The first passage time has many applications in fields like finance,econometrics,statistics,and biology.However,explicit formulas for the first passage density have only been obtained for a few cases.This paper derive...The first passage time has many applications in fields like finance,econometrics,statistics,and biology.However,explicit formulas for the first passage density have only been obtained for a few cases.This paper derives an explicit formula for the first passage density of Brownian motion with twosided piecewise continuous boundaries which may have some points of discontinuity.Approximations are used to obtain a simplified formula for estimating the first passage density.Moreover,the results are also generalized to the case of two-sided general nonlinear boundaries.Simulations can be easily carried out with Monte Carlo method and it is demonstrated for several typical two-sided boundaries that the proposed approximation method offers a highly accurate approximation of first passage density.展开更多
The classic hierarchical linear model formulation provides a considerable flexibility for modelling the random effects structure and a powerful tool for analyzing nested data that arise in various areas such as biolog...The classic hierarchical linear model formulation provides a considerable flexibility for modelling the random effects structure and a powerful tool for analyzing nested data that arise in various areas such as biology, economics and education. However, it assumes the within-group errors to be independently and identically distributed (i.i.d.) and models at all levels to be linear. Most importantly, traditional hierarchical models (just like other ordinary mean regression methods) cannot characterize the entire conditional distribution of a dependent variable given a set of covariates and fail to yield robust estimators. In this article, we relax the aforementioned and normality assumptions, and develop a so-called Hierarchical Semiparametric Quantile Regression Models in which the within-group errors could be heteroscedastic and models at some levels are allowed to be nonparametric. We present the ideas with a 2-level model. The level-1 model is specified as a nonparametric model whereas level-2 model is set as a parametric model. Under the proposed semiparametric setting the vector of partial derivatives of the nonparametric function in level-1 becomes the response variable vector in level 2. The proposed method allows us to model the fixed effects in the innermost level (i.e., level 2) as a function of the covariates instead of a constant effect. We outline some mild regularity conditions required for convergence and asymptotic normality for our estimators. We illustrate our methodology with a real hierarchical data set from a laboratory study and some simulation studies.展开更多
In this article, we consider a class of kernel quantile estimators which is the linear combi- nation of order statistics. This class of kernel quantile estimators can be regarded as an extension of some existing estim...In this article, we consider a class of kernel quantile estimators which is the linear combi- nation of order statistics. This class of kernel quantile estimators can be regarded as an extension of some existing estimators. The exact mean square error expression for this class of estimators will be provided when data are uniformly distributed. The implementation of these estimators depends mostly on the bandwidth selection. We then develop an adaptive method for bandwidth selection based on the intersection confidence intervals (ICI) principle. Monte Carlo studies demonstrate that our proposed approach is comparatively remarkable. We illustrate our method with a real data set.展开更多
基金Supported by the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities,the Research Funds of Renmin University of China(Grant No.22XNL016)。
文摘The first passage time has many applications in fields like finance,econometrics,statistics,and biology.However,explicit formulas for the first passage density have only been obtained for a few cases.This paper derives an explicit formula for the first passage density of Brownian motion with twosided piecewise continuous boundaries which may have some points of discontinuity.Approximations are used to obtain a simplified formula for estimating the first passage density.Moreover,the results are also generalized to the case of two-sided general nonlinear boundaries.Simulations can be easily carried out with Monte Carlo method and it is demonstrated for several typical two-sided boundaries that the proposed approximation method offers a highly accurate approximation of first passage density.
基金Research partially supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC) under grant (No. 10871201), the Key Project of Chinese Ministry of Education (No. 108120), National Philosophy and Social Sci- ence Foundation Grant (No. 07BTJ002), 2006 New Century Excellent Talents Program (NCET), HKBU261007 and The Chinese University of Hong Kong Faculty of Science Direct Grant 2060333
文摘The classic hierarchical linear model formulation provides a considerable flexibility for modelling the random effects structure and a powerful tool for analyzing nested data that arise in various areas such as biology, economics and education. However, it assumes the within-group errors to be independently and identically distributed (i.i.d.) and models at all levels to be linear. Most importantly, traditional hierarchical models (just like other ordinary mean regression methods) cannot characterize the entire conditional distribution of a dependent variable given a set of covariates and fail to yield robust estimators. In this article, we relax the aforementioned and normality assumptions, and develop a so-called Hierarchical Semiparametric Quantile Regression Models in which the within-group errors could be heteroscedastic and models at some levels are allowed to be nonparametric. We present the ideas with a 2-level model. The level-1 model is specified as a nonparametric model whereas level-2 model is set as a parametric model. Under the proposed semiparametric setting the vector of partial derivatives of the nonparametric function in level-1 becomes the response variable vector in level 2. The proposed method allows us to model the fixed effects in the innermost level (i.e., level 2) as a function of the covariates instead of a constant effect. We outline some mild regularity conditions required for convergence and asymptotic normality for our estimators. We illustrate our methodology with a real hierarchical data set from a laboratory study and some simulation studies.
基金Supported by Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities and the Research Funds of Renmin University of China(Grant Nos.10XNL018,10XNK025)National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.11271368)+3 种基金Beijing Planning Office of Philosophy and Social Science(Grant No.12JGB051)China Statistical Research Project(Grant No.2011LZ031)Project of Ministry of Education supported by the Specialized Research Fund for the Doctoral Program of Higher Education of China(Grant No.20130004110007)the Key Program of National Philosophy and Social Science Foundation Grant(No.13AZD064)
文摘In this article, we consider a class of kernel quantile estimators which is the linear combi- nation of order statistics. This class of kernel quantile estimators can be regarded as an extension of some existing estimators. The exact mean square error expression for this class of estimators will be provided when data are uniformly distributed. The implementation of these estimators depends mostly on the bandwidth selection. We then develop an adaptive method for bandwidth selection based on the intersection confidence intervals (ICI) principle. Monte Carlo studies demonstrate that our proposed approach is comparatively remarkable. We illustrate our method with a real data set.