The summer snow anomalies over the Tibetan Plateau (TP) and their effects on climate variability are often overlooked,possibly due to the fact that some datasets cannot properly capture summer snow cover over high t...The summer snow anomalies over the Tibetan Plateau (TP) and their effects on climate variability are often overlooked,possibly due to the fact that some datasets cannot properly capture summer snow cover over high terrain.The satellite-derived Equal-Area Scalable Earth grid (EASE-grid) dataset shows that snow still exists in summer in the western part and along the southem flank of the TP.Analysis demonstrates that the summer snow cover area proportion (SCAP) over the TP has a significant positive correlation with simultaneous precipitation over the mei-yu-baiu (MB) region on the interannual time scale.The close relationship between the summer SCAP and summer precipitation over the MB region could not be simply considered as a simultaneous response to the Silk Road pattern and the SST anomalies in the tropical Indian Ocean and tropical central-eastern Pacific.The SCAP anomaly has an independent effect and may directly modulate the land surface heating and,consequently,vertical motion over the western TP,and concurrently induce anomalous vertical motion over the North Indian Ocean via a meridional vertical circulation.Through a zonal vertical circulation over the tropics and a Kelvin wave-type response,anomalous vertical motion over the North Indian Ocean may result in an anomalous high over the western North Pacific and modulate the convective activity in the western Pacific warm pool,which stimulates the East Asia-Pacific (EAP) pattern and eventually affects summer precipitation over the MB region.展开更多
This study explores the characteristics of high temperature anomalies over eastern China and associated influencing factors using observations and model outputs.Results show that more long-duration(over 8 days) high...This study explores the characteristics of high temperature anomalies over eastern China and associated influencing factors using observations and model outputs.Results show that more long-duration(over 8 days) high temperature events occur over the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River Valley(YRV) than over the surrounding regions,and control most of the interannual variation of summer mean temperature in situ.The synergistic effect of summer precipitation over the South China Sea(SCS) region(18°–27°N,115°–124°E) and the northwestern India and Arabian Sea(IAS) region(18°–27°N,60°–80°E) contributes more significantly to the variation of summer YRV temperature,relative to the respective SCS or IAS precipitation anomaly.More precipitation(enhanced condensational heating) over the SCS region strengthens the western Pacific subtropical high(WPSH) and simultaneously weakens the westerly trough over the east coast of Asia,and accordingly results in associated high temperature anomalies over the YRV region through stimulating an East Asia–Pacific(EAP) pattern.More precipitation over the IAS region further adjusts the variations of the WPSH and westerly trough,and eventually reinforces high temperature anomalies over the YRV region.Furthermore,the condensational heating related to more IAS precipitation can adjust upper-tropospheric easterly anomalies over the YRV region by exciting a circumglobal teleconnection,inducing cold horizontal temperature advection and related anomalous descent,which is also conducive to the YRV high temperature anomalies.The reproduction of the above association in the model results indicates that the above results can be explained both statistically and dynamically.展开更多
This study documents a weakening of the relationship between the spring Arctic Oscillation (AO) and the following summer tropical cyclone (TC) formation frequency over the eastern part (150°-180°E) of ...This study documents a weakening of the relationship between the spring Arctic Oscillation (AO) and the following summer tropical cyclone (TC) formation frequency over the eastern part (150°-180°E) of the western North Pacific (WNP). The relationship is strong and statistically significant during 1968-1986, but becomes weak during 1989-2007. The spring AO- related SST, atmospheric dynamic, and thermodynamic conditions are compared between the two epochs to understand the possible reasons for the change in the relationship. Results indicate that the spring AO leads to an E1 Nifio-like SST anomaly, lower-level anomalous cyclonic circulation, upper-level anomalous anticyclonic circulation, enhanced ascending motion, and a positive midlevel relative humidity anomaly in the tropical western-central Pacific during 1968-1986, whereas the AOrelated anomalies in the above quantities are weak during 1989-2007. Hence, the large-scale dynamic and thermodynamic anomalies are more favorable for TC formation over the eastern WNP during 1968-1986 than during 1989-2007.展开更多
