From a theoretical point of view, Thucydides' s Trap is the idea of realism, especially the idea of offensive realism, that changes in the international power structure will inevitably escalate to international co...From a theoretical point of view, Thucydides' s Trap is the idea of realism, especially the idea of offensive realism, that changes in the international power structure will inevitably escalate to international conflict and war. As we analyze the historical origin of Thucydides' s Trap from the perspective of political strategy, we can see that Thucydides' s Trap was put forward by Graham T. Allison and other western scholars,and that their understanding and analogy between Athens and Sparta,between China and the United States mainly involves three aspects:strength determinism, war benefit theory and bilateral relations theory.These three misunderstandings involve objective factors, subjective factors, and the scope of Thucydides' s Trap. China should avoid falling into the theoretical trap of strength determinism, with great initiative to promote the sustainable development and the rise of China by adhering to the strategy of Chinese Economic Reform and Opening up, and to construct the community of common destiny, while controlling and managing a third-party factor emerging in the Sino-US bilateral relations.展开更多
文摘“荥泽”古湖曾被大量史书文献记载,现已消亡,郑州周边地区地表以下0.60~27.00 m范围内存在不同厚度的湖沼相地层,岩性主要为灰黑色淤泥、淤泥质细砂,灰黑色淤泥质黏土、灰褐色黏土、灰褐色粉砂质黏土、灰黑色黏土质粉砂等等。通过岩矿鉴定、孢粉特征分析、同位素年代学、粒度分析、磁化率分析等手段对沉积物进行了系统研究,初步得出该古湖泊的形成可能始于晚更新世晚期,8000~3000 a BP曾大范围存在,沉积中心位于贾河村附近,古湖泊水源来自于黄河洪水和地表水径流的补给。沉积记录了“荥泽”古湖形成前期—形成期—鼎盛期—动荡衰退期—消亡期的全过程,结合地貌和史书古籍记载、各个时期的考古遗迹点位置、湖沼相层测年数据,初步界定鼎盛时期湖泊的西边界和南边界,分别位于荥阳市汜水镇和管城回族区十八里河镇、南曹乡附近。初步估算鼎盛时期湖泊面积超过1000 km^(2)。
文摘From a theoretical point of view, Thucydides' s Trap is the idea of realism, especially the idea of offensive realism, that changes in the international power structure will inevitably escalate to international conflict and war. As we analyze the historical origin of Thucydides' s Trap from the perspective of political strategy, we can see that Thucydides' s Trap was put forward by Graham T. Allison and other western scholars,and that their understanding and analogy between Athens and Sparta,between China and the United States mainly involves three aspects:strength determinism, war benefit theory and bilateral relations theory.These three misunderstandings involve objective factors, subjective factors, and the scope of Thucydides' s Trap. China should avoid falling into the theoretical trap of strength determinism, with great initiative to promote the sustainable development and the rise of China by adhering to the strategy of Chinese Economic Reform and Opening up, and to construct the community of common destiny, while controlling and managing a third-party factor emerging in the Sino-US bilateral relations.
