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探索气候变化的沸腾区
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作者 peter j.webster 李林 《气象科技》 北大核心 1990年第5期5-9,共5页
一、预报气候系统的变化分析表明,地球大气的年变化有偏离其正常变化的现象.在最近十年里,气候系统中出现了大量的异常现象.1982-1983年间,洪水席卷了南美洲西海岸;与此同时,澳大利亚和印度尼西亚遭受了有记录以来最长和最严重的干旱,... 一、预报气候系统的变化分析表明,地球大气的年变化有偏离其正常变化的现象.在最近十年里,气候系统中出现了大量的异常现象.1982-1983年间,洪水席卷了南美洲西海岸;与此同时,澳大利亚和印度尼西亚遭受了有记录以来最长和最严重的干旱,由于干旱,这两个国家出现了森林火灾;在南亚,1987年的夏季季风很弱,很可能是近百年来最弱的一年;1988年又轮到美国遭受干旱之苦.值得注意的是。 展开更多
关键词 气候变化 气候系统 气候异常 夏季季风 地球大气 温度距平 森林火灾 全球大气 海面温度 天气事件
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The Structure of Low Frequency Phenomena in the Tropics and Its Interaction with the Extratropics 被引量:1
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作者 peter j.webster 董敏 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 1992年第1期1-16,共16页
The structure of planetary scale low freonency phenomena in the tropics is studied, and an attempt is made to determine its influence and interactions with phenomena at higher latitudes.In the tropics, it is found tha... The structure of planetary scale low freonency phenomena in the tropics is studied, and an attempt is made to determine its influence and interactions with phenomena at higher latitudes.In the tropics, it is found that the majority of the variance in the zonal wind structure is made up in wave numbers I and 2. During warm events in the Pacific Ocean, when the Southern Oscillation Index is negative, almost all of the variance resides in the gravest mode which undergoes a 40° eastward phase shift. Meanwhile, the second logitudinal mode almost disappears. On the other hand, the meridional wind field possesses maximum amplitude at higher wave numbers. However, near the equator,the amplitude is small with extreme values occurring in the subtropics. The difference in scale and the location of cxtrcma of the meridional and zonal wind components indicate that the tropical atmosphere is responding to two different driving mechanisms.Correlation analyses between variations of the zonal wind at reference points along the equator with variations of component elsewhere show that there are strong logitudinal connections. The strongest correlations between the tropics and higher latitudes exist in the region of the equatorial westerlies. In fact, stronger correlations occur between variations in U anywhere along the equator and the middle latitudes to the north and south of the equatorial westerlies than to the latitudes immediately to the north and south of the reference points. We interpret this 'remote' correlation pattern as indicating a two-stage teleconnection process which emphasizes the importance of the equatorial tropical westerlies of the Pacific Ocean as a 'corridor' of communication between the low and high latitudes. The regionality of the correlations confirms, to some extent, recent theoretical development regarding trapped equatorial modes. Finally, time lagged correlations from plus and minus six months between variations of U and OLR indicate that the interactions between the extratropics and low latitudes possess an organized sequence. The extratropical influence appears to propagate into the tropics followed by an eastward propagation along the equator. Finally, a propagation from the tropics to the extratropics in the upper troposphere occurs in the eastern Pacific Ocean. The time-lagged correlation sequence does not appear to be symmetric about the equator. 展开更多
关键词 In The Structure of Low Frequency Phenomena in the Tropics and Its Interaction with the Extratropics
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Longitudinal Heating Gradient:Another Possible Factor Influencing the Intensity of the Asian Summer Monsoon Circulation 被引量:4
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作者 Song Yang peter j.webster Min Dong 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 1992年第4期397-410,共14页
The largest longitudinal heating gradients in the tropics exist between the African desert and Asian convective regions during summer once the South Asian monsoon is established.The heating gradients are anchored by t... The largest longitudinal heating gradients in the tropics exist between the African desert and Asian convective regions during summer once the South Asian monsoon is established.The heating gradients are anchored by the latent heat release and net radiative flux convergence over the monsoon region,and by the dominant net radiative flux divergence over the desert.An apparent relationship is found between the intensity of the Asian summer monsoon circulation and the longitudinal heating gradients mentioned,in addition to the latitudinal heating gradients cross the monsoon region.The monsoon circulation measured in terms of the zonal wind component is stronger when the longitudinal heating gradients are large,and vice versa.Thus,we claim that the longitudinal heating gradient may be another important factor which influences the intensity of the Asian summer monsoon circulation.There is little evidence that the interannual variability of the longitudinal heating gradients between Africa and Asia and,thus,the intensity of the Asian summer monsoon circulation,is a strong function of the El Nino/Southern Oscillation cycle. 展开更多
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