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基于改进HHT的分钟级超短期风速预测 被引量:2
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作者 曾娜梅 霍志红 +2 位作者 许昌 邓智文 靳志杰 《动力工程学报》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2021年第4期309-315,329,共8页
针对分钟级的风速具有更强随机性和非线性的问题,建立了一种基于改进希尔伯特黄变换(HHT)的分钟级超短期风速预测模型。首先,利用HHT对原始风速数据进行分解;然后,采用希尔伯特变换(HT)对分解所得各本征模态函数(IMF)进行谱分析,针对其... 针对分钟级的风速具有更强随机性和非线性的问题,建立了一种基于改进希尔伯特黄变换(HHT)的分钟级超短期风速预测模型。首先,利用HHT对原始风速数据进行分解;然后,采用希尔伯特变换(HT)对分解所得各本征模态函数(IMF)进行谱分析,针对其频谱特性分别建立不同的神经网络模型进行预测;最后,分别运用权重浮动区间模型和数学解析模型求取各分量权重系数,按权重叠加各分量预测结果得到2组风速预测值,再通过优化组合得到最终预测结果。采用某风电场实际运行数据,对所建模型的可靠性进行了验证。结果表明:该方法预测效果优于原HHT组合预测模型,可有效提高风速预测精度。 展开更多
关键词 超短期风速预测 改进希尔伯特黄变换 权重浮动区间模型 数学解析模型
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Generalization of α-Decay Cluster-Model to Nuclei Near Spherical and Deformed Shell Closures
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作者 xuchang RENZhong-Zhou 《Communications in Theoretical Physics》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2004年第5X期745-752,共8页
The cluster model of α-decay is extended to the regions around doubly magic spherical nucleus 208pb and around deformed shell closure 270Hs, respectively. The effects of spherical shell closures (N = 126 and Z = 82) ... The cluster model of α-decay is extended to the regions around doubly magic spherical nucleus 208pb and around deformed shell closure 270Hs, respectively. The effects of spherical shell closures (N = 126 and Z = 82) on α-decay are investigated by introducing an N-dependent α-preformation factor and a Z-dependent one inspired by a microscopic model. Good agreement between the theoretical α-decay half-lives and the measured ones is obtained for the spherical nuclei near the doubly magic nucleus 208 Pb, where the nuclear shell effect is included in the expression of α-preformation factor. The cluster model is also generalized for the decay of deformed nuclei. The branching ratios of a-decays from the ground state of a parent nucleus to the ground state (0+) of its deformed daughter nucleus and to the first excited state (2+) are .calculated in the framework of the cluster model. The results indicate that a measurement of c spectroscopy is a feasible method to extract the information of nuclear deformation of superheavy nuclei around the deformed nucleus 270 Hs. 展开更多
关键词 阿尔法衰退 变形 两制轨道效应 原子干扰 重核子
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Shell Effect of Superheavy Nuclei in Self-consistent Mean-Field Models
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作者 RENZhong-Zhou TAIFei +4 位作者 xuchang CHENDing-Han ZHANGHu-Yong CAIXiang-Zhou SHENWen-Qing 《Communications in Theoretical Physics》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2004年第6X期851-866,共16页
We analyze in detail the numerical results of superheavy nuclei in deformed relativistic mean-field model and deformed Skyrme-Hartree-Fock model. The common points and differences of both models are systematically com... We analyze in detail the numerical results of superheavy nuclei in deformed relativistic mean-field model and deformed Skyrme-Hartree-Fock model. The common points and differences of both models are systematically compared and discussed. Their consequences on the stability of superheavy nuclei are explored and explained. The theoretical results are compared with new data of superheavy nuclei from GSI and from Dubna and reasonable agreement is reached. Nuclear shell effect in superheavy region is analyzed and discussed. The spherical shell effect disappears in some cases due to the appearance of deformation or superdeformation in the ground states of nuclei, where valence nucleons occupy significantly the intruder levels of nuclei. It is shown for the first time that the significant occupation of valence nucleons on the intruder states plays an important role for the ground state properties of superheavy nuclei. Nuclei are stable in the deformed or superdeformed configurations. We further point out that one cannot obtain the octupole deformation of even-even nuclei in the present relativistic mean-field model with the σ, ω and ρ mesons because there is no parity violating interaction and the conservation of parity of even-even nuclei is a basic assumption of the present relativistic mean-field model. 展开更多
关键词 壳层效应 超重核子 变形 核子物理学 自相容平均场
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