Artificial Neural Networks for Prediction of COVID-19 in Saudi Arabia

In this study,we have proposed an artificial neural network(ANN)model to estimate and forecast the number of confirmed and recovered cases of COVID-19 in the upcoming days until September 17,2020.The proposed model is based on the existing data(training data)published in the Saudi Arabia Coronavirus disease(COVID-19)situation—Demographics.The Prey-Predator algorithm is employed for the training.Multilayer perceptron neural network(MLPNN)is used in this study.To improve the performance of MLPNN,we determined the parameters of MLPNN using the prey-predator algorithm(PPA).The proposed model is called the MLPNN–PPA.The performance of the proposed model has been analyzed by the root mean squared error(RMSE)function,and correlation coefficient(R).Furthermore,we tested the proposed model using other existing data recorded in Saudi Arabia(testing data).It is demonstrated that the MLPNN-PPA model has the highest performance in predicting the number of infected and recovering in Saudi Arabia.The results reveal that the number of infected persons will increase in the coming days and become a minimum of 9789.The number of recoveries will be 2000 to 4000 per day.

Application of Metaheuristic Algorithms for Optimizing Longitudinal Square Porous Fins

The objectives of this study involve the optimization of longitudinal porous fins of square cross-section using metaheuristic algorithms.A generalized nonlinear ordinary differential equation is derived using Darcy and Fourier’s laws in the energy balance around a control volume and is solved numerically using RFK 45 method.The temperature of the base surface is higher than the fin surface,and the fin tip is kept adiabatic or cooled by convection heat transfer.The other pertinent parameters include Rayleigh number(100≤Ra≤10^(4)),Darcy number,(10^(−4)≤Da≤10^(−2)),relative thermal conductivity ratio of solid phase to fluid(1000≤kr≤8000),Nusselt number(10≤Nu≤100),porosity(0.1≤φ≤0.9).The impacts of these parameters on the entropy generation rate are investigated and optimized using metaheuristic algorithms.In computer science,metaheuristic algorithms are one of the most widely used techniques for optimization problems.In this research,three metaheuristic algorithms,including the firefly algorithm(FFA),particle swarm algorithm(PSO),and hybrid algorithm(FFAPSO)are employed to examine the performance of square fins.It is demonstrated that FFA-PSO takes fewer iterations and less computational time to converge compared to other algorithms.