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Hyperresolution information and hyperresolution ignorance in modelling the hydrology of the land surface 被引量:6
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作者 Keith BEVEN Hannah CLOKE +2 位作者 Florian PAPPENBERGER rob lamb Neil HUNTER 《Science China Earth Sciences》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2015年第1期25-35,共11页
There is a strong drive towards hyperresolution earth system models in order to resolve finer scales of motion in the atmosphere.The problem of obtaining more realistic representation of terrestrial fluxes of heat and... There is a strong drive towards hyperresolution earth system models in order to resolve finer scales of motion in the atmosphere.The problem of obtaining more realistic representation of terrestrial fluxes of heat and water,however,is not just a problem of moving to hyperresolution grid scales.It is much more a question of a lack of knowledge about the parameterisation of processes at whatever grid scale is being used for a wider modelling problem.Hyperresolution grid scales cannot alone solve the problem of this hyperresolution ignorance.This paper discusses these issues in more detail with specific reference to land surface parameterisations and flood inundation models.The importance of making local hyperresolution model predictions available for evaluation by local stakeholders is stressed.It is expected that this will be a major driving force for improving model performance in the future. 展开更多
关键词 hyperresolution models epistemic uncertainties models of everywhere communicating uncertainty flood risk
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帮助,还是治愈?一个美国医生的自白! 被引量:1
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作者 rob lamb 杜夏德 《科学家》 2014年第12期88-89,共2页
在医患关系敏感僵化的当下,医生这个职业很容易被推上舆论的风口浪尖。但是从理性上看,在治疗疾病时,医生的作用到底有多大呢?其实,当前沿科技不断给我们带来生的希望时,医院里的医生能做的没有你想象的那么多。当治疗失败时,医... 在医患关系敏感僵化的当下,医生这个职业很容易被推上舆论的风口浪尖。但是从理性上看,在治疗疾病时,医生的作用到底有多大呢?其实,当前沿科技不断给我们带来生的希望时,医院里的医生能做的没有你想象的那么多。当治疗失败时,医院和医生确实要负责,然而我们是否在一开始就对现代医疗以及医生抱有过高的希望?下面的文字来自于一名普通美国外科医生苦恼的自白。 展开更多
关键词 治疗师
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