This paper optimizes the meteorological drought assessment method in Fujian Province, China, making it more suitable for long-term serial drought statistics. Using the precipitation data of Pingtan National Basic Weat...This paper optimizes the meteorological drought assessment method in Fujian Province, China, making it more suitable for long-term serial drought statistics. Using the precipitation data of Pingtan National Basic Weather Station from 1971 to 2016, according to the optimized meteorological drought assessment method, statistics Pingtan meteorological drought process, and its characteristics analysis;through the multi-model integrated forecasting super-aggregate method, the 2011-2014 Fujian precipitation reality and the European Center, T639, WRF, Japan and other numerical forecast products were used for comparative analysis. The use of multiple regression method was used to forecast precipitation, by the localized precipitation correction scheme. The early warning method of single station meteorological drought process based on precipitation reality and precipitation forecast is obtained, and the platformization idea is proposed.展开更多
文摘This paper optimizes the meteorological drought assessment method in Fujian Province, China, making it more suitable for long-term serial drought statistics. Using the precipitation data of Pingtan National Basic Weather Station from 1971 to 2016, according to the optimized meteorological drought assessment method, statistics Pingtan meteorological drought process, and its characteristics analysis;through the multi-model integrated forecasting super-aggregate method, the 2011-2014 Fujian precipitation reality and the European Center, T639, WRF, Japan and other numerical forecast products were used for comparative analysis. The use of multiple regression method was used to forecast precipitation, by the localized precipitation correction scheme. The early warning method of single station meteorological drought process based on precipitation reality and precipitation forecast is obtained, and the platformization idea is proposed.