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不同气候变化情景下亚洲北山羊(Capra sibirica)的响应(英文)
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作者 Eric Ariel L.SALAS raul valdez +1 位作者 Stefan MICHEL Kenneth G.BOYKIN 《Journal of Resources and Ecology》 CSCD 2020年第1期27-37,共11页
目前很少见到关于气候变化影响亚洲北山羊物种栖息地的研究。通过调查气候变化对塔吉克斯坦东部亚洲北山羊(Capra sibirica)分布的影响,并采用生态位建模比较了亚洲北山羊的适宜栖息地的当前与未来分布情况。预计到2070年,现有适宜栖息... 目前很少见到关于气候变化影响亚洲北山羊物种栖息地的研究。通过调查气候变化对塔吉克斯坦东部亚洲北山羊(Capra sibirica)分布的影响,并采用生态位建模比较了亚洲北山羊的适宜栖息地的当前与未来分布情况。预计到2070年,现有适宜栖息地的18%(2689 km^2)将变得不适宜亚洲北山羊的生存,损失的区域主要位于研究区域的东南部和西北部地区。新的适宜栖息地可能会扩展到当前亚洲北山羊范围之外:到2070年将扩展30%(4595 km^2)的范围,这些区域与亚洲北山羊现有的分布有很强的相关性。东南部的损失与该地区当前大多数的亚洲北山羊栖息地重叠,主要出现在比研究区域海拔低得多的区域(3500–4000 m)。当同时考虑损失和收益时,亚洲北山羊可能会净扩展到新的适宜栖息地。到2070年,亚洲北山羊的平均栖息地增加量约为30%(1379 km^2),表明适宜栖息地已向北部低温栖息地转移。研究结果有助于规划气候变化情景下塔吉克斯坦东部山区对生物多样性保护的潜在影响。应该特别注意东南地区的高地山羊种群,那里的栖息地可能由于气候对山区生态系统的影响而变得不适合该物种继续生存。 展开更多
关键词 集成预测模型 全球气候变化 帕米尔山脉 物种分布模拟 山地有蹄类动物
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comCharacteristics of browsed aspen forests following wildfire and implications for management:a case study
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作者 James R.Biggs Dawn M.VanLeeuwen +2 位作者 Jerry L.Holechek Sherri L.Sherwood raul valdez 《Journal of Plant Ecology》 SCIE CSCD 2017年第6期949-957,共9页
Aims Recognizing ungulate browsing thresholds between viable and declining aspen(Populus tremuloides Michx.)stands are critical to ensuring long-term persistence of this biologically important plant community.Studies ... Aims Recognizing ungulate browsing thresholds between viable and declining aspen(Populus tremuloides Michx.)stands are critical to ensuring long-term persistence of this biologically important plant community.Studies have shown declines in vigor and regeneration when as few as 30%of current annual twigs are browsed while other studies have shown higher limits.Although the effects of ungulate herbivory are of concern in aspen forests,few studies have assessed browsing effects following wildfire and few criteria exist for deter-mining potential effects of ungulate browsing on aspen forests fol-lowing wildfire.We evaluated the effects of ungulate abundance and foraging intensity on regenerating aspen 1 to 6 years post-fire and assessed the use of abundance and foraging intensity indicators in predicting impacts to regenerating aspen.Rocky Mountain elk(Cervus elaphus nelson)was the primary ungulate in the study area.Methods The study area was located within the 17500 ha cerro Grande Fire burn area in the Jemez Mountains,New Mexico,USA.We used percent aspen twigs browsed and pellet-group counts to evaluate relationships between these indicators and aspen patch structure(height,size).We collected data in randomly generated 3×33 m plots 5-6 years post-fire.We also established 4 fenced exclosures(25×55 m and 3.3 m in height)with paired unfenced plots 1-year post-fire to monitor aspen regeneration.Each spring,we recorded percent browsed twigs from the previous fall through the early spring period which coincided with the highest ungulate use period within the study area.We assessed associations between percent twigs browsed and pellet-group density and patch size and height of aspen using Spearman’s correlation coefficients.Important Findings Mean percent twigs browsed and ungulate pellet-group density across the burn area was≤31%and 1 pellet-group 100 sq m−1,respectively.Patch size and height decreased with increasing browsing and pellet-group density 5-6 years post-fire.However,mean aspen heights were approaching or exceeding a minimum browsing level of 2 m and,therefore,ungulate browsing did not appear sufficient to cause signif-icant impacts to aspen across the burn area.We observed a positive correlation between pellet-group density and twig browsing suggest-ing that one or both measures could be used to assess potential effects of browsing on regenerating aspen following fire. 展开更多
关键词 UNGULATE regeneration transitory range pellet-group FORAGING
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