To examine the influence of the harsh environment in plateau areas on the operating speed of vehicles,advanced speed prediction models for curved segments are established based on observed actual speed data.First,the ...To examine the influence of the harsh environment in plateau areas on the operating speed of vehicles,advanced speed prediction models for curved segments are established based on observed actual speed data.First,the speed characteristics at the starting,mid,and end points of a plane curve were observed on Lalin Highway and China National Highway 318 with Bushnell s handheld radar speedometer 10-1911CN.Second,the stepwise regression method was proposed to determine the significant parameters and propose the prediction models of the operating speed of cars and large vehicles for the two highways.Finally,reserved test group data were utilized to prove the validity and practicality of the proposed models.Compared with traditional methods,the established models can produce more accurate prediction results and deeply examine the nonlinear relationships between parameters and the predicted operating speed.This study provides a considerate direction and basis for the operating speed prediction model for other segments in plateau regions.展开更多
基金The National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.51768063,51868068)。
文摘To examine the influence of the harsh environment in plateau areas on the operating speed of vehicles,advanced speed prediction models for curved segments are established based on observed actual speed data.First,the speed characteristics at the starting,mid,and end points of a plane curve were observed on Lalin Highway and China National Highway 318 with Bushnell s handheld radar speedometer 10-1911CN.Second,the stepwise regression method was proposed to determine the significant parameters and propose the prediction models of the operating speed of cars and large vehicles for the two highways.Finally,reserved test group data were utilized to prove the validity and practicality of the proposed models.Compared with traditional methods,the established models can produce more accurate prediction results and deeply examine the nonlinear relationships between parameters and the predicted operating speed.This study provides a considerate direction and basis for the operating speed prediction model for other segments in plateau regions.