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越南与菲律宾南海油气资源共同开发政策的比较
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作者 祁怀高 《南亚东南亚研究》 2024年第1期53-74,153,154,共24页
越南和菲律宾是中国在南海推动“搁置争议、共同开发”倡议的主要对象国。越南提出了“合作共同发展”的开发模式,中越正在开展北部湾湾口外海域共同开发磋商,但迄今尚未就该海域的共同开发取得实质性突破。中菲两国于2018年签署《关于... 越南和菲律宾是中国在南海推动“搁置争议、共同开发”倡议的主要对象国。越南提出了“合作共同发展”的开发模式,中越正在开展北部湾湾口外海域共同开发磋商,但迄今尚未就该海域的共同开发取得实质性突破。中菲两国于2018年签署《关于油气开发合作的谅解备忘录》,建立了一种既有政府又有企业参与的“双层结构”磋商机制。对越菲两国南海共同开发政策进行比较研究,有助于中国与越菲开展有针对性的共同开发谈判。越菲共同开发政策的比较可从核心决策圈、民意、经济收益和美国介入四个方面展开。从“核心决策圈”来看,越南是越共中央集体决策,政策延续性较强,菲律宾的决策与总统本人及其私人决策圈有很大关系,政策延续性差。从“民意”来看,越菲两国不少民众都对与中国开展共同开发的意图存有一些疑虑,对中越、中菲南海共同开发构成消极影响。从“经济收益”来看,越菲都对南海油气资源有着较高依存度,都有与中国开展共同开发的经济利益需求。从“美国介入”来看,美国介入程度加深,给中越、中菲共同开发进程带来负面影响。相关的政策思考必须从开展公关说服、做好民意工作、推动利益融合、采取反介入措施等方面入手。 展开更多
关键词 越南与菲律宾 南海油气资源 共同开发 核心决策圈
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The Role of China's Local Governments on Sino-South Korean Diplomatic Normalization: A Case Study of Shandong Province
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作者 qi huai-gao 《Fudan Journal of the Humanities and Social Sciences》 2012年第2期82-105,共24页
Based on the theory of sub-national governments' foreign affairs, this paper analyzes the role played by China's local governments at the time when China's central government was formulating polices to establish di... Based on the theory of sub-national governments' foreign affairs, this paper analyzes the role played by China's local governments at the time when China's central government was formulating polices to establish diplomatic relations with South Korea. China's local governments, with Shandong Province in particular, made strong attempts to lobby the central government on the economic need for enlarging bilateral trade and drawing investment from South Korea. These efforts played an active role on Sino-South Korean diplomatic normalization and further advanced the realization of diplomatic contacts already underway. Shandong Province's case shows that sub-national governments have been playing ever more important roles in China's overall diplomacy since the Reform and Opening Up of the economy, which began in 1978. In the multi-fold policy-making process by the central and local governments, it appears that the central government needs to respond to the reasonable interest case for engagement made by sub-national governments. How to accommodate the policy interests of the central and sub- national government entities is an important problem facing China's future diplomacy. 展开更多
关键词 Sino-South Korean diplomatic NORMALIZATION Shandong Qingdao sub-national governments
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