To mitigate casualties from the COVID-19 outbreak,this study aims at assessing the optimal vaccination scenarios,considering several existing healthcare conditions and assumptions,by developing SIQRD(Susceptible-Infec...To mitigate casualties from the COVID-19 outbreak,this study aims at assessing the optimal vaccination scenarios,considering several existing healthcare conditions and assumptions,by developing SIQRD(Susceptible-Infected-Quarantine-Recovery-Death)models for Jakarta,West Java,and Banten,in Indonesia.The models include an age-structured dynamic transmission model that naturally allows for different treatments among different age groups of the population.The simulation results show that the timing and period of the vaccination should be well planned and prioritizing particular age groups will give a significant impact on the total number of casualties.展开更多
基金NN and KKS gratefully acknowledges the financial support provided by PDUPT 2021.
文摘To mitigate casualties from the COVID-19 outbreak,this study aims at assessing the optimal vaccination scenarios,considering several existing healthcare conditions and assumptions,by developing SIQRD(Susceptible-Infected-Quarantine-Recovery-Death)models for Jakarta,West Java,and Banten,in Indonesia.The models include an age-structured dynamic transmission model that naturally allows for different treatments among different age groups of the population.The simulation results show that the timing and period of the vaccination should be well planned and prioritizing particular age groups will give a significant impact on the total number of casualties.