Complex adaptive system (CAS) is a kind of complex system in natural and artificial systems.In this paper,the theory of complex adaptive system is introduced at first.Considering the characteristic of energy system,it...Complex adaptive system (CAS) is a kind of complex system in natural and artificial systems.In this paper,the theory of complex adaptive system is introduced at first.Considering the characteristic of energy system,it can be regarded as a complex adaptive system.After the evolutionary law is analysed,the energy complex system model is established based on CAS and application tool SWARM,which is a simulation software platform.The model differs from the models as well as methods developed before.As an application,China's energy system is simulated with the model established above.China's future total energy demand in the future,energy structure and related in fluence on environment are presented.展开更多
基金This research is supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No. 70071041).
文摘Complex adaptive system (CAS) is a kind of complex system in natural and artificial systems.In this paper,the theory of complex adaptive system is introduced at first.Considering the characteristic of energy system,it can be regarded as a complex adaptive system.After the evolutionary law is analysed,the energy complex system model is established based on CAS and application tool SWARM,which is a simulation software platform.The model differs from the models as well as methods developed before.As an application,China's energy system is simulated with the model established above.China's future total energy demand in the future,energy structure and related in fluence on environment are presented.