The present study evaluates the precipitation variability over the South China Sea(SCS) and its relationship to tropical Indo-Pacific SST anomalies during spring-to-summer transition(April–May–June,AMJ) simulate...The present study evaluates the precipitation variability over the South China Sea(SCS) and its relationship to tropical Indo-Pacific SST anomalies during spring-to-summer transition(April–May–June,AMJ) simulated by 23 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 coupled models.Most of the models have the capacity to capture the AMJ precipitation variability in the SCS.The precipitation and SST anomaly(SSTA) distribution in the SCS,tropical Pacific Ocean(TPO),and tropical Indian Ocean(TIO) domains is evaluated based on the pattern correlation coefficients between model simulations and observations.The analysis leads to several points of note.First,the performance of the SCS precipitation anomaly pattern in AMJ is model dependent.Second,the SSTA pattern in the TPO and TIO is important for capturing the AMJ SCS precipitation variability.Third,a realistic simulation of the western equatorial Pacific(WEP) and local SST impacts is necessary for reproducing the AMJ SCS precipitation variability in some models.Fourth,the overly strong WEP SST impacts may disrupt the relationship between the SCS precipitation and the TPO–TIO SST.Further work remains to be conducted to unravel the specific reasons for the discrepancies between models and observations in various aspects.展开更多
基金the support of the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 41271434)the National Key Technologies R&D Program in the 12th Five Year Plan of China (Grant No. 2012BAH32B03)+6 种基金the Hong Kong GRF (Grant No. CUHK 457212)the ITF (Grant No. GHP/002/11GD)the support of the Hong Kong Research Grants Council (Grant No. CUHK 403612)the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 41275081 and 41228006)the support of the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 41375090 and 41221064)the Special Project of the National International Science and Technology Cooperation of China (Grant No. 2011DFG23450)the Basic Research Fund of CAMS (Grant No. 2013Z002)
文摘The summer snow anomalies over the Tibetan Plateau (TP) and their effects on climate variability are often overlooked,possibly due to the fact that some datasets cannot properly capture summer snow cover over high terrain.The satellite-derived Equal-Area Scalable Earth grid (EASE-grid) dataset shows that snow still exists in summer in the western part and along the southem flank of the TP.Analysis demonstrates that the summer snow cover area proportion (SCAP) over the TP has a significant positive correlation with simultaneous precipitation over the mei-yu-baiu (MB) region on the interannual time scale.The close relationship between the summer SCAP and summer precipitation over the MB region could not be simply considered as a simultaneous response to the Silk Road pattern and the SST anomalies in the tropical Indian Ocean and tropical central-eastern Pacific.The SCAP anomaly has an independent effect and may directly modulate the land surface heating and,consequently,vertical motion over the western TP,and concurrently induce anomalous vertical motion over the North Indian Ocean via a meridional vertical circulation.Through a zonal vertical circulation over the tropics and a Kelvin wave-type response,anomalous vertical motion over the North Indian Ocean may result in an anomalous high over the western North Pacific and modulate the convective activity in the western Pacific warm pool,which stimulates the East Asia-Pacific (EAP) pattern and eventually affects summer precipitation over the MB region.
