Background:Predicting the potential habitat of Phytolacca americana,a high-risk invasive species,can help provide a scientific basis for its quarantine and control strategies.Using the optimized MaxEnt model,we applie...Background:Predicting the potential habitat of Phytolacca americana,a high-risk invasive species,can help provide a scientific basis for its quarantine and control strategies.Using the optimized MaxEnt model,we applied the latest climate data,CMIP6,to predict the distribution of potential risk zones and their change patterns for P.americana under current and future(SSP126,SSP245,SSP585)climate conditions,followed by invasion potential analysis.Results:The predictions of MaxEnt model based on R language optimization were highly accurate.A significantly high area of 0.8703 was observed for working characteristic curve(AUC value)of subject and the kappa value was 0.8074.Under the current climate conditions,the risk zones for P.americana were mainly distributed in Sichuan,Chongqing,Guizhou,Hunan,and Guangxi provinces.The contribution rate of each climatic factor of P.americana was calculated using the jackknife test.The four factors with the highest contribution rate included minimum temperature of coldest month(bio6,51.4%),the monthly mean diurnal temperature difference(bio2,27.9%),precipitation of the driest quarter(bio17,4.9%),and the warmest seasonal precipitation(bio12,4.3%).Conclusion:Under future climatic conditions,the change in the habitat pattern of P.americana generally showed a migration toward the Yangtze River Delta region and the southeastern coastal region of China.This migration exhibited an expansion trend,highlighting the strong future invasiveness of the species.Based on the predictions,targeted prevention and control strategies for areas with significant changes in P.americana were developed.Therefore,this study emphasizes the need of an integrated approach to effectively prevent the further spread of invasive plants.展开更多
Waste is a valuable secondary carbon resource.In the linear economy,it is predominantly landfilled or incinerated.These disposal routes not only lead to diverse climate,environmental and societal problems;they also re...Waste is a valuable secondary carbon resource.In the linear economy,it is predominantly landfilled or incinerated.These disposal routes not only lead to diverse climate,environmental and societal problems;they also represent a loss of carbon resources.In a circular carbon economy,waste is used as a secondary carbon feedstock to replace fossil resources for production.This contributes to environmental protection and resource conservation.It furthermore increases a nation’s independence from imported fossil energy sources.China is at the start of its transition from a linear to circular carbon economy.It can thus draw on waste management experiences of other economies and assess the opportunities for transference to support its development of‘zero waste cities’.This paper has three main focuses.First is an assessment of drivers for China’s zero waste cities initiative and the approaches that have been implemented to combat its growing waste crisis.Second is a sharing of Germany’s experience-a forerunner in the implementation of the waste hierarchy(reduce-reuse-recycle-recover-landfill)with extensive experience in circular carbon technologies-in sustainable waste management.Last is an identification of transference opportunities for China’s zero waste cities.Specific transference opportunities identified range from measures to promote waste prevention,waste separation and waste reduction,generating additional value via mechanical recycling,implementing chemical recycling as a recycling option before energy recovery to extending energy recovery opportunities.展开更多
基金National Forestry and Grassland Administration Science and Technology Program,China(KJZXSA2018008)Key research and development project of Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region,China(2019BBF02025)Fuzhou-Dingxi East-West Poverty Alleviation Collaborative Soil Erosion Comprehensive Control Project(KH180062A).
文摘Background:Predicting the potential habitat of Phytolacca americana,a high-risk invasive species,can help provide a scientific basis for its quarantine and control strategies.Using the optimized MaxEnt model,we applied the latest climate data,CMIP6,to predict the distribution of potential risk zones and their change patterns for P.americana under current and future(SSP126,SSP245,SSP585)climate conditions,followed by invasion potential analysis.Results:The predictions of MaxEnt model based on R language optimization were highly accurate.A significantly high area of 0.8703 was observed for working characteristic curve(AUC value)of subject and the kappa value was 0.8074.Under the current climate conditions,the risk zones for P.americana were mainly distributed in Sichuan,Chongqing,Guizhou,Hunan,and Guangxi provinces.The contribution rate of each climatic factor of P.americana was calculated using the jackknife test.The four factors with the highest contribution rate included minimum temperature of coldest month(bio6,51.4%),the monthly mean diurnal temperature difference(bio2,27.9%),precipitation of the driest quarter(bio17,4.9%),and the warmest seasonal precipitation(bio12,4.3%).Conclusion:Under future climatic conditions,the change in the habitat pattern of P.americana generally showed a migration toward the Yangtze River Delta region and the southeastern coastal region of China.This migration exhibited an expansion trend,highlighting the strong future invasiveness of the species.Based on the predictions,targeted prevention and control strategies for areas with significant changes in P.americana were developed.Therefore,this study emphasizes the need of an integrated approach to effectively prevent the further spread of invasive plants.
基金This research is supported by the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research(BMBF)through the research project grant no.01LN1713A to the research group Global Change:STEEP-CarbonTransAny opinions,findings,conclusions and recommendations in the document are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the view of the BMBFThe authors also give thanks for the feedback from the Institute of Coal Chemistry,Chinese Academy of Sciences(ICC CAS),in particular the project team from‘Zero Waste Cities:International Best Practices and Current Waste Situation in Shanxi Province’under the Shanxi International Cooperation Program(Project No:201903D421086).
文摘Waste is a valuable secondary carbon resource.In the linear economy,it is predominantly landfilled or incinerated.These disposal routes not only lead to diverse climate,environmental and societal problems;they also represent a loss of carbon resources.In a circular carbon economy,waste is used as a secondary carbon feedstock to replace fossil resources for production.This contributes to environmental protection and resource conservation.It furthermore increases a nation’s independence from imported fossil energy sources.China is at the start of its transition from a linear to circular carbon economy.It can thus draw on waste management experiences of other economies and assess the opportunities for transference to support its development of‘zero waste cities’.This paper has three main focuses.First is an assessment of drivers for China’s zero waste cities initiative and the approaches that have been implemented to combat its growing waste crisis.Second is a sharing of Germany’s experience-a forerunner in the implementation of the waste hierarchy(reduce-reuse-recycle-recover-landfill)with extensive experience in circular carbon technologies-in sustainable waste management.Last is an identification of transference opportunities for China’s zero waste cities.Specific transference opportunities identified range from measures to promote waste prevention,waste separation and waste reduction,generating additional value via mechanical recycling,implementing chemical recycling as a recycling option before energy recovery to extending energy recovery opportunities.