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论制造业的生产力增长
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作者 Mieko Nishimizv sherman robinson 金建 《科学学与科学技术管理》 CSSCI 北大核心 1993年第6期29-34,41,共7页
经济总增长不仪取决于生产要素的积累和要素的部门配置,也取决于总要素生产力的提高。在受约束的经济下,总要素生产力的迅速增长是为了缓解经济“瓶颈”。涉及总要素生产力增长的两个问题对发展战略尤为相关。首先,总要素生产力的增长... 经济总增长不仪取决于生产要素的积累和要素的部门配置,也取决于总要素生产力的提高。在受约束的经济下,总要素生产力的迅速增长是为了缓解经济“瓶颈”。涉及总要素生产力增长的两个问题对发展战略尤为相关。首先,总要素生产力的增长幅度能否合理预期?总要素生产力增长率的置信区间原则上可通过工厂、行业的历史记录或不同生产环境下的经济运行而获得。它们能够回答各种有关发展的问题并提供有用的信息。例如:第一,如何确定对新生工业的保护和鼓励的适当期限?5年是否太短?20年是否太长? 展开更多
关键词 制造业 生产力 经济发展战略
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The Impacts of COVID-19 on Migrants,Remittances,and Poverty in China:A Microsimulation Analysis
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作者 Yumei Zhang Yue Zhan +2 位作者 Xinshen Diao Kevin Z.Chen sherman robinson 《China & World Economy》 2021年第6期4-33,共30页
Chinese migrant workers are very exposed to the shocks caused by the COVID-19 pandemic.Falling remittances adversely affect their families who rely on remittance incomes.The impacts of COVID-19 on migrants and remitta... Chinese migrant workers are very exposed to the shocks caused by the COVID-19 pandemic.Falling remittances adversely affect their families who rely on remittance incomes.The impacts of COVID-19 on migrants and remittance-receiving households are assessed using a nationally representative household dataset and a microsimulation model.We found about 70 percent of migrant workers lost part of their wage income during the pandemic lockdown period and rural migrants working in small and medium enterprises were affected the most.This led to about 50 percent of remittance-receiving households being affected adversely by falling remittances,and the average decline in such income was more than 45 percent.Nearly 13 percent of pre-pandemic nonpoor remittance-receiving households could fall into poverty,raising the poverty rate among remittancereceiving households by 4 percentage points.Many households that were poor prior to the pandemic became more impoverished.The results indicate that social protection programs targeting vulnerable migrants and their families at home are important. 展开更多
关键词 China COVID-19 MICROSIMULATION migrants and remittances POVERTY
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