基金the support of the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.41375090 and 41375091)the Basic Research Fund of the Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences(Grant Nos.2013Z002 and 2015Z001)the support of a Direct Grant of the Chinese University of Hong Kong(Grant No.4052057)
文摘This study explores the characteristics of high temperature anomalies over eastern China and associated influencing factors using observations and model outputs.Results show that more long-duration(over 8 days) high temperature events occur over the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River Valley(YRV) than over the surrounding regions,and control most of the interannual variation of summer mean temperature in situ.The synergistic effect of summer precipitation over the South China Sea(SCS) region(18°–27°N,115°–124°E) and the northwestern India and Arabian Sea(IAS) region(18°–27°N,60°–80°E) contributes more significantly to the variation of summer YRV temperature,relative to the respective SCS or IAS precipitation anomaly.More precipitation(enhanced condensational heating) over the SCS region strengthens the western Pacific subtropical high(WPSH) and simultaneously weakens the westerly trough over the east coast of Asia,and accordingly results in associated high temperature anomalies over the YRV region through stimulating an East Asia–Pacific(EAP) pattern.More precipitation over the IAS region further adjusts the variations of the WPSH and westerly trough,and eventually reinforces high temperature anomalies over the YRV region.Furthermore,the condensational heating related to more IAS precipitation can adjust upper-tropospheric easterly anomalies over the YRV region by exciting a circumglobal teleconnection,inducing cold horizontal temperature advection and related anomalous descent,which is also conducive to the YRV high temperature anomalies.The reproduction of the above association in the model results indicates that the above results can be explained both statistically and dynamically.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.41461164005,41275001 and 41230527)
文摘This study documents a weakening of the relationship between the spring Arctic Oscillation (AO) and the following summer tropical cyclone (TC) formation frequency over the eastern part (150°-180°E) of the western North Pacific (WNP). The relationship is strong and statistically significant during 1968-1986, but becomes weak during 1989-2007. The spring AO- related SST, atmospheric dynamic, and thermodynamic conditions are compared between the two epochs to understand the possible reasons for the change in the relationship. Results indicate that the spring AO leads to an E1 Nifio-like SST anomaly, lower-level anomalous cyclonic circulation, upper-level anomalous anticyclonic circulation, enhanced ascending motion, and a positive midlevel relative humidity anomaly in the tropical western-central Pacific during 1968-1986, whereas the AOrelated anomalies in the above quantities are weak during 1989-2007. Hence, the large-scale dynamic and thermodynamic anomalies are more favorable for TC formation over the eastern WNP during 1968-1986 than during 1989-2007.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China[grant numbers 41530425 and 41605050]the China Postdoctoral Science Foundation[grant number2015M581151]
基金supported by the National Key Basic Research Program of China(Grant No.2014CB953902)the support of the Hong Kong Research Grants Council(Grant No.CUHK403612)+4 种基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grants Nos.41275081 and 41475081)a Chinese University of Hong Kong direct grant(Grant No.4052057)the support of a Chinese Academy of Sciences project(Grant No.XDA11010402)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.41305065 and 41305068)the support of the State Key Laboratory of Tropical Oceanography,South China Sea Institute of Oceanology of Chinese Academy of Sciences(Grant No.LTO1203)
文摘The present study evaluates the precipitation variability over the South China Sea(SCS) and its relationship to tropical Indo-Pacific SST anomalies during spring-to-summer transition(April–May–June,AMJ) simulated by 23 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 coupled models.Most of the models have the capacity to capture the AMJ precipitation variability in the SCS.The precipitation and SST anomaly(SSTA) distribution in the SCS,tropical Pacific Ocean(TPO),and tropical Indian Ocean(TIO) domains is evaluated based on the pattern correlation coefficients between model simulations and observations.The analysis leads to several points of note.First,the performance of the SCS precipitation anomaly pattern in AMJ is model dependent.Second,the SSTA pattern in the TPO and TIO is important for capturing the AMJ SCS precipitation variability.Third,a realistic simulation of the western equatorial Pacific(WEP) and local SST impacts is necessary for reproducing the AMJ SCS precipitation variability in some models.Fourth,the overly strong WEP SST impacts may disrupt the relationship between the SCS precipitation and the TPO–TIO SST.Further work remains to be conducted to unravel the specific reasons for the discrepancies between models and observations in various aspects.
基金supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China [grant number2016YFA0600603]the National Natural Science Foundation of China [grant numbers 41775080,41530425,41721004,and 41475081]