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Optimal control on a mathematical model to pattern the progression of coronavirus disease 2019(COVID-19)in Indonesia
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作者 Novi Reandy Sasmita Muhammad Ikhwan +1 位作者 suyanto suyanto Virasakdi Chongsuvivatwong 《Global Health Research and Policy》 2020年第1期141-152,共12页
Background:Understanding the pattern of COVID-19 infection progression is critical for health policymakers.Reaching the exponential peak of cases,flattening the curve,and treating all of the active cases are the keys ... Background:Understanding the pattern of COVID-19 infection progression is critical for health policymakers.Reaching the exponential peak of cases,flattening the curve,and treating all of the active cases are the keys to success in reducing outbreak transmission.The objective of this study was to determine the most effective model for predicting the peak of COVID-19 in Indonesia,using a deterministic model.Methods:The SEI2RS model considers five strategies for control,namely:large-scale social restriction(u1),contact tracing(u2),mass testing(u3),case detection and treatment(u4),and the wearing of face masks(u5).Three scenarios were developed,each differentiated by the controls.The model used April 10,2020,and December 31,2020,as the initial and final times.Results:The simulation results indicated that the peak of COVID-19 cases for scenarios 1,2,and 3 occur on the 59th day with 33,151 cases,on the 38th day with 37,908 cases,and on the 40th day with 39,305 cases.For all of the scenarios,the decline phase shows a slow downward slope and about 8000 cases of COVID-19 still active by the end of 2020.Conclusion:The study concludes that scenario 2,which consists of large-scale social restriction(u1),contact tracing(u2),case detection and treatment(u4),and the wearing of face masks(u5),is the most rational scenario to control COVID-19 spreading in Indonesia. 展开更多
关键词 COVID-19 Optimal control Mathematical model Indonesia
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Adjuvant therapy for renal cell carcinoma
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作者 Paramvir Sawhney suyanto suyanto +1 位作者 Agnieszka Michael Hardev Pandha 《Journal of Cancer Metastasis and Treatment》 2021年第1期686-694,共9页
Recent advances in the treatment of metastatic renal cell carcinoma expose a gap in the treatment of less advanced,localized disease.Tyrosine kinase inhibitors,which revolutionized the treatment of metastatic disease,... Recent advances in the treatment of metastatic renal cell carcinoma expose a gap in the treatment of less advanced,localized disease.Tyrosine kinase inhibitors,which revolutionized the treatment of metastatic disease,have not provided a similar survival benefit in the adjuvant setting and currently only sunitinib is approved by the Food and Drug Administration for adjuvant treatment in patients with high-risk of recurrence based on S-TRAC disease-free survival data.The advent of immune checkpoint inhibitors has offered a fresh hope in the field of adjuvant treatment after encouraging results are seen with combination of immune checkpoint inhibitors as well as with targeted therapy in the metastatic setting.Several studies are investigating these combinations in the adjuvant setting,and it is hoped that they will bring about a better outcome for a largely unmet need in kidney cancer treatment. 展开更多
关键词 Localized renal cell carcinoma ADJUVANT IMMUNOTHERAPY tyrosine kinase inhibitors PROGNOSIS clinical trials predictive model risk stratification
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Individualized therapy for metastatic renal cell carcinoma
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作者 Bambang T.Atmaja Izabelle Wood +3 位作者 suyanto suyanto Paramvir Sawhney Agnieszka Michael Hardev Pandha 《Journal of Cancer Metastasis and Treatment》 2021年第1期672-685,共14页
Metastatic Renal Cell Carcinoma(mRCC)is a highly heterogeneous disease that is notoriously difficult to treat successfully.However,the discovery of novel,targeted therapies over the last decade has revolutionized its ... Metastatic Renal Cell Carcinoma(mRCC)is a highly heterogeneous disease that is notoriously difficult to treat successfully.However,the discovery of novel,targeted therapies over the last decade has revolutionized its management.As the therapeutic options continue to evolve,developing a more individualized treatment strategy is of paramount importance.The International mRCC Database Consortium(IMDC)is a prognostic model that is commonly used in trials and clinical settings to risk stratify patients.This allows for optimal therapy selection on a more individual basis.However,the distinct lack of validated predictive biomarkers in mRCC renders it difficult to assess therapy response.An improved understanding of tumor biology and genetics has prompted a shift from cytokine therapy to the use of vascular endothelial growth factor(VEGF)inhibitors,tyrosine kinase Inhibitors,immune checkpoint inhibitors or combination strategies.Studies have identified some putative markers and genetic mutations as potential predictors of therapy response.Early results are promising,and there are many ongoing trials further assessing their suitability for clinical use.This review will evaluate the current treatment landscape and molecular biology of mRCC,with a specific focus on the prognostic and predictive markers available to guide treatment options and further improve patient outcomes. 展开更多
关键词 Metastatic renal cell carcinoma IMDC predictive biomarker individualized therapy IMMUNOTHERAPY VEGF PROGNOSIS
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