A Dynamical Study of Modeling the Transmission of Typhoid Fever throughDelayed Strategies

This study analyzes the transmission of typhoid fever caused by Salmonella typhi using a mathematical model thathighlights the significance of delay in its effectiveness.Time delays can affect the nature of patterns and slow downthe emergence of patterns in infected population density.The analyzed model is expanded with the equilibriumanalysis,reproduction number,and stability analysis.This study aims to establish and explore the non-standardfinite difference(NSFD)scheme for the typhoid fever virus transmission model with a time delay.In addition,the forward Euler method and Runge-Kutta method of order 4(RK-4)are also applied in the present research.Some significant properties,such as convergence,positivity,boundedness,and consistency,are explored,and theproposed scheme preserves all the mentioned properties.The theoretical validation is conducted on how NSFDoutperforms other methods in emulating key aspects of the continuous model,such as positive solution,stability,and equilibrium about delay.Hence,the above analysis also shows some of the limitations of the conventional finitedifference methods,such as forward Euler and RK-4 in simulating such critical behaviors.This becomes moreapparent when using larger steps.This indicated that NSFD is beneficial in identifying the essential characteristicsof the continuous model with higher accuracy than the traditional approaches.

Boundedness and Positivity Preserving Numerical Analysis of a Fuzzy-Parameterized Delayed Model for Foot and Mouth Disease Dynamics

Foot-and-mouth disease(FMD)is a viral disease that affects cloven-hoofed animals including cattle,pigs,and sheep,hence causing export bans among others,causing high economic losses due to reduced productivity.The global effect of FMD is most felt where livestock rearing forms an important source of income.It is therefore important to understand the modes of transmission of FMD to control its spread and prevent its occurrence.This work intends to address these dynamics by including the efficacy of active migrant animals transporting the disease from one area to another in a fuzzy mathematical modeling framework.Historical models of epidemics are determinable with a set of deterministic parameters and this does not reflect on real-life scenarios as observed in FMD.Fuzzy theory is used in this model as it permits the inclusion of uncertainties in the model;this makes the model more of a reality regarding disease transmission.A time lag,in this case,denotes the incubation period and other time-related factors affecting the spread of FMD and,therefore,is added to the current model for FMD.To that purpose,the analysis of steady states and the basic reproduction number are performed and,in addition,the stability checks are conveyed in the fuzzy environment.For the numerical solution of the model,we derive the Forward Euler Method and the fuzzy delayed non-standard finite difference(FDNSFD)method.Analytical studies of the FDNSFD scheme are performed for convergence,non-negativity,boundedness,and consistency analysis of the numerical projection to guarantee that the numerical model is an accurate discretization of the continuous dynamics of FMD transmission over time.In the following simulation study,we show that the FDNSFD method preserves the characteristics of the constant model and still works if relatively large time steps are employed;this is a bonus over the normal finite difference technique.The study shows how valuable it is to adopt fuzzy theory and time delays when simulating the transmission of the epidemic,especially for such diseases as FMD where uncertainty and migration have a defining role in transmission.This approach gives more sound and flexible grounds for analyzing and controlling the outbreak of FMD in various situations.