with α or scale parameter β shift. For the one case that mean is a known constant, if α or β changes, then density function will change too. To this end, we suppose the kernel estimation for a change point. For the other case that mean is an unknown constant, we suppose to apply empirical characteristic function to estimate the change-point location. In the two cases, we consider the consistency and strong convergence rate of estimators. Furthermore, we consider the mean shift case. If mean changes, then corresponding characteristic function will change too. To this end, we also apply empirical characteristic function to estimate change point. We obtain the similar convergence rate. Finally, we consider its application on the detection of mean shift in financial market. 展开更多
关键词 stable distribution change point CONSISTENCY strong convergence rate 62F10 62F12
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