Global Analysis of an SEIR Epidemic Model with Infectious Force under Intervention Strategies

In this paper, we investigate the global stability of an SEIR (Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Remove) epidemic model with infectious force under intervention strategies. To address this issue, we prove that the basic reproduction number R0 plays an essential role in determining whether the disease extincts or persists. If , there is a unique disease-free equilibrium point of the model which is globally asymptotically stable and the disease dies out, and if , there exists a unique endemic equilibrium point which is globally asymptotically stable and the disease persists.

External Bifurcations of Double Heterodimensional Cycles with One Orbit Flip

In this paper, external bifurcations of heterodimensional cycles connecting three saddle points with one orbit flip, in the shape of “∞”, are studied in three-dimensional vector field. We construct a poincaré return map between returning points in a transverse section by establishing a locally active coordinate system in the tubular neighborhood of unperturbed double heterodimensional cycles, through which the bifurcation equations are obtained under different conditions. Near the double heterodimensional cycles, the authors prove the preservation of “∞”-shape double heterodimensional cycles and the existence of the second and third shape heterodimensional cycle and a large 1-heteroclinic cycle connecting with P1 and P3. The coexistence of a 1-fold large 1-heteroclinic cycle and the “∞”-shape double heterodimensional cycles and the coexistence conditions are also given in the parameter space.

Bifurcation Analysis of Homoclinic Flips at Principal Eigenvalues Resonance

One orbit flip and two inclination flips bifurcation is considered with resonant principal eigenvalues. We introduce a local active coordinate system to establish bifurcation equation and obtain the conditions when the original homoclinic orbit is kept or broken. We also prove the existence and the existence regions of double 1-periodic orbit bifurcation. Moreover, the complicated homoclinic-doubling bifurcations are found and expressed approximately, and are well located.

Global Analysis of an SEIR Epidemic Model with a Ratio-Dependent Nonlinear Incidence Rate

In this paper, a SEIR model with ratio-dependent transmission rate in the form ?is studied and the basic reproduction number which determines the disease’s extinction or continued existence is obtained. By constructing the proper Lyapunov function, we prove that if R0 ≤ 1, the disease-free equilibrium point of the model is globally asymptotically stable and the disease always dies out;if R0 > 1, the endemic equilibrium point is globally asymptotically stable and the disease persists.

Dynamic Analysis for a SIQR Epidemic Model with Specific Nonlinear Incidence Rate

The article investigates a SIQR epidemic model with specific nonlinear incidence rate and stochastic model based on the former, respectively. For deterministic model, we study the existence and stability of the equilibrium points by controlling threshold parameter R0 which determines whether the disease disappears or prevails. Then by using Routh-Hurwitz criteria and constructing suitable Lyapunov function, we get that the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable if R0 or unstable if R0>1. In addition, the endemic equilibrium point is globally asymptotically stable in certain region when R0>1. For the corresponding stochastic model, the existence and uniqueness of the global positive solution are discussed and some sufficient conditions for the extinction of the disease and the persistence in the mean are established by defining its related stochastic threshold R0s. Moreover, our analytical results show that the introduction of random fluctuations can suppress disease outbreak. And numerical simulations are used to confirm the theoretical results.

Resonant Homoclinic Bifurcations with Orbit Flips and Inclination Flips

Homoclinic bifurcation with one orbit flip, two inclination flips and resonance in the tangent directions of homoclinic orbit is considered. By studying the associated successor functions constructed from a local active coordinate system, we prove the existence of double 1-periodic orbit, 1-homoclinic orbit, and also some coexistence conditions of 1-periodic orbit and 1-homoclinic orbit.

A Stochastic SIVS Epidemic Model Based on Birth and Death Process

A new stochastic epidemic model, that is, a general continuous time birth and death chain model, is formulated based on a deterministic model including vaccination. We use continuous time Markov chain to construct the birth and death process. Through the Kolmogorov forward equation and the theory of moment generating function, the corresponding population expectations are studied. The theoretical result of the stochastic model and deterministic version is also given. Finally, numerical simulations are carried out to substantiate the theoretical results of random walk.

Bifurcation Analysis of the Multiple Flips Homoclinic Orbit

A high-codimension homoclinic bifurcation is considered with one orbit flip and two inclination flips accompanied by resonant principal eigenvalues. A local active coordinate system in a small neighborhood of homoclinic orbit is introduced. By analysis of the bifurcation equation, the authors obtain the conditions when the original flip homoclinic orbit is kept or broken. The existence and the existence regions of several double periodic orbits and one triple periodic orbit bifurcations are proved. Moreover, the complicated homoclinic-doubling bifurcations are found and expressed approximately.